Is it as simple as Oregon loses and UW wins?
CorrectionUW has to beat WazzuOregon St has to beat OregonANDCAL has to beat UCLA
A redditor finally broke it down. Here's the path for UW and why it needs to be this way.1. Washington beats WSU & Oregon State beats Oregon. If these both don't happen, Oregon is in the championship.2. If Colorado beats Utah, only Washington and Oregon are tied and Washington has the tiebreaker.3. If Utah beats Colorado, there is a three way tie for second (Washington, Oregon, Utah).4. Washington and Utah have not played, so we look at win % against common teams (Stanford, UCLA, Arizona, Oregon State, Colorado, Washington State). The tied schools are all 5-1.5. It goes to record against best common opponent (ties are treated as a group). Assuming UCLA beats Cal, they all teams will be tied.6. It then goes to conference cumulative opponents win %. Looking only at the non-common opponents (because common opponents have the same wins), Washington's opponent's have 11 wins, Oregon opponent's have 14 wins, and Utah opponent's have 18 wins. Utah gets to go to the conference championship.7. Going back to 5, if Cal beats UCLA, then Oregon State is the best common opponent. Oregon has a loss to Oregon State and drops out. So it goes to the two team tiebreaker between Washington and Utah.8. There is no head-to-head, so it goes to win percentage against next highest common op, which is Oregon (8-2). Washington beat Oregon, Utah did not. Washington is going to the championship.TLDR:Washington will go to the P12CG if Oregon State beats Oregon, Washington beats Washington State, and1. Colorado beats Utah or2. Cal beats UCLA.[PAC-12 tiebreaker rules.](https://pac-12.com/football/standings#:~:text=2022 Football Tiebreakers Language&text=Win percentage against the next,), proceeding through the standings.)
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The most likely outcome and probably best outcome for UW is that Oregon beats OSU but loses to SC, which should get us into a good bowl if not the rose. Think it matters how far up we ascend and Oregon falls in the rankings.
Our Apple Cup win and Oregon's CG loss would have to result in us being ranked ahead of them to get to the rose bowl. What's cuog now, a top 30 win on the road? Oregon probably only drops 2 spots.
A redditor finally broke it down. Here's the path for UW and why it needs to be this way.1. Washington beats WSU & Oregon State beats Oregon. If these both don't happen, Oregon is in the championship.2. If Colorado beats Utah, only Washington and Oregon are tied and Washington has the tiebreaker.3. If Utah beats Colorado, there is a three way tie for second (Washington, Oregon, Utah).4. Washington and Utah have not played, so we look at win % against common teams (Stanford, UCLA, Arizona, Oregon State, Colorado, Washington State). The tied schools are all 5-1.5. It goes to record against best common opponent (ties are treated as a group). Assuming UCLA beats Cal, they all teams will be tied.6. It then goes to conference cumulative opponents win %. Looking only at the non-common opponents (because common opponents have the same wins), Washington's opponent's have 11 wins, Oregon opponent's have 14 wins, and Utah opponent's have 18 wins. Utah gets to go to the conference championship.7. Going back to 5, if Cal beats UCLA, then Oregon State is the best common opponent. Oregon has a loss to Oregon State and drops out. So it goes to the two team tiebreaker between Washington and Utah.8. There is no head-to-head, so it goes to win percentage against next highest common op, which is Oregon (8-2). Washington beat Oregon, Utah did not. Washington is going to the championship.TLDR:Washington will go to the P12CG if Oregon State beats Oregon, Washington beats Washington State, and1. Colorado beats Utah or2. Cal beats UCLA.[PAC-12 tiebreaker rules.](https://pac-12.com/football/standings#:~:text=2022 Football Tiebreakers Language&text=Win percentage against the next,), proceeding through the standings.) Just go to the Cotton Bowl. This makes my head hurt.
Sounds like the road to the Pac goes through Mara Largo
This thread turned into a cross between autism and aids.
Our Apple Cup win and Oregon's CG loss would have to result in us being ranked ahead of them to get to the rose bowl. What's cuog now, a top 30 win on the road? Oregon probably only drops 2 spots. The Bowls don’t pick by rankings. They could but it’s not a requirement. They pick whomever they want.