Trump is bad for the Republican Party.......unless he wins.
Last I heard, the offshore betting sites (people actually putting their money where their mouth is rather than bloviating) has Hillary with a 54% chance of winning the Oval Office. Since we are a nation of laws, I hope Hildabeast gets indicted but there are so many libtards out there who don't care about the legal system as long as a lib wins. I think that's totally f'ed up and a sign of how deranged some people have become.
As for the Koch brothers, Trump doesn't really care since he's mostly self-funded.
As for running mates, I could see Trump picking Kasich (well-respected in the Republican Party, successful executive / governor of Ohio, also has experience in DC as he's a former Congressman too) or a Latino governor / Senator.
I've heard rumors that the Mayor of San Antonio (bright, rising Dem star) could be Hildabeast's running mate.
Trump will not win NY, I'll stick my neck out on that one. I do think that if he wins the nom that he would win Ohio, and Florida would be very close. He does better though with the Rust Belt style of disaffected Dems like in Ohio, Michigan, etc. Florida seems to vacillate between establishmentarian (Jeb, Crist) and Tea Party types (Alan West, Rubio), so I'm less confident that Trump would win there. My opinion is that he would do best by fully adopting the Huey Long conservative-socialism model of politics.
Trump will not win NY, I'll stick my neck out on that one. I do think that if he wins the nom that he would win Ohio, and Florida would be very close. He does better though with the Rust Belt style of disaffected Dems like in Ohio, Michigan, etc. Florida seems to vacillate between establishmentarian (Jeb, Crist) and Tea Party types (Alan West, Rubio), so I'm less confident that Trump would win there. My opinion is that he would do best by fully adopting the Huey Long conservative-socialism model of politics.
I don't know what you've read about Florida, but Trump currently has a 16 point lead there. I think it's a pretty good state for him.
Trump will not win NY, I'll stick my neck out on that one. I do think that if he wins the nom that he would win Ohio, and Florida would be very close. He does better though with the Rust Belt style of disaffected Dems like in Ohio, Michigan, etc. Florida seems to vacillate between establishmentarian (Jeb, Crist) and Tea Party types (Alan West, Rubio), so I'm less confident that Trump would win there. My opinion is that he would do best by fully adopting the Huey Long conservative-socialism model of politics.
I don't know what you've read about Florida, but Trump currently has a 16 point lead there. I think it's a pretty good state for him.
In the general though? His numbers with Latinos will likely decline leading up to November.
Trump will not win NY, I'll stick my neck out on that one. I do think that if he wins the nom that he would win Ohio, and Florida would be very close. He does better though with the Rust Belt style of disaffected Dems like in Ohio, Michigan, etc. Florida seems to vacillate between establishmentarian (Jeb, Crist) and Tea Party types (Alan West, Rubio), so I'm less confident that Trump would win there. My opinion is that he would do best by fully adopting the Huey Long conservative-socialism model of politics.
I don't know what you've read about Florida, but Trump currently has a 16 point lead there. I think it's a pretty good state for him.
In the general though? His numbers with Latinos will likely decline leading up to November.
You would think...
But Trump is actually polling really well with Latinos. He's beating two guys with Latino last names right now in that state.
Hillary hasn't been polling very well with Latino males.
Basically in the last week it sure seems like Romney is trying to get his name out there, he even called out Trump today on his KKK thing.
It would not shock me if something like that happened.
He also came out of nowhere last week (before the KKK stuff) and started ripping Trump on the tax stuff.
But how do they run Romney without getting fucked by a 3rd party Trump run?
Trump has the GOP by the balls.
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, and the establishment finds a third party to run. Hillary clinches the general nomination.
If Trump has the majority heading into a brokered convention, and the GOP backdoor somebody else (Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, etc.) Trump will run as a third party and Hillary clinches the general nomination.
The only way for the establishment to win, is for someone to beat Trump the ordinary way through majority of delegates. Which is why they are throwing the kitchen sink at Trump and putting all their eggs in Rubio. The problem though, is that Rubio might not win one state tomorrow, which would put him so far behind, he has no chance to win the majority.
If Rubio doesn't do well tomorrow, watch for the establishment to instantly get off the Rubio train, and to concede to Trump. They know Trump is a wild card, but is really their only chance at getting a general nomination. Unless of course, they really would rather have Hillary in the White House.
What you've seen from Rubio the last week was a Hail Mary to save his campaign. Expect Trump to have the nomination locked up at the end of tomorrow. It will be officially over on March 15th.
