Lanning will cost Ducks games again this year

flatus · September 2023

Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)

ntxduck · September 2023

Agree with the overall sentiment but disagree with the example. That type of fake punt play is always something that’s found on tape in how the opposing special teams unit lines up. There was 0 risk in running it. Colorado lined up wrong and didn’t have anyone near the gap to stop it.

It was 100% something the coaches saw on tape and said, “first punt of the game we have of 4th and 5 or less, we’re running this if we see them line up in their incorrect formation”. A DT ran through the hole and didn’t even get touched until 15 yards downfield. There was no chance it wasn’t going to work as soon as cu lined up wrong.

flatus · September 2023

ntxduck said:
Agree with the overall sentiment but disagree with the example. That type of fake punt play is always something that’s found on tape in how the opposing special teams unit lines up. There was 0 risk in running it. Colorado lined up wrong and didn’t have anyone near the gap to stop it.

It was 100% something the coaches saw on tape and said, “first punt of the game we have of 4th and 5 or less, we’re running this if we see them line up in their incorrect formation”. A DT ran through the hole and didn’t even get touched until 15 yards downfield. There was no chance it wasn’t going to work as soon as cu lined up wrong.

Fair enough. Disagree there was 0% chance it wouldn't work. A lineman handling a direct snap and having to haul ass without tripping over himself is hardly zero risk. Agree in principle about the CU formation, but still wouldn't have done it from own 17. Between the 40s, ok.

DerekJohnson · September 2023

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)

I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.

RaceBannon · September 2023

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.

Oregon is probably better man for man but Big Penix is the difference

flatus · September 2023

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.

Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation

flatus · September 2023

RaceBannon said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Oregon is probably better man for man but Big Penix is the difference

Yes, was just writing that. 53 seconds.

MikeSeaver · September 2023

We’ve noted he’s not the man for the Job. It didn’t take one play against an overmatched Colorado to tell us that.

I’m just watching all of this like the Joker these days.

The Heath Ledger one. Not the gay one from the last movie.

Everyone knows where I got these scars.

Sources · September 2023

RaceBannon said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Oregon is probably better man for man but Big Penix is the difference

I think UW has better overall coaching. Bye weeks favors the DAWGS imo

thechatch · September 2023

If a team runs a fake punt it’s because the other side told on itself on tape. CU punt coverage was probably lazy/bailing early so Lanning made the decision during the week that we’d go if the yardage was reasonable.

Lanning isn’t Chip 2009 but it’s starting to get tough making the argument that he’s not a competent HC.

MikeSeaver · September 2023

thechatch said:
If a team runs a fake punt it’s because the other side told on itself on tape. CU punt coverage was probably lazy/bailing early so Lanning made the decision during the week that we’d go if the yardage was reasonable.

Lanning isn’t Chip 2009 but it’s starting to get tough making the argument that he’s not a competent HC.

Disagree.

I suppose it depends on what your definition of “competent” is.

He has a lot to answer for.

ntxduck · September 2023

MikeSeaver said:

thechatch said:
If a team runs a fake punt it’s because the other side told on itself on tape. CU punt coverage was probably lazy/bailing early so Lanning made the decision during the week that we’d go if the yardage was reasonable.

Lanning isn’t Chip 2009 but it’s starting to get tough making the argument that he’s not a competent HC.

Disagree.

I suppose it depends on what your definition of “competent” is.

He has a lot to answer for.

Chinteresting to see how they come out next week. Will tell a lot about Dan in a classic let down/low energy spot after a big home game

haie · September 2023

thechatch said:
If a team runs a fake punt it’s because the other side told on itself on tape. CU punt coverage was probably lazy/bailing early so Lanning made the decision during the week that we’d go if the yardage was reasonable.

Lanning isn’t Chip 2009 but it’s starting to get tough making the argument that he’s not a competent HC.

-Quook Thoughts with the Snatch

DawgDaze71 · September 2023

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.

Neither do I. Last year we took a depleted roster into Autzen and surprised the Ducks. This year I doubt there are
UW players that think they're going to lose the game.

UW OL has been better for two season now. Oregon's OL was one of the few spots I used to be envious of. No longer.

