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A Q for the Wealth Creators

AZDuck
AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
Do you really believe you tax cuts create economic growth? Because the economics and reality seem to disagree:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/14/opinion/kansas-ruinous-tax-cuts.html?
The 2012 cuts were among the largest ever enacted by a state, reducing the top tax bracket by 25 percent and eliminating all taxes on business profits that are reported on individual income returns. (No other state has ever eliminated all taxes on these pass-through businesses.) The cuts were arrogantly promoted by Mr. Brownback with the same disproven theory that Republicans have employed for decades: There will be no loss of revenue because of all the economic growth!

“Our new pro-growth tax policy will be like a shot of adrenaline into the heart of the Kansas economy,” he wrote in 2012. “It will pave the way to the creation of tens of thousands of new jobs, bring tens of thousands of people to Kansas, and help make our state the best place in America to start and grow a small business.”

But the growth didn’t show up. Kansas, in fact, was one of only five states to lose employment over the last six months, while the rest of the country was improving. It has been below the national average in job gains for the three and half years Mr. Brownback has been in office. Average earnings in the state are down since 2012, and so is net growth in the number of registered businesses.
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Comments

  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Leaving aside the deontological value of the value system you describe, in the real world Kansas is starving its state universities and primary education system. Education is the primary mode of social mobility. So poor and working class Kansan children are losing their opportunity to climb the social ladder.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    edited July 2014
    Moody's >>>>>>> The New American
    Oh, and this seems to contradict the New American as well:

    http://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article635575.html
    While that’s a small sum, Kansas was one of only five states in the nation to shed employment over that time.

    All of Kansas’ neighbors have done far better since November, led by Colorado (up 41,000 jobs), Missouri (up 15,400) and Oklahoma (up 13,800).
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    AZDuck said:

    Leaving aside the deontological value of the value system you describe, in the real world Kansas is starving its state universities and primary education system. Education is the primary mode of social mobility. So poor and working class Kansan children are losing their opportunity to climb the social ladder.

    The problem is decades of expansion and misplaced priorities. If public education is a primary function of state government, the money is there to fund it. Funding is being sucked away by a myriad of agencies and programs that no one remembers establishing but no one is willing to let go. It's the same as going from a $200k/year job to a $100k/job. You probably still have enough money for your mortgage. It's the financed pair of jet skis, 3 car payments, a timeshare, and golf club membership that is dragging you down.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Grundle, I know we disagree on this, but I'm of the belief that more money sloshing around in the economy is good for everyone. Even paying useless fucks like me a government salary is good because I spend most of it and the money continues to slosh around the economy - paying other useless fucks at the liquor stores and massage parlors.

    Spending goes down as income rises, and Laffer has been disproven. Also, the structures established by government are notoriously difficult to dismantle - part of the reason why every tax-cutting Republican administration has left ruinous deficits in their wake at the national level, and Brownback is about to crash Kansas into the fucking mountain.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,738 Founders Club

    AZDuck said:

    Leaving aside the deontological value of the value system you describe, in the real world Kansas is starving its state universities and primary education system. Education is the primary mode of social mobility. So poor and working class Kansan children are losing their opportunity to climb the social ladder.

    The problem is decades of expansion and misplaced priorities. If public education is a primary function of state government, the money is there to fund it. Funding is being sucked away by a myriad of agencies and programs that no one remembers establishing but no one is willing to let go. It's the same as going from a $200k/year job to a $100k/job. You probably still have enough money for your mortgage. It's the financed pair of jet skis, 3 car payments, a timeshare, and golf club membership hookers and blow that is dragging you down.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    I'm telling you, hookers and blow are good for the overall economy. But then again, I'm a Keynesian.
  • doogsinparadise
    doogsinparadise Member Posts: 9,320
    Expect to hear a lot about Kansas in the coming months leading up to November, what a fucking dreckfest.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,738 Founders Club
    AZDuck said:

    Leaving aside the deontological value of the value system you describe, in the real world Kansas is starving its state universities and primary education system. Education is the primary mode of social mobility. So poor and working class Kansan children are losing their opportunity to climb the social ladder.

    Couple poonts.

    1) What the fuck is deontoligical? Is it an STD? A dinosaur?

    2) The lottery is the primary mode of social mobility.

    Glad I cleared that up.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Deontological ethics or deontology is the normative ethical position that judges the morality of an action based on the action's adherence to a rule or rules.[1] It is sometimes described as "duty" or "obligation" or "rule"-based ethics, because rules "bind you to your duty."[2] Deontological ethics is commonly contrasted to consequentialism[3] and virtue ethics. Deontological ethics is also contrasted to pragmatic ethics. In this terminology action is more important than the consequences.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    AZDuck said:

    Grundle, I know we disagree on this, but I'm of the belief that more money sloshing around in the economy is good for everyone. Even paying useless fucks like me a government salary is good because I spend most of it and the money continues to slosh around the economy - paying other useless fucks at the liquor stores and massage parlors.

