CFP Selection Committee’s worst nightmare coming true!
Comments
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the betting sites right now after the games have been completed are uniformly stating that the final 4 are:
Michigan +110
Texas +350
Washington +450
Alabama +650
Florida State +1600
The only way Bama gets in is if Texas gets in as well, so... -
UM, UW, Texas are inTheRoarOfTheCrowd said:the betting sites right now after the games have been completed are uniformly stating that the final 4 are:
Michigan +110
Texas +350
Washington +450
Alabama +650
Florida State +1600
The only way Bama gets in is if Texas gets in as well, so...
It’s between Bama and FSU for the 4th spot. -
The betting sites as of now are uniformly stating the final 4 will be:Doog_de_Jour said:Since we?ve secured our? spot, I love seeing the chaos unfold.
I’ve mentioned to people the very far fetched idea the selection committee fucks over FSU in favor of an SEC team to keep the TV networks happy to a few people and they think I’m nuts.
Michigan +110
Texas +350
Washington +450
Alabama +650
Florida State +1600
The only way Bama gets in is if Texas does too, So... -
Don’t look at the title odds. Look at the odds to make cfp. Right now those areTheRoarOfTheCrowd said:
The betting sites as of now are uniformly stating the final 4 will be:Doog_de_Jour said:Since we?ve secured our? spot, I love seeing the chaos unfold.
I’ve mentioned to people the very far fetched idea the selection committee fucks over FSU in favor of an SEC team to keep the TV networks happy to a few people and they think I’m nuts.
Michigan +110
Texas +350
Washington +450
Alabama +650
Florida State +1600
The only way Bama gets in is if Texas does too, So...
Texas -350
Fsu-300
Bama +110 -
The media wishing it's so.KrunkJuice said:Mrs. Unequivocally just said she think FSU falls to 6 with 3-5 being Texas, Bama and Georgia. Someone probably leaked it to her.
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Yes. And that’s why I wouldn’t be shocked if FSU is somehow excluded because I doubt the media/advertisers at least have some say in the committee’s decisions…which is my official entry into @DerekJohnson/@JoeEDangerously Conspiracy Theory of the Year competitionUW_Doog_Bot said:
The media wishing it's so.KrunkJuice said:Mrs. Unequivocally just said she think FSU falls to 6 with 3-5 being Texas, Bama and Georgia. Someone probably leaked it to her.
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Florida state is borderline blue blood and snapped SEC natty streak back in 2013.
For them to go undefeated and not get in, when their conference has a winning record against the SEC and they are personally 2-0, would really blow the entire thing up. -
FSU will get the final spot. Georgia and Bama are certainly better teams but they have never left out an undefeated power 5 conference champion. Texas beat Bama so sorry SEC welcome to schedule fuckery it’s about time it fucking happened to you.
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I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
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Georgia will 100% be left out. It’s between Bama and FSU for the final spot.DerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
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We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are #6 at best -
Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.whatshouldicareabout said:
We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are #6 at best
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FSU has to be in IMO.
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Michigan, UW, FSU, Texas or blow the whole thing up
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They said no team that has been ranked #1 at any point in the playoff rankings has ever been left out. They also said no team rated 6 or lower has made the jump in. I think Texas and Bama are 7 and 8.DerekJohnson said:
Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.whatshouldicareabout said:
We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are #6 at best -
The issue is that they were gifted #1 without needing to prove it most of the year. They're clearly not what they were over the past couple seasonsDerekJohnson said:
Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.whatshouldicareabout said:
We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are #6 at best -
Off Shore Odds as of Sunday Morning 12:30am:
Football - NCAA Football Futures:
Alabama - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-110
No-120
Florida State - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-350
No+225
Georgia - To Make the Playoffs
Yes+1100
No-5000
Texas - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-300
No+220
2023-2024 NCAA Championship Winner
12/15/23
NCAA Champion
Michigan (#1)+110
Texas (#4)+325
Alabama (#5)+500
Washington (#2)+500
Florida State (#3)+1200
Georgia (#6)+3300
2023-2024 NCAA Championship Winner
12/15/23
NCAA Champion Michigan
Michigan+110
Field-150
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Unprecedented group of teams to work with. The case for Bama is laid out by Stewart Mandel this morning: more top 25 wins than Texas/FSU and he thinks following the process the committee goes through that Bama will make it all the way to 3. His 4 were Michigan, UW, Bama, FSU, forcing us to take on Bama in the Sugar.
