Mega Conferences Make mediocre teams look good
Comments
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Nine win sark
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Statistically speaking, all megaconferences do is increase the variance in schedule strength.
You cannot add teams of similar merit to a conference and change the overall likelihood of winning, say, 9 games.
But that does increase the likelihood that a mid-team, say UW in 2025, would get a pillowy schedule, while poor Wisconsin would play 8 of the top 10 in the 18- team league.
I'd argue that the B1G is the same or overall better today than when it was at 10-14 teams.
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You clearly are not grasping the concept of a large, diluted conference and it being easier to source wins in that scenario.
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+1 for the
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One bit of evidence to support your hypothesis, is you're eliminating games (especially the road versions) against greased up (full revenue share) Beavers, Kewgs, Sun Devils, etc.
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Everyone is missing the fastball here. No one in college football today, not Indiana, not Miami, not Oregon would stand a chance against the stacked rosters of Alabama, LSU and Georgia from five short years ago. NIL and unlimited free agency have sapped depth from the SEC where they've been paying players for years and stashing draftable talent until their junior year when they just reload their roster with uber talented upperclassmen. Now the top 8-12 teams are about the same, which is a lot of fun. Then there's maybe 15 P4 teams after that that are interchangeable. UW, Illinois, Iowa and Michigan were in that second group last year. No one in tier 1 is historically elite and UW isn't that far away from the 8-12 group in tier 1. If Fish is any good they'll make a jump, If he's more Sark than Pete they'll mire in tier 2 and then it will be up to Chum to decide how long he's comfortable staying there.
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You have teams that are dodging the good teams.
Example being aTm this year. The conference is so large they somehow dodged uga, ole miss, bama, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Vanderbilt. Tiebreakers have tons of teams with the same record in the conference with a lack of common opponents (different issue). So what was probably a 9 win team tops in the old SEC spent the majority of the second half of the year in the top 3 of the playoff rankings.TLDR. The conferences are too big.
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I miss days of the PAC 10, where we could play every other team in our conference, every single year.
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Conferences should be comprised of either 9 or 11 teams, everyone plays each other with no CCG. CCGs are a punishment with the expanded playoff.
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Big agree. When we? played Bama in 2016 they were like a psycho greased up robot team. Hasn't been a team like that in a few years now since maybe Georgias last good team
