The ranking of one-loss teams.
But just for the sake of argument (and because I hate tyrone willingham's guts) let's say the Huskies fuck up and lose a game. In the final stretch of this season, UW has the 14th toughest schedule in the country compared to aTm's 40th. UW also has a chance to play for a conference championship. aTm doesn't.
S, why does UW have no margin of error, but other teams can lose a game and still get in? Why is ohio state's 1 loss (to friggin's penn state) any less egregious than if UW were to lose to usc?
Comments
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UW isn't going to get anywhere near the 14th toughest schedule in the country.
And the answer to your question about tOSU is that it's not just about the loss, it's about the wins. In that scenario tOSU has a monster win over Michigan (plus a good non con win at Oklahoma), while UW's best wins are Utah and ... WSU?
I think with equal losses tOSU and TAMU are likely to have superior resumes (though TAMU's would be debatable for sure and may depend on what happens from here out).
The committee picking a 1 loss TAMU over a 1 loss UW wouldn't be indefensible. Picking a 1 loss TAMU over an undefeated UW would be, but that's not going to happen. -
black sark will lose another game, so not even worth discussing them.
Ohio State beat Oklahoma on the road in the nonconference and play in a tougher conference, so I think a 1 loss tOSU is clearly more deserving that a 1 loss UW.
A 1 loss Michigan who loses their conference is maybe a different story. but this is Michigan so they'll get the subjective benefit of the doubt.
Louisville is interesting because they wouldn't win the conference and they haven't really beaten anyone outside of a 5-3 FSU team.
With all that said UW needs to just take care of their own business -
I guess you can argue if Louisville beats Houston (who really isn't that good) in Houston that's a good non conference win. Honestly after watching them not sure they will win that game
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Pretty sure the Committee doesn't want to be seen as favoring
one conference over another. Also they are on record as giving great
weight to conference champs. Could easily see Washington and
OSU as one loss conference champs being picked over one loss
A and M without a title. I think there's room for a USC fuckup. -
Disagree. If UW gets one loss it's not just a hypothetical 1 loss TAMU UW has to beat out, it's a hypothetical 1 loss Michigan and hypothetical 1 loss Louisville and whoever else.whuggy said:Pretty sure the Committee doesn't want to be seen as favoring
one conference over another. Also they are on record as giving great
weight to conference champs. Could easily see Washington and
OSU as one loss conference champs being picked over one loss
A and M without a title. I think there's room for a USC fuckup.
If UW drops a game we're settling for the Rose Bowel. -
yes. most likely Louisville Ohio State and A&M would have to take another loss. which I guess is possible but highly unlikely.dnc said:
Disagree. If UW gets one loss it's not just a hypothetical 1 loss TAMU UW has to beat out, it's a hypothetical 1 loss Michigan and hypothetical 1 loss Louisville and whoever else.whuggy said:Pretty sure the Committee doesn't want to be seen as favoring
one conference over another. Also they are on record as giving great
weight to conference champs. Could easily see Washington and
OSU as one loss conference champs being picked over one loss
A and M without a title. I think there's room for a USC fuckup.
If UW drops a game we're settling for the Rose Bowel.
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Our best odds at making the playoff with 1 loss are probably to lose to Cal and then win out with Colorado in the P12 champ game. Maybe could pull it off with an ASU loss as well but the computers will hurt us more for losing at home.
We'd have a decent case against 1 loss teams that aren't conference champs by being a conference champ but we'd also invite being passed by a 2-loss conference champ with a stronger profile like Wisconsin or Oklahoma if they were to win their conferences. -
One loss Michigan to OSU takes Michigan outdnc said:
Disagree. If UW gets one loss it's not just a hypothetical 1 loss TAMU UW has to beat out, it's a hypothetical 1 loss Michigan and hypothetical 1 loss Louisville and whoever else.whuggy said:Pretty sure the Committee doesn't want to be seen as favoring
one conference over another. Also they are on record as giving great
weight to conference champs. Could easily see Washington and
OSU as one loss conference champs being picked over one loss
A and M without a title. I think there's room for a USC fuckup.
If UW drops a game we're settling for the Rose Bowel.
of the conf. championship discussion doesn't it? -
Hasn't that already happened?dnc said:The committee picking a 1 loss TAMU over a 1 loss UW wouldn't be indefensible. Picking a 1 loss TAMU over an undefeated UW would be, but that's not going to happen.
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I can't see any way they will take a 2 loss team.whlinder said:Our best odds at making the playoff with 1 loss are probably to lose to Cal and then win out with Colorado in the P12 champ game. Maybe could pull it off with an ASU loss as well but the computers will hurt us more for losing at home.
We'd have a decent case against 1 loss teams that aren't conference champs by being a conference champ but we'd also invite being passed by a 2-loss conference champ with a stronger profile like Wisconsin or Oklahoma if they were to win their conferences.
One loss Washington will have a decent profile
especially with wins over WSU and USC/Colorado.