    I hear ya. The sloshing in gubment bucket is a problem because that bucket has a lot of handles and a lot of holes.
    AZDuck said:

    Spending goes down as income rises, and Laffer has been disproven. Also, the structures established by government are notoriously difficult to dismantle - part of the reason why every tax-cutting Republican administration has left ruinous deficits in their wake at the national level, and Brownback is about to crash Kansas into the fucking mountain.

    That is the very crux of it. They're all statists. Nothing ever goes away.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,738 Founders Club
    This thread taught me that Grundle is smarter than he lets on, and I am quite dumb.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,738 Founders Club
    AZDuck said:

    Deontological ethics or deontology is the normative ethical position that judges the morality of an action based on the action's adherence to a rule or rules.[1] It is sometimes described as "duty" or "obligation" or "rule"-based ethics, because rules "bind you to your duty."[2] Deontological ethics is commonly contrasted to consequentialism[3] and virtue ethics. Deontological ethics is also contrasted to pragmatic ethics. In this terminology action is more important than the consequences.
    Thanks for putting in a definition where I only understood half the words. I'm going back to Mom's basement to sulk. Might look at porn as well.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Swaye said:

    This thread taught me that Grundle is smarter than he lets on, and I am quite dumb.

    Free pub!11!!11 And please, we're all friends in this thread, call me Assneck.
  • sarktastic
    sarktastic Member Posts: 9,208
    edited July 2014


    Moody's? isn't that the ratings service that would take pooled mortgage loans originated on 100% LTV, made to borrowers with no job, no assets and a Sears Credit Card that's 2 years old with a $1,000 limit... and rated them AAA so they could be purchased by pension funds and as legal reserves by Insurance companies??

  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    AZDuck said:

    Grundle, I know we disagree on this, but I'm of the belief that more money sloshing around in the economy is good for everyone. Even paying useless fucks like me a government salary is good because I spend most of it and the money continues to slosh around the economy - paying other useless fucks at the liquor stores and massage parlors.

    Spending goes down as income rises, and Laffer has been disproven. Also, the structures established by government are notoriously difficult to dismantle - part of the reason why every tax-cutting Republican administration has left ruinous deficits in their wake at the national level, and Brownback is about to crash Kansas into the fucking mountain.

    Laffer has been disproven? This should be good.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Still better than Mike's source.



    Moody's? isn't that the ratings service that would take pooled mortgage loans originated on 100% LTV, made to borrowers with no job, no assets and a Sears Credit Card that's 2 years old with a $1,000 limit... and rated them AAA so they could be purchased by pension funds and as legal reserves by Insurance companies??

  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    PurpleJ said:

    AZDuck said:

    Grundle, I know we disagree on this, but I'm of the belief that more money sloshing around in the economy is good for everyone. Even paying useless fucks like me a government salary is good because I spend most of it and the money continues to slosh around the economy - paying other useless fucks at the liquor stores and massage parlors.

    Spending goes down as income rises, and Laffer has been disproven. Also, the structures established by government are notoriously difficult to dismantle - part of the reason why every tax-cutting Republican administration has left ruinous deficits in their wake at the national level, and Brownback is about to crash Kansas into the fucking mountain.

    Laffer has been disproven? This should be good.
    image

    probably not citrus
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    1. Cutting tax rates only results in increased tax revenue if you're on the right side of the curve. I'm pretty sure we aren't on the right side of the curve.

    2. The ideal result of taxation isn't to maximize tax revenue, but to maximize economic growth. All the Laffer Curve illustrates is the point where taxable revenue is maximized. Maximum levels of growth occur on the left side of the curve, with rates below that of the revenue maximizing point.

    3. Even if that survey was valid, it wouldn't prove shit. Those are opinions.
  • topdawgnc
    topdawgnc Member Posts: 7,839
    The ultimate question: Who can spend money more efficiently. The government or the private sector. I believe in the private sector. However, it can't just be about taxes.

    Here in Texas we have low taxes, however, we also have other factors that create a "surround sound" of savings. Tort laws are very much in favor of the business community, property is abundant and there is not a lot of regulation to prevent growth. Unions are kept in check, which allows for a business dollar to go farther.

    We also have a large population, which helps. And we have a great family draw. Cities are clean, vibrant, and our education system is strong.

    Let's face facts. People aren't anxious to move to Topeka, Kansas. And if they move to Kansas City, there is a good chance they end up in Missouri.

    I am also amused we are assuming Kansas' success/failure after only one year.

    If we use that measuring stick Reagan would never had seen a second term ...

