In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.
Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2. Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie) Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings. When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams. Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule) Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games. Coin toss
UCLA has UW in head to head so we want the Bruins to loose.
Oregon & Utah only have 1 conference loss. Need Oregon to lose at least 1 to get us with same conference record but we have head to head.
Need Utah to lose at least 1 if not both remaining games. Our loss to ASU could hurt us if we end up with same conference record as Utah but if Utah looses to Ducks, that might in our favor hence the talk rowboat known as @YellowSnow rooting against his ski buddy @89ute.
If USC, UW, and Utah win out, then USC beats Utah, it creates an interesting scenario
I think Utah would still go to the Rose, but UW at 10-2 likely gets an NY6
Utah would be 10-3 with 2 conference losses and UW would be 10-2. I think Utah gets the Rose there by virtue of finishing 2nd, technically
Definitely an interesting scenario. It's similar to 2016 when a 9-3 USC team got picked over a 10-3 Colorado team for the Rose Bowl after UW got into the CFP. Colorado won the South but got boat raced in the championship game and dropped below USC in the rankings. I'm not sure if the committee is obligated to take the next highest ranked Pac12 team or if there is some flexibility there. BPE is must see TV and I could see the Rose Bowl going with a 10-2 UW team over a 10-3 Utah squad because of Penix.
What we'll need to get that scenario: Utah beats Oregon (knocks UO out of contention) USC beats UCLA (knocks UCLA out of contention) USC wins out (gets USC to CFP) with a convincing win over Utah (drops Utah behind us in the rankings)
If USC wins out that should be enough to get them into the CFP without additional help assuming nothing weird happens like Georgia losing to LSU
In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.
Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2. Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie) Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings. When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams. Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule) Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games. Coin toss
I haven’t seen the tiebreaker scenarios for a 5 way tie at 7-2.
UW win out UCLA win out UO win then lose Utah beats Colorado.
Should end up with a common opponent tiebreak. How many teams in the conference played all 5 of them?
Going through this scenario, I am not sure it is even covered. Like, the win percentage against all common conference opponents (Arizona, Stanford, Colorado) in this scenario is 100% for everyone except UCLA. Does that eliminate UCLA or does it move on to the next tiebreaker because no team won at that step, and continue to include UCLA?
If it does eliminate UCLA, think Oregon would "win" that iteration since they'd be 1-0 vs UCLA and the other 3 would be 0-1 (record against next highest placed conference opponent). Then to tiebreak for #2, does it start over or is it UW vs Utah vs USC? In which case Utah wins because we're eliminated due to losing to ASU, and then Utah beat USC.
Every team and fanbase that talks paths in November isn't talking paths post-December. Remember when Barry Switzer talked his Sooners for the 84 Natty? I do.
I remember the voters would forgive the Dawgs 1990 road loss to Colorado, Then we? played the hapless Bruins at home. The first half talk was a strong second half, and the Dawgs would cover the spread. Then came the second-half that left fans talking, "if only...."
Every team and fanbase that talks paths in November isn't talking paths post-December. Remember when Barry Switzer talked his Sooners for the 84 Natty? I do.
I remember the voters would forgive the Dawgs 1990 road loss to Colorado, Then we? played the hapless Bruins at home. The first half talk was a strong second half, and the Dawgs would cover the spread. Then came the second-half that left fans talking, "if only...."
Comments
In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.
Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2.
Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie)
Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings.
When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.
Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule)
Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.
Coin toss
https://pac-12.com/football/standings
Oregon & Utah only have 1 conference loss. Need Oregon to lose at least 1 to get us with same conference record but we have head to head.
Need Utah to lose at least 1 if not both remaining games. Our loss to ASU could hurt us if we end up with same conference record as Utah but if Utah looses to Ducks, that might in our favor hence the talk rowboat known as @YellowSnow rooting against his ski buddy @89ute.
What we'll need to get that scenario:
Utah beats Oregon (knocks UO out of contention)
USC beats UCLA (knocks UCLA out of contention)
USC wins out (gets USC to CFP) with a convincing win over Utah (drops Utah behind us in the rankings)
If USC wins out that should be enough to get them into the CFP without additional help assuming nothing weird happens like Georgia losing to LSU
If it does eliminate UCLA, think Oregon would "win" that iteration since they'd be 1-0 vs UCLA and the other 3 would be 0-1 (record against next highest placed conference opponent). Then to tiebreak for #2, does it start over or is it UW vs Utah vs USC? In which case Utah wins because we're eliminated due to losing to ASU, and then Utah beat USC.
I don't fucking know.
I remember the voters would forgive the Dawgs 1990 road loss to Colorado, Then we? played the hapless Bruins at home. The first half talk was a strong second half, and the Dawgs would cover the spread. Then came the second-half that left fans talking, "if only...."
Lambo was two plays away from two Rose Bowls. Two plays. @puppylove_sugarsteel
If Oregon beats Utah then loses to Oregon State
And USC and UW win out
Are we not playing USC in Vegas?