Trump will not win NY, I'll stick my neck out on that one. I do think that if he wins the nom that he would win Ohio, and Florida would be very close. He does better though with the Rust Belt style of disaffected Dems like in Ohio, Michigan, etc. Florida seems to vacillate between establishmentarian (Jeb, Crist) and Tea Party types (Alan West, Rubio), so I'm less confident that Trump would win there. My opinion is that he would do best by fully adopting the Huey Long conservative-socialism model of politics.
For the General he has to win Ohio and Florida. No GOP can win without them because they have abandoned NY and Cali.
Basically in the last week it sure seems like Romney is trying to get his name out there, he even called out Trump today on his KKK thing.
It would not shock me if something like that happened.
He also came out of nowhere last week (before the KKK stuff) and started ripping Trump on the tax stuff.
But how do they run Romney without getting fucked by a 3rd party Trump run?
Trump has the GOP by the balls.
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, and the establishment finds a third party to run. Hillary clinches the general nomination.
If Trump has the majority heading into a brokered convention, and the GOP backdoor somebody else (Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, etc.) Trump will run as a third party and Hillary clinches the general nomination.
The only way for the establishment to win, is for someone to beat Trump the ordinary way through majority of delegates. Which is why they are throwing the kitchen sink at Trump and putting all their eggs in Rubio. The problem though, is that Rubio might not win one state tomorrow, which would put him so far behind, he has no chance to win the majority.
If Rubio doesn't do well tomorrow, watch for the establishment to instantly get off the Rubio train, and to concede to Trump. They know Trump is a wild card, but is really their only chance at getting a general nomination. Unless of course, they really would rather have Hillary in the White House.
What you've seen from Rubio the last week was a Hail Mary to save his campaign. Expect Trump to have the nomination locked up at the end of tomorrow. It will be officially over on March 15th.
To add to this, Trump has never been a conservative and would not run the country as a conservative. Setting aside the stunts to attract the dumb people (the wall, bombing the shit out of them) which he will never even give a thought if elected, his policies would most likely resemble those of a centrist democrat
Basically in the last week it sure seems like Romney is trying to get his name out there, he even called out Trump today on his KKK thing.
It would not shock me if something like that happened.
He also came out of nowhere last week (before the KKK stuff) and started ripping Trump on the tax stuff.
But how do they run Romney without getting fucked by a 3rd party Trump run?
Trump has the GOP by the balls.
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, and the establishment finds a third party to run. Hillary clinches the general nomination.
If Trump has the majority heading into a brokered convention, and the GOP backdoor somebody else (Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, etc.) Trump will run as a third party and Hillary clinches the general nomination.
The only way for the establishment to win, is for someone to beat Trump the ordinary way through majority of delegates. Which is why they are throwing the kitchen sink at Trump and putting all their eggs in Rubio. The problem though, is that Rubio might not win one state tomorrow, which would put him so far behind, he has no chance to win the majority.
If Rubio doesn't do well tomorrow, watch for the establishment to instantly get off the Rubio train, and to concede to Trump. They know Trump is a wild card, but is really their only chance at getting a general nomination. Unless of course, they really would rather have Hillary in the White House.
What you've seen from Rubio the last week was a Hail Mary to save his campaign. Expect Trump to have the nomination locked up at the end of tomorrow. It will be officially over on March 15th.
To add to this, Trump has never been a conservative and would not run the country as a conservative. Setting aside the stunts to attract the dumb people (the wall, bombing the shit out of them) which he will never even give a thought if elected, his policies would most likely resemble those of a centrist democrat
The GOP has said if Trump wins the nomination they will drop him and focus on the Senate.
If that happens they just elected him President. He'd have a field day being free to shoot both parties and get 35% of the vote to Hillary's 30 and Romney's 27.
The GOP has said if Trump wins the nomination they will drop him and focus on the Senate.
If that happens they just elected him President. He'd have a field day being free to shoot both parties and get 35% of the vote to Hillary's 30 and Romney's 27.
Hillary will win any three party race unless the third is Bloomberg
I'm suggesting exactly what I said. As far as I know Trump, Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, etc don't have potential indictments lingering over their heads like Hillary does. Kasich would be my pick but it's kind of funny to see how Trump brings out the crazy in some Dems.
On another note, one thing I forget to mention is how an economy potentially heading south could impact the race. The timing was perfect for Obama back in 2008 (and McCain botched the last few months of the race) and a summer or fall swoon would hurt Hillary, particularly among the blue-collar vote.