  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    topdawgnc said:

    The ultimate question: Who can spend money more efficiently. The government or the private sector. I believe in the private sector. However, it can't just be about taxes.

    Here in Texas we have low taxes, however, we also have other factors that create a "surround sound" of savings. Tort laws are very much in favor of the business community, property is abundant and there is not a lot of regulation to prevent growth. Unions are kept in check, which allows for a business dollar to go farther.

    We also have a large population, which helps. And we have a great family draw. Cities are clean, vibrant, and our education system is strong.

    Let's face facts. People aren't anxious to move to Topeka, Kansas. And if they move to Kansas City, there is a good chance they end up in Missouri.

    I am also amused we are assuming Kansas' success/failure after only one year.

    If we use that measuring stick Reagan would never had seen a second term ...

    The key is, as always, what is the most efficient allocation of resources. Spot on.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    edited July 2014
    http://blogs.ajc.com/jay-bookman-blog/2010/09/14/the-laffer-curve-debunked-part-one/

    image
    [T]he problem is, something very destructive happened in the translation of this economic theory into political language and policy. In the popular conservative version of the Laffer Curve, no debate over the location of Point A is even tolerated, because cutting tax rates is said to ALWAYS generate more government revenue.

    In effect, Region B, the part of the curve in which lower tax rates produce sharply lower government revenue, has simply been banished from the discussion.

    image

    Once you do that, however, the Laffer Curve no longer functions as a curve at all (see Figure Three). If lower rates always produce more revenue, as the right likes to claim, the Laffer Curve becomes the Laffer Line, and Point A, the sweetspot, stands at a tax rate of zero.

    While that makes no sense mathematically, politically it is an enormously appealing notion. It’s like telling someone with an obesity problem that the best way to lose weight is to always eat more ice cream — more times than not, their eagerness to believe overwhelms any skepticism.
    Purp - the thing is that as a matter of policy, nobody seems to want to discuss the utility of the curve. Since a bunch of trained economists don't think that it can be used to guide policy, the Laffer Curve probably shouldn't be used to formulate policy.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    edited July 2014
    Mike said:
    We know that states that on average sates without an income tax have had double the population growth and more than double the income growth of states with very high income taxes over the last 10 years.

    We know that Texas (with no income tax) gained 1 million jobs over the last five years, California (high income tax), lost jobs.
    Not the case.

    http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-california-job-growth-beats-rest-of-us-ucla-anderson-forecast-says-20140613-story.html

    http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/magazine/march_april_may_2014/features/oops_the_texas_miracle_that_is049289.php?page=all

    image
    But this model of economic development, which also combines a highly regressive tax system with minimal levels of public investment, has not allowed Texas to keep up with America’s best-performing states in per capita income or rates of upward mobility. And that’s what most people, including in Texas, most want the economy to deliver.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,738 Founders Club
    edited July 2014
    I left Maryland and moved to Virginia after I retired for a number of reasons, but chief among those was taxes. Single example I know, but I cannot think that I am alone in searching out states that give me more economic freedom. I was willing to move everything I own for it. Who wants to pay a tax for the economic impact of their roofwater runoff? Yes, that's correct, MD taxes the rain that hits your roof. Fuck Maryland.
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    AZDuck said:

    PurpleJ said:

    AZDuck said:

    Grundle, I know we disagree on this, but I'm of the belief that more money sloshing around in the economy is good for everyone. Even paying useless fucks like me a government salary is good because I spend most of it and the money continues to slosh around the economy - paying other useless fucks at the liquor stores and massage parlors.

    Spending goes down as income rises, and Laffer has been disproven. Also, the structures established by government are notoriously difficult to dismantle - part of the reason why every tax-cutting Republican administration has left ruinous deficits in their wake at the national level, and Brownback is about to crash Kansas into the fucking mountain.

    Laffer has been disproven? This should be good.
    image

    probably not citrus
    Where is the U.S. currently on the Laffer curve? Does anyone know? The laffer curve also demonstrates that at a point, tax cuts will result in less revenue. It doesn't say cutting all taxes to zero will generate more revenue. It simply states there is a level that at which raising or cutting taxes will generate the most revenue. Would a 100% tax rate increase revenue? The whole thing is too simplistic, but if your going to "disprove" it, at least acknowledge what it is trying to communicate.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Swaye - that's fine. Nobody likes paying taxes. And your circumstances as a retiree are significant because you lost untaxed income in the form of BAH and BAS and are on a limited (and fixed) income as a retiree. States like Florida, Arizona and, I guess, Virginia have made a decision to capture retirees.
  • AZDuck
    AZDuck Member Posts: 15,381
    Where is the U.S. currently on the Laffer curve? Does anyone know?
    Nobody does. That's my poont. And we never will.