Which is bullshit. We better get FSU or the Rose Bowl. Having to play Texas or Bama in the Sugar would be horseshit.
What we need to hope for:
SMU does not make the top 25 to replace Tulane and instead Utah comes back in. Another top 25 win for us.
Oregon ends up no worse than 8 with tOSU at 7. Ideally these are flipped, not punishing Oregon for playing an extra game since they were ahead of tOSU last week.
That’s enough to push us over Michigan and into the Rose. I hope.
Ideal standings:
1 UW
2 Mich
3 Texas
4 FSU
More likely:
1 UW
2 Mich
3 Bama
4 FSU
Meh but ok:
1 Mich
2 UW
3 FSU
4 Texas
Bullshit unless we’re playing in the Rose
1 Mich
2 UW
3 Bama
4 FSU -
UW_Doog_Bot said:
The committee doesn't just ask the #1 seed what bowl they want.
They try to minimize travel and maximize revenues, both TV and ticket sales.
They aren't going to play criss cross apple sauce geographically just because Harbaugh would like it.
Thank you! -
Wasn’t tOSU ranked number 1 for a week? They’re already out. Unprecedented but it could happen to 2 teams this year if tOSU was ranked at #1 at some point.KrunkJuice said:
They said no team that has been ranked #1 at any point in the playoff rankings has ever been left out. They also said no team rated 6 or lower has made the jump in. I think Texas and Bama are 7 and 8.DerekJohnson said:
Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.whatshouldicareabout said:
We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are #6 at best -
Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.
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Yep. Hit me this morning too. The original bowl alignments would be very fulfilling. Georgia - FSU in Orange, Texas - Bama in Sugar, and what a Rose Bowl.GrundleStiltzkin said:Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.
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The plus 1 model would’ve been the best. Take the 2 highest ranked teams after the traditional bowls and let them play.GrundleStiltzkin said:Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.
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--@SECDAWGwhatshouldicareabout said:
We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SORDerekJohnson said:I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare
UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.
They are#6 at best#2 at worst
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Here’s the proof on this:CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:UW_Doog_Bot said:The committee doesn't just ask the #1 seed what bowl they want.
They try to minimize travel and maximize revenues, both TV and ticket sales.
They aren't going to play criss cross apple sauce geographically just because Harbaugh would like it.
Thank you!
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BuT a TwElvE TeAm PlayoFf!whlinder said:
Yep. Hit me this morning too. The original bowl alignments would be very fulfilling. Georgia - FSU in Orange, Texas - Bama in Sugar, and what a Rose Bowl.GrundleStiltzkin said:Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.
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This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocksntxduck said:Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.
UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl. -
I'm hearing the odds mean Oregon won.ntxduck said:
This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocksntxduck said:Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.
UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl. -
Odds on events that are selected by committees (ncaa bubble, cfp playoff) are a lot more spot on. Because there are self-important people in the room leaking info. Not comparable to game odds.UW_Doog_Bot said:
I'm hearing the odds mean Oregon won.ntxduck said:
This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocksntxduck said:Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.
UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl. -
Or people that leak info to try and influence outcomes.ntxduck said:
Odds on events that are selected by committees (ncaa bubble, cfp playoff) are a lot more spot on. Because there are self-important people in the room leaking info. Not comparable to game odds.UW_Doog_Bot said:
I'm hearing the odds mean Oregon won.ntxduck said:
This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocksntxduck said:Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.
UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl.
