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ESPN thinks Oregon at minus 3 is Free Money

YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 34,289
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https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/38613919/week-7-college-football-betting-odds-lines-picks-more




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    MikeSeaverMikeSeaver Member Posts: 4,405
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    UW -2.5 now.
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    TheHBTheHB Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,430
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    MikeSeaver said:

    UW -2.5 now.


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    RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 102,432
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    I like Oregon in this one
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    bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
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    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
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    MikeSeaverMikeSeaver Member Posts: 4,405
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    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I’ve never been so sure of a OU loss to UW. And I’m
    Not even playing dead.
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    bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
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    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
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    ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 5,518
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    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
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    bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
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    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
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    ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 5,518
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    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
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    YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 34,289
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    edited October 2023
    bisonduck said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


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    bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
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    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
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    ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 5,518
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    YellowSnow said:

    bisonduck said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Rome tanned, rested, and ready?
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    TheHBTheHB Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,430
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    I hear there may be a bomb cyclone headed right toward Montlake Saturday.

    (I like to refer to Husky Stadium as Montlake. I do that.)
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    ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 5,518
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    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
    I can’t tell if you’re fucking with me or not, but the screenshot in OP starts with “No. 8 Oregon (-3)”
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    bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
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    edited October 2023
    YellowSnow said:

    bisonduck said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
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    TheHBTheHB Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,430
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    bisonduck said:

    YellowSnow said:

    bisonduck said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Either way it will be interesting.
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    YellowSnowYellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 34,289
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    bisonduck said:

    YellowSnow said:

    bisonduck said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/
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    CanadawgCanadawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,056
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    FPI is always impressed by stars
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