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Looks like the opening lines have Cal favored by 1 1/2 to 2 1/2 points

123457

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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    edited October 2014
    HFNY said:

    Whether sarcastic or not, I had to give you a heart.

    pawz said:

    This thread is worthless without @HFNY‌

    HFNY said:

    My site moved to UW +2.5 (at -105) so I decided to buy a half point and get 3 total:

    STRAIGHT WAGER 10/06/14 16:33 EDT
    Bet $ 500.00 to win $ 400.00 Result: Pending
    Washington U vs California 10/11/14 18:00 EDT Washington U +3 (-125) Bought 0.5 point(s)

    I was not Sarkastic at all.** I used to gamble for a living. You are the only one I've seen on these here boreds that evaluate lines, spreads, and games unemotionally, as they should be, appropriately considered and weighted in the fluctuating odds markets and the emotional money that drives them. I expect you consistently make money, year over year, betting on CFB - if not other sports as well.



    ps. sports betting is like driving a car and fucking - everybody thinks they are better than they actually are ...























    ** #letsfuck
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    MarkKoopman said:

    HFNY said:

    I also love that we are one of the best in the nation at a turnover margin of +11 vs. Cal which is below average (at 0). Cal also gets more penalties per game than UW.

    Doogin it up pretty good on this thread.

    First the list of potential 1st or 2nd rounders (classic doogology) and now the turnover margin against UH,ewu,gsu and the illini.

    lol

    Disagree.
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  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,259
    Up to +3.5 now

    TCU is now +8.5 vs. opening at +10.5
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  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,587
    Thanks for weighing in. I'm always worried that I'll start thinking I lose because of bad luck and win because I'm smart. I've also already erred in that I bet at 2.5 and bought a half point when now it's at 3.5 on my site.

    Betting on the Huskies as a road dog or on the road in general infrequently paid under Sloppy Steve because he was so bad away from Husky Stadium (Boston College this year was typical for him) but Petersen's high level of competency changes things.

    What do you think of 3.5 spread and what are your thoughts on Miles? Oddshark.com has the O/U at 71.5 so it looks like bettors are currently predicting Cal to win 37 or 38 to 34.
    pawz said:

    HFNY said:

    Whether sarcastic or not, I had to give you a heart.

    pawz said:

    This thread is worthless without @HFNY‌

    HFNY said:

    My site moved to UW +2.5 (at -105) so I decided to buy a half point and get 3 total:

    STRAIGHT WAGER 10/06/14 16:33 EDT
    Bet $ 500.00 to win $ 400.00 Result: Pending
    Washington U vs California 10/11/14 18:00 EDT Washington U +3 (-125) Bought 0.5 point(s)

    I was not Sarkastic at all.** I used to gamble for a living. You are the only one I've seen on these here boreds that evaluate lines, spreads, and games unemotionally, as they should be, appropriately considered and weighted in the fluctuating odds markets and the emotional money that drives them. I expect you consistently make money, year over year, betting on CFB - if not other sports as well.



    ps. sports betting is like driving a car and fucking - everybody thinks they are better than they actually are ...


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  • HFNY
    HFNY Member Posts: 5,587
    And what do people think about Auburn being -3 @ Miss State? I'm tempted to take Auburn and Gus Malzahn, especially since Miss State's win over a rebuilding TAMU team may be getting over-hyped. Thinking about taking UW + 3.5 and Auburn -3 in a parlay. Or UW money line and Auburn money when they come out.
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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    HFNY said:

    And what do people think about Auburn being -3 @ Miss State? I'm tempted to take Auburn and Gus Malzahn, especially since Miss State's win over a rebuilding TAMU team may be getting over-hyped. Thinking about taking UW + 3.5 and Auburn -3 in a parlay. Or UW money line and Auburn money when they come out.

    image

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  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,543 Swaye's Wigwam
    HFNY said:

    And what do people think about Auburn being -3 @ Miss State? I'm tempted to take Auburn and Gus Malzahn, especially since Miss State's win over a rebuilding TAMU team may be getting over-hyped. Thinking about taking UW + 3.5 and Auburn -3 in a parlay. Or UW money line and Auburn money when they come out.

    I like Auburn in that one. Please don't send crowbar carrying wise guys to my mom's basement if I'm wrong.
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    edited October 2014
    HFNY said:

    Thanks for weighing in. I'm always worried that I'll start thinking I lose because of bad luck and win because I'm smart. I've also already erred in that I bet at 2.5 and bought a half point when now it's at 3.5 on my site.

    Betting on the Huskies as a road dog or on the road in general infrequently paid under Sloppy Steve because he was so bad away from Husky Stadium (Boston College this year was typical for him) but Petersen's high level of competency changes things.

    What do you think of 3.5 spread and what are your thoughts on Miles? Oddshark.com has the O/U at 71.5 so it looks like bettors are currently predicting Cal to win 37 or 38 to 34.

    pawz said:

    HFNY said:

    Whether sarcastic or not, I had to give you a heart.

    pawz said:

    This thread is worthless without @HFNY‌

    HFNY said:

    My site moved to UW +2.5 (at -105) so I decided to buy a half point and get 3 total:

    STRAIGHT WAGER 10/06/14 16:33 EDT
    Bet $ 500.00 to win $ 400.00 Result: Pending
    Washington U vs California 10/11/14 18:00 EDT Washington U +3 (-125) Bought 0.5 point(s)

    I was not Sarkastic at all.** I used to gamble for a living. You are the only one I've seen on these here boreds that evaluate lines, spreads, and games unemotionally, as they should be, appropriately considered and weighted in the fluctuating odds markets and the emotional money that drives them. I expect you consistently make money, year over year, betting on CFB - if not other sports as well.



    ps. sports betting is like driving a car and fucking - everybody thinks they are better than they actually are ...


    Honestly, I'm the probably wrong guy to ask b/c I'm dooging it up hard on this game. I expect UW to win outright so any points conceded is gravy, insurance IMO.

    Also, I'm not good at predicting the o/u so I stay away from those wagers unless i'm supremely confident the line is wrong.

    Miles to me is an enigma. He looked so good with a quality RB last year, and I feel like the change of systems has gotten to his head. He is thinking way too much to allow his natural gifts to flourish. It is also quite possible to be Centenial, CO's version of Ryan Leaf. I need to LIPO a bit more before making a final determination.
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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    Cal wins this one. 34-10
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    MikeDamone said:

    Cal wins this one. 34-10

    If you're offering 24 points ... I'll let you set the price. Any price you want.
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