Might as well not even play the elections then

GrundleStiltzkin

https://twitter.com/GMA/status/748112797913878528

*81%
*19%

2001400ex

Southparkblowncum.jpg

sarktastic

Isn't that the same guy who gave Trump a 5% chance to land the Republican nomination?

PurpleJ

dailycaller.com/2016/05/04/7-times-nate-silver-was-hilariously-wrong-about-donald-trump/

greenblood

Ektard's gonna Ektard

dnc

greenblood said:

Ektard's gonna Ektard

Silver's no Ektard, he's been right about a shit ton of stuff. He's just not exactly dialed in when it comes to Trump.

Honestly I'm surprised he's giving Trump that much chance at the election.

sarktastic

If he wanted to be right, he'd pick Trump to win... But it wouldn't bode well for receiving future paychecks from his current employer

TierbsHsotBoobs

sarktastic said:

If he wanted to be right, he'd pick Trump to win... But it wouldn't bode well for receiving future paychecks from his current employer

CHRIST.

He's working with data but Trump doesn't fit conventional data.

sarktastic

So your saying he just isn't very good at his job?

greenblood

dnc said:

greenblood said:

Ektard's gonna Ektard

Silver's no Ektard, he's been right about a shit ton of stuff. He's just not exactly dialed in when it comes to Trump.

Honestly I'm surprised he's giving Trump that much chance at the election.

I get that, but it doesn't take a rocket scientist to know data is flawed when it comes to Trump. So why continue to make predictions on Trump based on the data?

dnc

greenblood said:

dnc said:

greenblood said:

Ektard's gonna Ektard

Silver's no Ektard, he's been right about a shit ton of stuff. He's just not exactly dialed in when it comes to Trump.

Honestly I'm surprised he's giving Trump that much chance at the election.

I get that, but it doesn't take a rocket scientist to know data is flawed when it comes to Trump. So why continue to make predictions on Trump based on the data?

Because that's his job. His job is to tell us what the data says. Our? job is to determine whether that matters. In this case, I'm with you, the data is close to worthless. But I think that's the exception not the rule.

sarktastic

His job is to message data to fit his political and career agenda... Or they will find somebody else who will... and Silver can walk the Pacific Crest Trail looking for perspective without a paycheck.

GrundleStiltzkin

sarktastic said:

His job is to message data to fit his political and career agenda... Or they will find somebody else who will... and Silver can walk the Pacific Crest Trail looking for perspective without a paycheck.

In other words find this thread where it belongs.

PurpleJ

There a lot of doogs here who hate winners are in denial about the Trumpmania that's clearly sweeping the nation.

BallSacked

greenblood said:

dnc said:

greenblood said:

Ektard's gonna Ektard

Silver's no Ektard, he's been right about a shit ton of stuff. He's just not exactly dialed in when it comes to Trump.

Honestly I'm surprised he's giving Trump that much chance at the election.

I get that, but it doesn't take a rocket scientist to know data is flawed when it comes to Trump. So why continue to make predictions on Trump based on the data?

So you're asking why not make predictions based on gut feel and pulling narratives out of your ass? There's lots of that already on the Internet. Find whatever poll fits your bias.

Silver is a data nerd. Maybe he'll be proven wrong (although I personally doubt it), but at least he's consistent in his approach.

sarktastic

Why make predictions off flawed data when you're a paid data nerd?

If you're an expert... Enough to know the data is shit, why not use your supposed expertise to find and utilize better data?

RaceBannon

If you're wrong 7 times in a row its time to change your model. I'm not a Silver hater. If he is that bright he should be able to adjust. I suspect it will still show Hilary as the favorite but much closer.

Awfully warm for November anyway

SpoonieLuv

PurpleJ

Silver sounds like the @HeretoBeatmyChest of political analysis.

RaceBannon

PurpleJ said:

Silver sounds like the @HeretoBeatmyChest of political analysis.

Analytics are for fags. Like ballfag

BallSacked

RaceBannon said:

If you're wrong 7 times in a row its time to change your model. I'm not a Silver hater. If he is that bright he should be able to adjust. I suspect it will still show Hilary as the favorite but much closer.

Awfully warm for November anyway

Silver has been pretty spot on the last two presedential elections. That's how he became popular. Maybe he fucks up other things...I wouldn't know. I Don't read his shit blog.

Fuck off.