If he wins the nomination, it will be interesting to see how successful Trump would be in tacking to the center in the General Election because he needs to do better with women and latino-americans. If the election becomes about race and gender, he's fucked.
Trump is bad for the Republican Party.......unless he wins.
Last I heard, the offshore betting sites (people actually putting their money where their mouth is rather than bloviating) has Hillary with a 54% chance of winning the Oval Office. Since we are a nation of laws, I hope Hildabeast gets indicted but there are so many libtards out there who don't care about the legal system as long as a lib wins. I think that's totally f'ed up and a sign of how deranged some people have become.
As for the Koch brothers, Trump doesn't really care since he's mostly self-funded.
As for running mates, I could see Trump picking Kasich (well-respected in the Republican Party, successful executive / governor of Ohio, also has experience in DC as he's a former Congressman too) or a Latino governor / Senator.
I've heard rumors that the Mayor of San Antonio (bright, rising Dem star) could be Hildabeast's running mate.
I'm suggesting exactly what I said. As far as I know Trump, Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, etc don't have potential indictments lingering over their heads like Hillary does. Kasich would be my pick but it's kind of funny to see how Trump brings out the crazy in some Dems.
On another note, one thing I forget to mention is how an economy potentially heading south could impact the race. The timing was perfect for Obama back in 2008 (and McCain botched the last few months of the race) and a summer or fall swoon would hurt Hillary, particularly among the blue-collar vote.
If he wins the nomination, it will be interesting to see how successful Trump would be in tacking to the center in the General Election because he needs to do better with women and latino-americans. If the election becomes about race and gender, he's fucked.
Trump is bad for the Republican Party.......unless he wins.
Last I heard, the offshore betting sites (people actually putting their money where their mouth is rather than bloviating) has Hillary with a 54% chance of winning the Oval Office. Since we are a nation of laws, I hope Hildabeast gets indicted but there are so many libtards out there who don't care about the legal system as long as a lib wins. I think that's totally f'ed up and a sign of how deranged some people have become.
As for the Koch brothers, Trump doesn't really care since he's mostly self-funded.
As for running mates, I could see Trump picking Kasich (well-respected in the Republican Party, successful executive / governor of Ohio, also has experience in DC as he's a former Congressman too) or a Latino governor / Senator.
I've heard rumors that the Mayor of San Antonio (bright, rising Dem star) could be Hildabeast's running mate.
Are you suggesting the right cares about the legal system?
The stock market is rallying now and could go higher for a little while but its setting up for a big dump in the summer and fall. It could start to rollover again in the late spring.
Comments
Kasich is the most logical VP to me
But Trump is actually polling really well with Latinos. He's beating two guys with Latino last names right now in that state.
Hillary hasn't been polling very well with Latino males.
But how do they run Romney without getting fucked by a 3rd party Trump run?
If Trump wins the GOP nomination, and the establishment finds a third party to run. Hillary clinches the general nomination.
If Trump has the majority heading into a brokered convention, and the GOP backdoor somebody else (Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, etc.) Trump will run as a third party and Hillary clinches the general nomination.
The only way for the establishment to win, is for someone to beat Trump the ordinary way through majority of delegates. Which is why they are throwing the kitchen sink at Trump and putting all their eggs in Rubio. The problem though, is that Rubio might not win one state tomorrow, which would put him so far behind, he has no chance to win the majority.
If Rubio doesn't do well tomorrow, watch for the establishment to instantly get off the Rubio train, and to concede to Trump. They know Trump is a wild card, but is really their only chance at getting a general nomination. Unless of course, they really would rather have Hillary in the White House.
What you've seen from Rubio the last week was a Hail Mary to save his campaign. Expect Trump to have the nomination locked up at the end of tomorrow. It will be officially over on March 15th.
Nice work HHBs.
If that happens they just elected him President. He'd have a field day being free to shoot both parties and get 35% of the vote to Hillary's 30 and Romney's 27.
On another note, one thing I forget to mention is how an economy potentially heading south could impact the race. The timing was perfect for Obama back in 2008 (and McCain botched the last few months of the race) and a summer or fall swoon would hurt Hillary, particularly among the blue-collar vote.
If he wins the nomination, it will be interesting to see how successful Trump would be in tacking to the center in the General Election because he needs to do better with women and latino-americans. If the election becomes about race and gender, he's fucked.