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Blue Wave Fupdate
YellowSnow
Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,854 
in Tug Tavern
Comments
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Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP -
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP -
No you didn't. Don't try to run cover for the idiots that picked Hilary right up to the end. Like you2001400ex said:
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills
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Having said that the democrats are supposed to win and Trump will get the blame
McConnell and Ryan are doing their best to keep GOP voter turn out down. Democrats won't show up because they love Pelosi or Schumer but because they hate Trump
Trump will make it about him by November and as the head coach he gets the credit or blame -
I stopped listening to what Uncle Rush had to say 14+ years ago.RaceBannon said:
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills
I paid pretty close attention to Silver's site through 2016 and he objectively raised or lowered Trump's chances as new data became available. I think were even some weeks we're he even game him closer to like a 40% chance of winning. -
What is your point? That Huffington Post blows dick? Tell me something I didn't know.RaceBannon said:
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills -
Yes. You did say that Rasmussen was the most accurate. Defending their outlier poll on Trump's approval rating. They also say that 36% of blacks support Trump. Haha. Ok!RaceBannon said:
No you didn't. Don't try to run cover for the idiots that picked Hilary right up to the end. Like you2001400ex said:
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
If you think 71 to 28% and an electoral landslide for Hillary on November 8 is good then have at it
Silver fucked up with the rest of them.
