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NCAA Tourney Chances

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Comments

  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    BaldwinIV said:

    a 22 win team with our resume gets in

    HTH

    Number of wins don't matter
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,268
    dnc said:

    BaldwinIV said:

    a 22 win team with our resume gets in

    HTH

    Number of wins don't matter
    UW's best chance is for a couple of big upsets in the pac12 tourney. This is going to be one of those years where the committee basically looks at the P12 (and a few other conferences) tourney and says--"who really wants to be in?".

    If the conf. tourney started this week, and in Round 1 Cal upsets Utah and Colorado beats ASU (while UW beats Wazzu)--UW would leap frog 2 of the 3 they need right there...Then if Oregon took out USC in Round 2, while UW beat Stanford, all of a sudden UW is right back in it based on who their competitors lost to, not based on who they beat.

    TLDR; Pac 12 tourney is going to be extremely important this year. Basically 5 teams fighting for 2 spots, and whoever the 2 are who go the farthest probably get in.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,268
    BaldwinIV said:

    FUCK.

    For the record...I do think Bubble Watch is way too bullish on ASU. They are a bad, bad team right now--so it will come down to how much the committee values recent form.

    I kind of want ASU to get in, just because that will be the easiest 8/9 game (which historically I am fucking awful at picking) ever. They'll get smashed by 25.

    Going into the last week, if I had to rank the P12 today in the eyes of the committee it would be;

    1. Arizona (Lock)
    2. USC (safely in)
    3. ASU (last 4 in/play-in game)
    4. UCLA (first 4 out)
    5. Tied; Utah (out)/UW (out)
  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,573
    ntxduck said:

    dnc said:

    BaldwinIV said:

    a 22 win team with our resume gets in

    HTH

    Number of wins don't matter
    UW's best chance is for a couple of big upsets in the pac12 tourney. This is going to be one of those years where the committee basically looks at the P12 (and a few other conferences) tourney and says--"who really wants to be in?".

    If the conf. tourney started this week, and in Round 1 Cal upsets Utah and Colorado beats ASU (while UW beats Wazzu)--UW would leap frog 2 of the 3 they need right there...Then if Oregon took out USC in Round 2, while UW beat Stanford, all of a sudden UW is right back in it based on who their competitors lost to, not based on who they beat.

    TLDR; Pac 12 tourney is going to be extremely important this year. Basically 5 teams fighting for 2 spots, and whoever the 2 are who go the farthest probably get in.
    Anything can happen this year. Even a team like Oregon or Stanford could win the damn thing. If Oregon somehow won the tournament, nobody would be saying..."wow that's incredible." The Pac 12 consists of 8 mediocre teams (Arizona, ASU, USC, Washington, UCLA, Utah, Stanford, and Oregon)

    Arizona is the only one of the 8 that is a lock. I'd make an argument that with the distractions going on at Arizona, any of these remaining 7 mediocre teams could win the Pac 12 tournament. I do not see how the Pac 12 gets more than three in unless Oregon or Stanford win the tournament, thus busting the bubble. There is also a very likely chance that the Pac12 may only get 2 teams in this year.
  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,919
    ASU still being in the tournament is all you need to see that the formulas the NCAA uses are fucktarded. They prolly get bounced in the 1st rd of the Pac 12 tourney and still make a play in game at 8-11 in the conference.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,268
    salemcoog said:

    ASU still being in the tournament is all you need to see that the formulas the NCAA uses are fucktarded. They prolly get bounced in the 1st rd of the Pac 12 tourney and still make a play in game at 8-11 in the conference.

    Not much different than an SEC fball team going 4-0 against non con cupcakes and 2-7 in conference making a bowl game over a team that plays a tough non con schedule going 0-3 and then 5-4 in conference....
  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,573
    ntxduck said:

    salemcoog said:

    ASU still being in the tournament is all you need to see that the formulas the NCAA uses are fucktarded. They prolly get bounced in the 1st rd of the Pac 12 tourney and still make a play in game at 8-11 in the conference.

    Not much different than an SEC fball team going 4-0 against non con cupcakes and 2-7 in conference making a bowl game over a team that plays a tough non con schedule going 0-3 and then 5-4 in conference....
    Teams that go 0-3 don’t go 5-4 in conference unless they are in the WAC
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,268

    ntxduck said:

    salemcoog said:

    ASU still being in the tournament is all you need to see that the formulas the NCAA uses are fucktarded. They prolly get bounced in the 1st rd of the Pac 12 tourney and still make a play in game at 8-11 in the conference.

    Not much different than an SEC fball team going 4-0 against non con cupcakes and 2-7 in conference making a bowl game over a team that plays a tough non con schedule going 0-3 and then 5-4 in conference....
    Teams that go 0-3 don’t go 5-4 in conference unless they are in the WAC
    Or unless they're coached by Mike Riley...
  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,573
    edited February 2018
    ntxduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    salemcoog said:

    ASU still being in the tournament is all you need to see that the formulas the NCAA uses are fucktarded. They prolly get bounced in the 1st rd of the Pac 12 tourney and still make a play in game at 8-11 in the conference.

    Not much different than an SEC fball team going 4-0 against non con cupcakes and 2-7 in conference making a bowl game over a team that plays a tough non con schedule going 0-3 and then 5-4 in conference....
    Teams that go 0-3 don’t go 5-4 in conference unless they are in the WAC
    Or unless they're coached by Mike Riley...
    You would think...but Riley never made a bowl game going 0-3 in non conference. He’s done it at 1-2, but even Rich Brooks made a Rose Bowl after starting 1-2
  • doogie
    doogie Member Posts: 15,072
    Hi, Slim. Meet None. He wants to discuss UW seeding in the upcoming NCAA tournament