Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
NCAA Tourney Chances
Comments
-
Pretty funny...doogie said:Hi, Slim. Meet None. He wants to discuss UW seeding in the upcoming NCAA tournament
However, any team that has a decent shot at winning the Pac 12 tournament has a decent chance of making the tourney. You can make an argument that there won't be much shock if either Arizona, ASU, USC, UCLA, Washington, Stanford, Oregon, or Utah win it and get the automatic bid.
You basically have 8 mediocre teams and 4 big sky teams in this conference. -
The PAC12 is doing itself no favors across the bored. No idea how they've somehow become THIS bad, but when a major 5 league has one lock(and that lock isn't all that impressive in AZ) and the rest are working their way into a 68 team tourney it's downright embarrassing. It's looking more likely that Miller is back at AZ with the ESPN egg lay, however the pac12 needs a massive jolt of talent. The mediocre to bad teams are the norm vs 5-7 years ago when at least 25% of the league was top 25.
-
For any of you stupid fucks that only look at Lunardi's stuff, take a look at this link instead: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
Ranks all projections based on a 5 year average of accuracy. Most people that know what they're doing have UW as one of the last teams in. I think 3 more wins gets it done, including the P12 tourney. Just can't drop the OSU game. -
Arizona, Utah, SC and maybe Oregon deserve to be in if they make the P12 title game. Everyone else should gas up their fishin boats. But again ASU probably takes Utah or Oregons place.
-
Looking at the NCAA Team Sheets that the committee is using, the problem w UW and the P12 teams not named Arizona is that their resumes are all going to look the same.
UW’s biggest problems right now:
Risk of Oregon’s RPI dropping below 75 + Oregon St being a no upside all downside game this weekend.
Our BPI and POM Numbers way higher than RPI giving pause to how good we really are (accurate) ... we’ve definitely drove better results than we should have
The resumes of the other P12 teams on the bubble look very similar to ours w SC and ASU having slightly stronger resumes than UW, UCLA, and Utah. The Xavier win will likely save ASU.
-
The point being. UW can win both games this weekend, but if they don't beat Arizona, USC, or an ASU in the Pac 12 tournament, any team behind them that gets a big upset will jump them.Miley_Cyrus said:For any of you stupid fucks that only look at Lunardi's stuff, take a look at this link instead: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html
Ranks all projections based on a 5 year average of accuracy. Most people that know what they're doing have UW as one of the last teams in. I think 3 more wins gets it done, including the P12 tourney. Just can't drop the OSU game.
Recency also plays a part. UW hasn't looked as good recently as they did at the beginning of the season. Being hot at the end of the season is almost as important if not more important than the end of season resume. What I'm trying to say is that if UW doesn't look like the same team that upset Kansas early this year, the committee will absolutely hold that against them. -
Probably more importantly Kansas doesn’t look like the same team that we beat ...
I don’t think we’ve dropped a ton in our level of play ... we have our warts and they’ve shown up from time to time down the stretch -
We are pretty much who we thought we are. A team with limited potential. At least we are playing up to that potential is all.Tequilla said:Probably more importantly Kansas doesn’t look like the same team that we beat ...
I don’t think we’ve dropped a ton in our level of play ... we have our warts and they’ve shown up from time to time down the stretch -
You are probably right.Tequilla said:Probably more importantly Kansas doesn’t look like the same team that we beat ...
I don’t think we’ve dropped a ton in our level of play ... we have our warts and they’ve shown up from time to time down the stretch -
Well Oregon losing to WSU completely screwed that potential quadrant 2 matchup.dnc said:
You might be wrong on Oregon. They sit at #75 right now. It's possible UW could beat them and Oregon still finish top 75 (depending on what UO does in the PXT). If they do that's a quadrant two win, which we desperately need (currently 1-4 in quadrant 2, 4-4 in quadrant 1).ntxduck said:
This. UW is out right now. Oregon and OSU at home won't move the ledger at all. You can't say "2 in vegas will get us in for sure" until you know who you're playing in Vegas. I think it will take 2 wins in Vegas over teams above UW in the pecking order (Zona, USC, UCLA, ASU, Utah) for UW to get in. UW could win 3 if the bracket shakes out poorly for them (over Cal, OSU, and Stanford) and lose in the title game and still not get in.dnc said:
Doubt it, Cal doesn't help the RPI at all. Empty wins don't move the ledger.BaldwinIV said:better to be a 5 seed and crush cal in 1st round than be a 4 seed and play no game, right?
UW has to win both this week and then hope they get their shot at one/two of those quadrant one wins (which is fucking stupid but that's another thread) in Vegas.
Oregon St definitely isn't going to help.
I don't think there's any chance UW wins 3 in the conference tourney and doesn't go to the dance unless they get swept by the Oregons this week, if only because that's three more road/neutral wins. UW is out right now, they're not way out.
Ultimately I think we'll end up just on the wrong side of the bubble, but as @FreeChavez poonted out the zone should travel well in big, empty arenas. We might show very well in the PXT.
Gotta sweep this week first though.
OTOH, that might have popped Oregon's bubble.
