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Quick Fact on Recruiting

2

Comments

  • CokeGreaterThanPepsi
    CokeGreaterThanPepsi Member Posts: 7,646
    And the 3 stars he is getting are ballers.
  • NeGgaPlEaSe
    NeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 6,009

    Stan Emperterman was a .5 star diamond in the ruff.


    I don't think Donald Jones knows who that it, show some respect
  • BallSacked
    BallSacked Member Posts: 3,279
    edited September 2015
    That's because there's way more 3 stars.

    But if you looked at the % of 3,4,5s that make the NFL...I think you would see 5s and 4s hit at a way higher rate than 3s.
  • Hippopeteamus
    Hippopeteamus Member Posts: 1,958

    That's because there's way more 3 stars.

    But if you looked at the % of 3,4,5s that make the NFL...I think you would see 5s and 4s hit at a way higher rate than 3s.

    So what is important, and I think this is what Donald Jones was saying, is a coaches ability to evaluate talent, many of whom, as you said, are going to be 3 star players (even OSU take 6 or 7, 3 star players a year). This is especially true for a program like Washington, which is not just going to get an entire class of 4 and 5 star players. It is probably true that if you were randomly picking players the best approach would be to select only the 5 star players. But if you believe your coaches are good at evaluating talent, then a coach taking a 3 star player is not an indication that they are failing at recruiting. Now if they are trying to get 4 and 5 star players and fall back at the last second on a 3 star, then yeah, it is like picking the player at random.
  • SpoogeDawg
    SpoogeDawg Member Posts: 379

    That's because there's way more 3 stars.

    But if you looked at the % of 3,4,5s that make the NFL...I think you would see 5s and 4s hit at a way higher rate than 3s.

    You do, it's not even close. Percentage-wise, something like 10% of 5-stars get picked in the first round... it's like .005% of 3-stars. I did the analysis once. I wrote an academic paper on a subject very related, so I had to really know. I could go back and dig it up if people were dying to know. I did it also for all conference accolades.

    It's just confusing two different points...

    a) "Is a 5-star likely to be better in college than a 3-star?" YES OBVIOUSLY.
    b) "Does being a 3-star preclude you from being picked in the first round?" NO.

    Those are very separate questions and have no conditional effects on each other probability-wise.
    Have your UW report card in your holster then pop off ;)image
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754

    That's because there's way more 3 stars.

    But if you looked at the % of 3,4,5s that make the NFL...I think you would see 5s and 4s hit at a way higher rate than 3s.

    You do, it's not even close. Percentage-wise, something like 10% of 5-stars get picked in the first round... it's like .005% of 3-stars. I did the analysis once. I wrote an academic paper on a subject very related, so I had to really know. I could go back and dig it up if people were dying to know. I did it also for all conference accolades.

    It's just confusing two different points...

    a) "Is a 5-star likely to be better in college than a 3-star?" YES OBVIOUSLY.
    b) "Does being a 3-star preclude you from being picked in the first round?" NO.

    Those are very separate questions and have no conditional effects on each other probability-wise.
    Have your UW report card in your holster then pop off ;)image
    I know you're being sarcastic, but I went to GRCC.
  • BallSacked
    BallSacked Member Posts: 3,279
    edited September 2015
    DDY has a Ph.D. in TBS
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    edited September 2015

    DDY has a Ph.D. in TBS

    Kind of?