Oregon has a ton of really good WR but Nix is not comfortable making reads so he targets Franklin too much.

I wouldn't surprised if we beat Oregon by two scores. UW has improved in every facet of the game.

ntxduck · September 2023

DawgDaze71 said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Neither do I. Last year we took a depleted roster into Autzen and surprised the Ducks. This year I doubt there are
UW players that think they're going to lose the game.

UW OL has been better for two season now. Oregon's OL was one of the few spots I used to be envious of. No longer.

Oregon has a ton of really good WR but Nix is not comfortable making reads so he targets Franklin too much.

I wouldn't surprised if we beat Oregon by two scores. UW has improved in every facet of the game.

Lol

bisonduck · September 2023

flatus said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation

Oregon’s defense is better according to SP+ and that’s still accounting for the last 3 games of last year.

Teams aren’t even going after Jahlil Florence and Kyhree Jackson’s play the last two games was outstanding.

The spread on this game is probably -5.5 based on analytics and probably squeezes closer to -3.5 after next week’s slate.

bisonduck · September 2023

DawgDaze71 said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Neither do I. Last year we took a depleted roster into Autzen and surprised the Ducks. This year I doubt there are
UW players that think they're going to lose the game.

UW OL has been better for two season now. Oregon's OL was one of the few spots I used to be envious of. No longer.

Oregon has a ton of really good WR but Nix is not comfortable making reads so he targets Franklin too much.

I wouldn't surprised if we beat Oregon by two scores. UW has improved in every facet of the game.

This is some of the worst analysis that I’ve read.

bisonduck · September 2023

flatus said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation

Have you watched the defense the last two weeks? Teams aren’t even throwing at Jahlil Florence and Kyhree Jackson has been outstanding on the boundary.

Oregon’s defense is ahead of UW on SP+ that is still using last year’s data.

haie · September 2023

bisonduck said:

flatus said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation
Have you watched the defense the last two weeks? Teams aren’t even throwing at Jahlil Florence and Kyhree Jackson has been outstanding on the boundary.

Oregon’s defense is ahead of UW on SP+ that is still using last year’s data.

😆

RaceBannon · September 2023

bisonduck said:

flatus said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation
Have you watched the defense the last two weeks? Teams aren’t even throwing at Jahlil Florence and Kyhree Jackson has been outstanding on the boundary.

Oregon’s defense is ahead of UW on SP+ that is still using last year’s data.

If Oregon can pressure Penix like yesterday they win

But I think Colorado has a shitty O line

bisonduck · September 2023

RaceBannon said:

bisonduck said:

flatus said:

DerekJohnson said:

flatus said:
Ducks destined to lose 2-3 games this year a la Corvallis and UW 2022.

Biggest reason: Lanning will shit the bed again with reckless decision-making. Case in point: fake punt on own 17 against shitty Colorado. That decision was fucktarded, fueled 100% by emotion. Ducks fail there and it's a huge momentum swing with gift points for CU, which, up to that point, hadn't moved the ball in the forward direction. Dumb. Just plain dumb.

If Oregon is even able to hang with UW straight-up, Lanning will find a way to fuck it up by forcing an inane, low-probabilty call, probably on 4th down in our? own territory, per the script. Fuck.

Deboner > Lanning, until shown otherwise (probably never)
I don't see a huge disparity in talent between UW and Oregon.
Penix and receivers are the difference. Oregon has edge at RB. UW has better coached D, which can stop Oregon. Ducks need BigPenix to make mistakes in order to win. I don't see that happening. Hence a dumb Lanning 4th down decision(s) will seal it for UW, rather easily, say 44-27?*

*Adjusted for inflation
Have you watched the defense the last two weeks? Teams aren’t even throwing at Jahlil Florence and Kyhree Jackson has been outstanding on the boundary.

Oregon’s defense is ahead of UW on SP+ that is still using last year’s data.
If Oregon can pressure Penix like yesterday they win

But I think Colorado has a shitty O line

That oline is so bad that I draw zero conclusions.

The pass rush is better than last year. I just don’t think we know if it translates.

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Lanning will cost Ducks games again this year

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