Clinton earned the support of 91 percent of black voters participating in the survey, while Trump took just 1 percent.
That is such a statistical anomaly that the fudge factor pushes it in Trump's favor. Maybe 1% will admit to supporting Trump but in the privacy of the voting booth, there will be bruthas pulling the lever for The Donald.
Clinton earned the support of 91 percent of black voters participating in the survey, while Trump took just 1 percent.
That is such a statistical anomaly that the fudge factor pushes it in Trump's favor. Maybe 1% will admit to supporting Trump but in the privacy of the voting booth, there will be bruthas pulling the lever for The Donald.
This will work both ways. There are a lot of Republicans that won't admit to their friends that they will be voting for Clinton instead of Trump -- but they dislike Trump so much that when they are in the privacy of the voting booth -- they will vote for Clinton.
Clinton earned the support of 91 percent of black voters participating in the survey, while Trump took just 1 percent.
That is such a statistical anomaly that the fudge factor pushes it in Trump's favor. Maybe 1% will admit to supporting Trump but in the privacy of the voting booth, there will be bruthas pulling the lever for The Donald.
This will work both ways. There are a lot of Republicans that won't admit to their friends that they will be voting for Clinton instead of Trump -- but they dislike Trump so much that when they are in the privacy of the voting booth -- they will vote for Clinton.
I don't follow politics too closely, but my observation is it's a lot more condemning to outwardly say you're voting for Trump over Clinton. You are blanketed a racist/sexist as soon as you say it. In California, a lotta "I know Hilary is suspect, but no way would I vote for him" in conversations with hispanic women present, but the lack of conviction is pretty telling. Not that Ca matters.
I have a hard time imagining Trump winning, but the battle will be much closer than these predictions.
If you're wrong 7 times in a row its time to change your model. I'm not a Silver hater. If he is that bright he should be able to adjust. I suspect it will still show Hilary as the favorite but much closer.
Awfully warm for November anyway
Silver has been pretty spot on the last two presedential elections. That's how he became popular. Maybe he fucks up other things...I wouldn't know. I Don't read his shit blog.
Fuck off.
Picking Obama to win after Bush didn't exactly require advanced metrics. Same thing goes after the Retard National Convention selected a wealthy Mormon to run against him.
Quite honestly I don't think it's required after the Retard National Convention chooses a wealthy narcicistic blowhard either.
The difference is he isn't a soft little pussy with no personality.
True. He's a soft little pussy with a so fucking irritating personality.
It's sad watching you press this badly.
Trump is a whiny bitch, which is why he got a lot of votes.
His job is to message data to fit his political and career agenda... Or they will find somebody else who will... and Silver can walk the Pacific Crest Trail looking for perspective without a paycheck.
lol
Shut up.
This shows one thing. Data analysis means sh!t if you don't have good data - and old Nate is using bad data The rest is just you being a faggot.
Comments
Ballfag is a great guy in comparison to some around here
Anyone notice how hondo has the new Brexit talking points down pat?
If Trump has 33 % of the Hispanic vote the election is over
Hondo thinks a college education makes you smart. This bored proves otherwise
I could have done a Pumpy three peat but I don't care enough
HTH
Clinton earned the support of 91 percent of black voters participating in the survey, while Trump took just 1 percent.
That is such a statistical anomaly that the fudge factor pushes it in Trump's favor. Maybe 1% will admit to supporting Trump but in the privacy of the voting booth, there will be bruthas pulling the lever for The Donald.
I have a hard time imagining Trump winning, but the battle will be much closer than these predictions.
I post here after all.
@TTJ
We?
Shut up.
This shows one thing. Data analysis means sh!t if you don't have good data - and old Nate is using bad data The rest is just you being a faggot.