Blue Wave Fupdate
Comments
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Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP -
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP -
No you didn't. Don't try to run cover for the idiots that picked Hilary right up to the end. Like you2001400ex said:
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills
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Having said that the democrats are supposed to win and Trump will get the blame
McConnell and Ryan are doing their best to keep GOP voter turn out down. Democrats won't show up because they love Pelosi or Schumer but because they hate Trump
Trump will make it about him by November and as the head coach he gets the credit or blame -
I stopped listening to what Uncle Rush had to say 14+ years ago.RaceBannon said:
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills
I paid pretty close attention to Silver's site through 2016 and he objectively raised or lowered Trump's chances as new data became available. I think were even some weeks we're he even game him closer to like a 40% chance of winning. -
What is your point? That Huffington Post blows dick? Tell me something I didn't know.RaceBannon said:
As Uncle Rush will tell you pollsters always adjust at the end to protect their jobYellowSnow said:
The thing is, I don't think 2016 really discredited Nate's skillz at a prognosticator. On election day in 2016, he gave Trump a 1 in 3 chance of winning which while not exactly a toss up, still put the odds of it happening as a realistic possibly which is something none of the other left leaning guys were doing. Everyone else had Hills as a lock.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
Polls were used for 18 months to establish an aura of inevitability for Hills -
Yes. You did say that Rasmussen was the most accurate. Defending their outlier poll on Trump's approval rating. They also say that 36% of blacks support Trump. Haha. Ok!RaceBannon said:
No you didn't. Don't try to run cover for the idiots that picked Hilary right up to the end. Like you2001400ex said:
I heard from you that Rasmussen was the only reliable poll for 2016.RaceBannon said:Awesome thanks for the update
I was afraid he was going to pick the GOP
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_larry_j_sabato/our_final_2016_picks -
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
If you think 71 to 28% and an electoral landslide for Hillary on November 8 is good then have at it
Silver fucked up with the rest of them. -
Upsets happen. That's why we play the game.RaceBannon said:https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
If you think 71 to 28% and an electoral landslide for Hillary on November 8 is good then have at it
Silver fucked up with the rest of them.
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If I hadn't called it accurately I would agree
I wasn't blinded by bias and bad math -
Democrats touting poles after the last assured win is special! Keep the tissues and revolvers handy.
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Look you deserve a lot of credit Race for calling it for Trump in 2015 in these pages. I wasn't lurking yet in the Tug, but I'll take your word on it. That said, it was a prediction based on a gut feeling and it worked out. Ball could have very easily bounced the other way.RaceBannon said:If I hadn't called it accurately I would agree
I wasn't blinded by bias and bad math
I for one have no idea how 2018 is going to work out or 2020 for that matter. 75% for Dems to take the House feels a bit high, but I think it's 50/50 at worse. -
Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
Unless YOU have proof in HAND...it’s speculation for YOU. ‘Those who know’....meaning YOU are not a ‘THOSE’. I didn’t create the English language but ‘speculation’ is pretty cut and dry. Unless you are an eye witness, YOU are speculating. Word of mouth is not proof.RaceBannon said:
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
The low info voter has always been the backbone of American Democracy.RaceBannon said:
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
Our resident Sun Doovil is proofYellowSnow said:
The low info voter has always been the backbone of American Democracy.RaceBannon said:
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
The thinking man's leftard is skrong in this thread.
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What is she hiding? Democracy dies in darkness, you know.
http://www.qchron.com/editions/queenswide/ocasio-cortez-bans-press-from-town-hall/article_e59fba26-ddd9-559a-af62-e11dd76e1191.html -
I didn't vote cuntThomasFremont said:
Our resident Sun Doovil is proofYellowSnow said:
The low info voter has always been the backbone of American Democracy.RaceBannon said:
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
GoodPitchfork51 said:
I didn't vote cuntThomasFremont said:
Our resident Sun Doovil is proofYellowSnow said:
The low info voter has always been the backbone of American Democracy.RaceBannon said:
I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meetingGrundleStiltzkin said:Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too. -
All Trump needs to do is force the FBI and DOJ to hand over the damning documents they keep trying to keep out of the public's knowledge unredacted. I would release them late September early October after the court nominee is approved, in order to inflict maximum damage on the out of control democratic party.
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Yes pleaseoregonblitzkrieg said:All Trump needs to do is force the FBI and DOJ to hand over the damning documents they keep trying to keep out of the public's knowledge unredacted. I would release them late September early October after the court nominee is approved, in order to inflict maximum damage on the out of control democratic party.
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#metoo
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I'm just an objective, casual political observer trying to call balls and strikes.oregonblitzkrieg said:The thinking man's leftard is skrong in this thread.
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The democrat party needs to be trashed like Berlin 1945. Then they can start over from scratch, recognize what they had become, and be better Americans in the future.
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Marxists should move to Mexico, it's corrupt and socialist, live out your communist utopia there.
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Good way to get an ice pick in your neckoregonblitzkrieg said:Marxists should move to Mexico, it's corrupt and socialist, live out your communist utopia there.
