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ESPN thinks Oregon at minus 3 is Free Money

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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,886 Founders Club
    I like Oregon in this one
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800

    I like Oregon in this one

    I’ve never been so sure of a OU loss to UW. And I’m
    Not even playing dead.
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,136
    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,136
    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,271 Founders Club
    edited October 2023
    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,136

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Rome tanned, rested, and ready?
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    I hear there may be a bomb cyclone headed right toward Montlake Saturday.

    (I like to refer to Husky Stadium as Montlake. I do that.)
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,136
    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
    I can’t tell if you’re fucking with me or not, but the screenshot in OP starts with “No. 8 Oregon (-3)”
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    edited October 2023

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Either way it will be interesting.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,271 Founders Club
    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/
  • Canadawg
    Canadawg Member Posts: 5,317
    FPI is always impressed by stars
  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,289 Founders Club
    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    An IQ over 80?
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    edited October 2023

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/

    "Players like safety Asa Turner, left guard Julius Buelow, wide receiver Jalen McMillan and defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa all have missed time as well, but there is some belief that those player will be able to suit up and play after the bye week for the Huskies."


    High ankle sprains need more than a bye week. The LG and Tuli may suit up but they will be a shell of themselves. They might be able to manage the pain for Odunze and he plays normally. Everything I hear is McMillan is 100% healthy but he's been sitting. He might just pick up where he left off. It's a long list of good players that are dealing with stuff.

    Again, I am not that confident since this is virtually a pick'em game.
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
    I can’t tell if you’re fucking with me or not, but the screenshot in OP starts with “No. 8 Oregon (-3)”
    I totally just missed it.
  • Canadawg
    Canadawg Member Posts: 5,317
    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/

    "Players like safety Asa Turner, left guard Julius Buelow, wide receiver Jalen McMillan and defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa all have missed time as well, but there is some belief that those player will be able to suit up and play after the bye week for the Huskies."


    High ankle sprains need more than a bye week. The LG and Tuli may suit up but they will be a shell of themselves. They might be able to manage the pain for Odunze and he plays normally. Everything I hear is McMillan is 100% healthy but he's been sitting. He might just pick up where he left off. It's a long list of good players that are dealing with stuff.

    Again, I am not that confident since this is virtually a pick'em game.
    You are trying to talk like you know anything. Let me assure you that you know absolutely nothing about their specific injuries and apparently how injuries work at all
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    An IQ over 80?
    Apparently eyesight
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    edited October 2023
    Canadawg said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/

    "Players like safety Asa Turner, left guard Julius Buelow, wide receiver Jalen McMillan and defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa all have missed time as well, but there is some belief that those player will be able to suit up and play after the bye week for the Huskies."


    High ankle sprains need more than a bye week. The LG and Tuli may suit up but they will be a shell of themselves. They might be able to manage the pain for Odunze and he plays normally. Everything I hear is McMillan is 100% healthy but he's been sitting. He might just pick up where he left off. It's a long list of good players that are dealing with stuff.

    Again, I am not that confident since this is virtually a pick'em game.
    You are trying to talk like you know anything. Let me assure you that you know absolutely nothing about their specific injuries and apparently how injuries work at all
    Ok. UW has a litany of banged up players that matter for their success. If you think they will all be 100%, I don’t know what to tell you. I said this line would squeeze and it has.

    Big guys with ankle sprains and rib shots don’t usually heal in two weeks. Tuli went out and the run defense fell off a cliff. I would be surprised if he were himself or if he takes his usual reps.

    They have to be managing his load too during practice week.

    Your response is you’re dumb. Your response is not rooted in substance. It’s all for the chins.
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715

    bisonduck said:

    Canadawg said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/

    "Players like safety Asa Turner, left guard Julius Buelow, wide receiver Jalen McMillan and defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa all have missed time as well, but there is some belief that those player will be able to suit up and play after the bye week for the Huskies."


    High ankle sprains need more than a bye week. The LG and Tuli may suit up but they will be a shell of themselves. They might be able to manage the pain for Odunze and he plays normally. Everything I hear is McMillan is 100% healthy but he's been sitting. He might just pick up where he left off. It's a long list of good players that are dealing with stuff.

    Again, I am not that confident since this is virtually a pick'em game.
    You are trying to talk like you know anything. Let me assure you that you know absolutely nothing about their specific injuries and apparently how injuries work at all
    Ok. UW has a litany of banged up players that matter for their success. If you think they will all be 100%, I don’t know what to tell you. I said this line would squeeze and it has.

    Big guys with ankle sprains and rib shots don’t usually heal in two weeks. Tuli went out and the run defense fell off a cliff. I would be surprised if he were himself or if he takes his usual reps.

    They have to be managing his load too during practice week.

    Your response is you’re dumb. Your response is not rooted in substance. It’s all for the chins.
    Shut the fuck up asshat. You were all over here saying Odunze had a broken rib.

    It turns out, he doesn't. For all we know he got the wind knocked out of him.

    STFU
    I never made a definitive statement. Also, how do you know it’s not a cracked rib?
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    edited October 2023

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    Canadawg said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/

    "Players like safety Asa Turner, left guard Julius Buelow, wide receiver Jalen McMillan and defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa all have missed time as well, but there is some belief that those player will be able to suit up and play after the bye week for the Huskies."


    High ankle sprains need more than a bye week. The LG and Tuli may suit up but they will be a shell of themselves. They might be able to manage the pain for Odunze and he plays normally. Everything I hear is McMillan is 100% healthy but he's been sitting. He might just pick up where he left off. It's a long list of good players that are dealing with stuff.

    Again, I am not that confident since this is virtually a pick'em game.
    You are trying to talk like you know anything. Let me assure you that you know absolutely nothing about their specific injuries and apparently how injuries work at all
    Ok. UW has a litany of banged up players that matter for their success. If you think they will all be 100%, I don’t know what to tell you. I said this line would squeeze and it has.

    Big guys with ankle sprains and rib shots don’t usually heal in two weeks. Tuli went out and the run defense fell off a cliff. I would be surprised if he were himself or if he takes his usual reps.

    They have to be managing his load too during practice week.

    Your response is you’re dumb. Your response is not rooted in substance. It’s all for the chins.
    Shut the fuck up asshat. You were all over here saying Odunze had a broken rib.

    It turns out, he doesn't. For all we know he got the wind knocked out of him.

    STFU
    I never made a definitive statement. Also, how do you know it’s not a cracked rib?
    how do you know UW won't come out of the tunnel wearing pink tutus?

    How do you know Bo Nix didn't get a debilitating hemorrhoid?

    how do you know Lanning doesn't have a staph infection on his forehead after an infected roboduck tattoo gone wrong?

    See how retarded this exercise is?

    you don't know anything and neither does anyone else.

    HTH
    We saw him take a shot to the ribs or sternum. There’s a huge difference.

    It looked like a cracked rib or bruised sternum.