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GrundleStiltzkin
Member Posts: 61,516 
in Tug Tavern
March 26 - https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/uw-model-says-social-distancing-is-starting-to-work-but-still-projects-1400-coronavirus-deaths-in-the-state/
April 20
If I recall correctly, the rationale off lock-down wasn't primarily to prevent infection but to "flatten the curve" and give hospitals time and space to deal with those who've gotten sick.
Time to declare victory and move on?
In Washington, there’s no predicted shortage in overall hospital beds, though some individual facilities — including the UW Medical system — will need extra capacity and have already geared up to provide it. The statewide shortage in ICU beds is forecast to reach almost 100 by April 19, the model’s approximate date for when hospitalizations are expected to peak in Washington.
April 20
If I recall correctly, the rationale off lock-down wasn't primarily to prevent infection but to "flatten the curve" and give hospitals time and space to deal with those who've gotten sick.
Time to declare victory and move on?
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Comments
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You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
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Expound, please.DoogieMcDoogerson said:You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
And 15 minutes of sleuthing, I could not find what that total available ICU bed figure is in WA. -
Flatten the curve ended up flattening peoples bank accounts
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I couldn't find it either and that would show just how off the experts were in this example. I'm having some pretty epic battles with fuctarded liberals who believe we're nowhere near the end and that I'm irresponsible for sharing a different opinion and using these studies and statistics against their arguments. Bob always says it and it needs to be repeated again, "Liberals lie and they love being lied to even more." Not sure that's the exact quote Bob.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Expound, please.DoogieMcDoogerson said:You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
And 15 minutes of sleuthing, I could not find what that total available ICU bed figure is in WA. -
What were you seeing in the curve beyond the obvious?DuckHHunterisafag said:
I couldn't find it either and that would show just how off the experts were in this example. I'm having some pretty epic battles with fuctarded liberals who believe we're nowhere near the end and that I'm irresponsible for sharing a different opinion and using these studies and statistics against their arguments. Bob always says it and it needs to be repeated again, "Liberals lie and they love being lied to even more." Not sure that's the exact quote Bob.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Expound, please.DoogieMcDoogerson said:You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
And 15 minutes of sleuthing, I could not find what that total available ICU bed figure is in WA. -
That's what's so amazing in these two graphs is just how obvious they were wrong. We know what their ICU bed shortfall predictions were but we don't know how many ICU beds there are. One has to assume we're nowhere close to their shortfall prediction. I think there's between 10 and 13,000 total hospital beds in the state of Washington and you can see how drastic the case count is falling. The death count is also falling off the cliff and does anyone remember what the "experts" told us in terms of how many deaths we should expect? I'm trying to go back and find the articles which had those predictions. UW's model started getting it close to right toward the end of March but earlier on they were way off.GrundleStiltzkin said:
What were you seeing in the curve beyond the obvious?DuckHHunterisafag said:
I couldn't find it either and that would show just how off the experts were in this example. I'm having some pretty epic battles with fuctarded liberals who believe we're nowhere near the end and that I'm irresponsible for sharing a different opinion and using these studies and statistics against their arguments. Bob always says it and it needs to be repeated again, "Liberals lie and they love being lied to even more." Not sure that's the exact quote Bob.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Expound, please.DoogieMcDoogerson said:You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
And 15 minutes of sleuthing, I could not find what that total available ICU bed figure is in WA. -
Scott Adams making a hard charge to replace Scott Baio as the conservative A-lister for this year's RNC.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
OKA Bob Loblaw. Really good information on this issue can be found at Bob Loblaw's Law Blog.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Scott Adams making a hard charge to replaceGrundleStiltzkin said:Scott Baioas the conservative A-lister for this year's RNC. -
WA death projection was 1400, 81k (huh?) nationally. It’s in the Seattle Tims article above. I’m LIPO on those.DuckHHunterisafag said:
That's what's so amazing in these two graphs is just how obvious they were wrong. We know what their ICU bed shortfall predictions were but we don't know how many ICU beds there are. One has to assume we're nowhere close to their shortfall prediction. I think there's between 10 and 13,000 total hospital beds in the state of Washington and you can see how drastic the case count is falling. The death count is also falling off the cliff and does anyone remember what the "experts" told us in terms of how many deaths we should expect? I'm trying to go back and find the articles which had those predictions. UW's model started getting it close to right toward the end of March but earlier on they were way off.GrundleStiltzkin said:
What were you seeing in the curve beyond the obvious?DuckHHunterisafag said:
I couldn't find it either and that would show just how off the experts were in this example. I'm having some pretty epic battles with fuctarded liberals who believe we're nowhere near the end and that I'm irresponsible for sharing a different opinion and using these studies and statistics against their arguments. Bob always says it and it needs to be repeated again, "Liberals lie and they love being lied to even more." Not sure that's the exact quote Bob.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Expound, please.DoogieMcDoogerson said:You ever notice their data is sketchy? Check it out daily.....Also the curves you've got there are kind of interesting in that they are based on date of onset....
And 15 minutes of sleuthing, I could not find what that total available ICU bed figure is in WA.
