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ESPN thinks Oregon at minus 3 is Free Money

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Comments

  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,232
    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,725 Founders Club
    edited October 2023
    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,232

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Rome tanned, rested, and ready?
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,766
    I hear there may be a bomb cyclone headed right toward Montlake Saturday.

    (I like to refer to Husky Stadium as Montlake. I do that.)
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,232
    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    ntxduck said:

    bisonduck said:


    ntxduck said:

    Oregon is +3, not -3. Great qc over at espn.com these days

    Their FPI line is at -1.8. What am I missing here?
    Espn fpi is dumb.
    Sure. That's not a QC issue though.
    The Vegas line is wrong. Oregon should be +3, not -3.
    You mean in the article? They posted the money line correctly and the game total. I didn't read that link though.
    I can’t tell if you’re fucking with me or not, but the screenshot in OP starts with “No. 8 Oregon (-3)”
  • bisonduck
    bisonduck Member Posts: 715
    edited October 2023

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,766
    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Either way it will be interesting.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,725 Founders Club
    bisonduck said:

    bisonduck said:

    I like Oregon in this one

    I was giving the tilt to UW for being at home. However, Tuli is most likely out, Odunze is banged up, and McMillian probably has some rust to knock off, so I am starting to lean Oregon. That run defense fell off a cliff without Tuli.

    I most intrigued by UW's IOL and Oregon's IDL. There's so many capable bodies for Oregon and the 4th quarter is where Oregon will get stops.
    Christ. No one knows what the injury situation is.


    Every sign points to Tuli being out or being a shell of himself. You can hold out hope he's good to go and maybe he will be. All of this is based on probability anyway.
    Why the confidence though in this prediction? Why is he more likely to be out than not? Some dudes got banged up in that game. We had a BYE week.

    https://saturdayoutwest.com/washington-huskies/kalen-deboer-updates-status-of-jalen-mcmillan-tuli-letuligasenoa-after-arizona-win/
  • Canadawg
    Canadawg Member Posts: 5,947
    FPI is always impressed by stars