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Why is Furd only favored by 7 at home??
Your_Mom
Member Posts: 393
And who is putting money on that? That seems like easy fucking money.
Yah Yah I know the odds are set to get money on both sides... but really? Furd is only getting 7 at home?
Hey, do bookmakers hang out at the 7-11 on Aurora that you guys are always talking about?
Comments
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I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing
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Last year that line sort of made sense, nunes first road start, us at home this one doesn't
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Maybe the mob knows that Shaw does hookers and blow on the Bay Bridge and they are all set to release the evidence and stuff.
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UW was at home last year.RaceBannon said:I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing
This is Free Money Saturday. -
Lead pipe cinch of the week. Give the points.
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I never bet on games unless I am in Vegas, but picking Stanford seems like easy money.
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Stanford has no fans so therefore not a lot of people bet on them.
You always get good value on Stanford. I mean they were only favored by 10 last week against the Cougs. -
I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
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Stanford has a quarterback this year.priapism said:I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
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I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):
The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.
Link.
But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.
I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?
If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times. -
And people think USC is Sarktarded enough to steal UW's coach? Replacing Kiffin with Kiffin is a terrible idea.TTJ said:The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.
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Agree.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Stanford has a quarterback this year.priapism said:I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
BTW, the guy in your sig, gotta be some damn good indica. It's pouring down rain, and he's draped over plastic chairs pouring popcorn down his throat looking as comfortable as someone at home in a recliner watching the game on TV with dry heat supplied by a toasty fire popping away in the fireplace. That gif is an instant classic. -
Lets look at the bright side. At least he would still get served at the Coug.Southerndawg said:
Agree.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Stanford has a quarterback this year.priapism said:I think it's going to be a low scoring game like last year.
BTW, the guy in your sig, gotta be some damn good indica. It's pouring down rain, and he's draped over plastic chairs pouring popcorn down his throat looking as comfortable as someone at home in a recliner watching the game on TV with dry heat supplied by a toasty fire popping away in the fireplace. That gif is an instant classic.
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Link.TTJ said:I think Jon Wilner pretty much nails it (other than the misplaced Price skepticism, of course):
The temptation is to expect a close game. The Huskies won last year, have a series of impressive results this season and seemingly possess the offensive balance required for success against Stanford’s defense. Perhaps that’s why the Cardinal is only favored by seven points.
But the more I assess the situation, the more I wonder if UW has what it takes to stand up to the Cardinal for four quarters. First off, the 2012 game is largely irrelevant, not only because of the change in venue but also a change in personnel. Stanford’s quarterback that night was Josh Nunes, and he had a very bad game. Kevin Hogan played sparingly — at that point in the season, he wasn’t ready for full-time duty. But his nine starts, Hogan has repeated shown the ability to make the plays Stanford didn’t make against the Huskies.
I’m also a tad skeptical that the Huskies can execute well enough, long enough, to be within striking range of the Cardinal down the stretch. It’s not difficult to envision a scenario in which Keith Price and Co. move the ball effectively for two or three quarters. But does Price have the patience to avoid forcing a play in the final 15 or 20 minutes … and giving Stanford’s opportunistic defense a chance to break the game open? Will he take a sack when he should take a sack? Will he throw the ball away when he should throw the ball away?
If Washington’s offensive line holds its own and Bishop Sankey averages 4 – 4.5 yards per rush, then Price won’t have to win the game from the pocket. Arizona State, which just trampled USC’s talented defense, wasn’t up to the challenge against Stanford’s front seven in Stanford Stadium. We’ll see if the Huskies fare any better. Winning big games on the road requires far more toughness and resourcefulness than is required at home. The last seven times the Huskies have been in this situation (road game/ranked opponent), they’ve been blown out … seven times.
Wilner nailed it. Good re-poast/link. -
nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.
unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right -
LEAVE!greenearplugs said:nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.
unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right -
Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!greenearplugs said:nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.
unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right
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What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?greenearplugs said:nobody here is making money off sports betting. I was hoping to avoid here the dawgman fettish of all the posters being smarter than vegas...guess not.
unless you wanna write out your stats of why 7 points is off, no one is making money here. 7 points is right -
What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
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Vegas explanation:
Stanford is favored at home by only 7, because the early betters on this game hate money. Don't be surprised if that numbers bumps to 10 by Friday. -
Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?
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I might bet that for a first half spread.RavennaDawg said:Is anyone laying the 38.5 with Oregon?
If DAT hadn't hurt his ankle Saturday that road spread would have been in the mid 40's!!! FUCK -
What if we lose by 6?Gladstone said:What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
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I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.
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I am right with you RB. My friend and I came very close to making the drive to Vegas and laying down a large (to us) sum of money on that game. I've never bet against my own team before and my gut had a bad feeling about the bet and I backed out. My friend was pissed... until he watched the game.RaceBannon said:I thought last years spread was the best bet ever. It was only like 6 points. It was so obvious that I was too scared to bet it. Good thing
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This forum isn't for you.........DoogieMcDoogerson said:I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.
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Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.RoadDawg55 said:
Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!
A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.Dawgs4ever said:
What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?
Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.Gladstone said:What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here
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Within 3 years he will be very successful. What is happening to him now in the short term might be the best thing for him in terms of his development as a NFL coach.DoogieMcDoogerson said:I love that picture of chip. He is over his head.
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Efficient market theorem superiority guy.greenearplugs said:
Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.RoadDawg55 said:
Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!
A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.Dawgs4ever said:
What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?
Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.Gladstone said:What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here
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