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Cal Favored @ Washington
HFNY
Member Posts: 4,536
I think it opened at 2 or 2.5 and now it's Washington +4.5
Goff sprained his ankle but sounds like it was minor. BB's looked more serious against Utah State but hopefully he started getting treatment immediately and will be ready for Cal's passing attacking.
Probably their most significant injury is a leg injury to Devante Wilson (bounce-back from USC, picked Cal over us coming out of JC). He may be their best pass rusher and it hurts their DL depth.
I had thought this game would be a pick' em. The public is probably overrating Cal's win over a Texas team that is still trying to find its identity while dealing with the slippage from Mack Brown's last couple of years.
Maybe the sharps will come in at the end of the week and push it down to UW +3.
Goff sprained his ankle but sounds like it was minor. BB's looked more serious against Utah State but hopefully he started getting treatment immediately and will be ready for Cal's passing attacking.
Probably their most significant injury is a leg injury to Devante Wilson (bounce-back from USC, picked Cal over us coming out of JC). He may be their best pass rusher and it hurts their DL depth.
I had thought this game would be a pick' em. The public is probably overrating Cal's win over a Texas team that is still trying to find its identity while dealing with the slippage from Mack Brown's last couple of years.
Maybe the sharps will come in at the end of the week and push it down to UW +3.
Comments
Generally rule is to beware of the home dog particularly when that dog has the better defense.
And finally, we beat Cal 31-7 last year at their place with Cyler Miles at QB. I don't see our defense being materially worse year to year. Browning should be an upgrade over Miles. Is Cal really 24+ points better than us in 12 months? I don't think so.
Regardless of what the old fat man says, I'm not a Cal fan at all...i fucking hate them...but their offense is dangerous regardless of how bad their defense is.
Sounds like you do care
We needed a miracle in the '93 game at Cal, coming back from a 23-3 deficit. But not in 1991.
The real miracle is DJ got to avoid Terry Donahue that season. Terry Donahue owned DJ, even though TD was a mediocre coach.
I expect a traditional UW home game against Cal -> fall behind by 17 points, then UW scores 21 in the 4th Q.
COOK IT
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If you go look back at last year's game, we did 3 things particularly well on defense:
1) We stuffed the Cal running game making it a non-factor
2) We tackled well after the catch and limited explosive plays
3) We were able to take away some of the quick throws that led to the DL having the time to get after Goff
If you look at the games so far this year, we stuffed Boise for 3.5 yards per carry. Utah St averaged 2.8 yards per carry. I'm fairly confident in our ability to slow Cal's running game down.
And, not that this means anything against the game per se, but Washington has covered now 6 of the last 8 games. The only games not covered were the bowl game stink fest and the UCLA game last year where Kikaha got hurt early in the game. This is a team that isn't sexy and sexy teams generally don't get bet up by the public ... but the sharps like them. In contrast, Cal has the QB and is a sexy pick ... they aren't covering at a high rate.
No question Cal can win the game. But it should be close. And in that event, give me the home team that has the better defense. UW wins 27-24.