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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    creepycoug said:

    RaceBannon said:

    Jesus will return September 15th

    I'm here my son.

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  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,051 Standard Supporter
    HoustonHusky said:

    Maybe they were trying to burn everything down to kill the virus. You ever think of that?

    You've got AOC down to a science.
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  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,741 Founders Club
    Houhusky said:

    incremetal_progress said:

    Houhusky said:

    incremetal_progress said:

    Houhusky said:

    MelloDawg said:

    HoustonHusky said:

    Dugdawg said:

    Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.

    What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
    Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.

    Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
    Hospitalizations a lagging indicator of what? The ICU census and confirmed cases were highly coupled until the beginning of June, about 1 month ago.


    As far as Houston or hospital capacity.... The rumors of the overflowing cordwood hospitals seem exaggerated...

    http://memorialhermann.org/news/joint-statement-from-st--luke%E2%80%99s-health,-houston-methodist,-memorial-hermann-health-system---texas-children%E2%80%99s-hospital-regarding-houston-hospital-capacity-and-executive-order/

    "we want to reassure the public that this pandemic is not eclipsing our capabilities. Our hospitals have the ICU capacity, staff and supplies to meet the healthcare needs of our community. In addition, Texas hospitals continue to reserve 15 percent of capacity for COVID-19 patients and medical care continues to be routinely provided in inpatient and outpatient settings without taxing the overall hospitalization capacity."


    Likewise Texas Medical official publication from yesterday showed plenty of manageable capacity available... The vast majority of the ICU beds are occupied by non Covid patients and "can be managed by appropriately transferring patients from ICU to medical/surgical beds"

    https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/

    Hospital lags behind the mass transmission that has occurred since memorial day. Look at the states like Florida and Texas who opened up in May and are just as of 2 weeks ago hospitals starting filling. Now last week deaths began to spike in Texas.

    Compare that to states like California and Washington who opened up a month later but are still seeing an increase, they are simply a month behind but are on the same path if they don't turn it around. Remember the first confirmed case in Washington was January 22 and it took more than a month for a death to occur.

    This all happens on a timeline.
    There is no "lag" between the confirmed case data and hospitalization data. There wasn't for the first 6 months of the "mass transmission"

    The CDC, on their website, states the median time from exposure to symptom is 4-5 days

    its been 49 days since Memorial day

    You have no fucking clue what you are talking about...
    Cases skyrocketed in Texas, Arizona, and Florida, then hospitalizations began to skyrocket, now deaths are going up in all three states. I don't see why these trends won't all continue.




    and even with that 4-5 day window which is too short and likely a result of a lack of testing not catching cases as early back in March as they do now, there is still a massive reporting delay on deaths and hospitalizations.

    Hospitalization data does not lag from the cases data... You wont find a study saying so, symptom onset after exposure isnt long enough to create a noticeable lag in the data and viral shedding can occur 14-20 days even after hospitalization. The data decoupled from the well established ratios for the first 6 months due to changes in testing and classification.

    Confirmed cases has always been such a massive undercount it isnt reflective of actual infections in the population.

    Total Hospital census is highly effected by dwell time and isn't reflective of infection severity or prevalence in the population.



    I cant imagine why you are trying to disagree with actual CDC and medical studies...

    the median exposure to symptom onset is 4-5 days

    science denier or science illiterate

    BOOM!
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