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I make spreadsheets ( Is this the flu? )
Comments
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There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.
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Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
Pointing out that people still die in other manners like car accidents or cancer is a rather irrelevant fact when discussing the comparative risk assessment or IFR of a disease.HHusky said:
Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
I agree. Yet suggesting we typically lose 137,000 people (and counting) to the flu would be ridiculous. And calling it just a "bad flu year" when we lose 137,000 to a different virus, and still have 35,000 or so dead from the flu as well, is simply dishonest.Houhusky said:
Pointing out that people still die in other manners like car accidents or cancer is a rather irrelevant fact when discussing the comparative risk assessment or IFR of a disease.HHusky said:
Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.Houhusky said:
There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.
And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis. -
Take out about 6 states, yes.
Could be anything. Don’t underestimate the pull forward deaths for those that would have died from the flu or something else that was minor in 2021 supposedly dying of Covid in 2020 in the over 80 category. Those probably will go down next year.Houhusky said:
There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.
The 30-40 somethings deaths in 2021 will be higher than 2020 though. -
If you die in a car accident (or any other manner) and test positive for China virus it's a virus death.Houhusky said:
Pointing out that people still die in other manners like car accidents or cancer is a rather irrelevant fact when discussing the comparative risk assessment or IFR of a disease.HHusky said:
Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
So if you add the two together, it's kind of like moderately worse than a bad flu year, right?HHusky said:
Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
It’s not done yet.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
So if you add the two together, it's kind of like moderately worse than a bad flu year, right?HHusky said:
Nope. Actually pretty typical.DoogieMcDoogerson said:
Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...HHusky said:We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both. -
Hopefully
