Oregon wins 75% of the time
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They have allegedly played this game already at least four times, and the Oregon ducks have won at least three of them. Amazing!
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Bama had a .01 win probability on 4th and goal from the 31
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Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
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If UW had any honor they’d send a rep down to Eugene & formally forfeit the game. If it’s truly Covid, then they can’t play next week for the conference championship anyway
But what can you expect from a program that is everything that is wrong about college football.
They're fighting for clicks. We're fighting for wins.
Yadda yadda
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I don't know if it's calculated the same way once the game starts, but it looks like after the opening kickoff, Oregon had a 53.6% win probability which peaked late in the fourth at 96.6%.WoolleyDoog said:Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
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It was like 57% Oregon probability for the last game.WoolleyDoog said:Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
I gotta tell you though - I don't know that 75% is that far off the mark. This one doesn't feel like a coin flip to me and the rational side of my brain keeps saying it's exceedingly difficult to beat a tough Oregon squad 3 times in a row. -
UW was favored last game but that faggy predictor still had oregon in the 60-70 percentile in OCT.WoolleyDoog said:Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
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In order for Oregon to win this game, something will have to happen that hasn't happened under these two coaches before.
Either Lanning, and Oregon win a close, hard fought, tight game against a team that is not Texas Tech, which I don't think has really ever happened.
Or, Deboner has to get blown out, which has definitely never happened here.
So. EWIWBI. -
FPI has Ohio State as the best team in the country and Penn State 4th. 7-5 TAMU is equal to 12-0 UW.WoolleyDoog said:Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
FPI is twash as fuck -
Yet people love their strength of record metric. It should just be another data point of many.whatshouldicareabout said:
FPI has Ohio State as the best team in the country and Penn State 4th. 7-5 TAMU is equal to 12-0 UW.WoolleyDoog said:Whatever bs equation this thing is has hated Washington and loved Oregon. I'm pretty sure they had Oregon's percentage really high going into the last game.
FPI is twash as fuck
