Hell is coming mathematical model
Comments
-
42 in OC today so that's still within non-exponential growth and 3 days of dropped growth levels. Not in the clear but I'd say we are seeing "flattening of the curve" down here at this point.UW_Doog_Bot said:
The 28th was 2 weeks exactly from the first shut downs and measures taken. New cases are down instead of up the last few days. Hopefully the trend continues that way and we can catch up to a point where we are back to containment instead of mitigation. That would mean we could begin opening things back up. -
Spiked again yesterday but back down today.
NYC is fucked though. I'm more worried about cross border issues with LA now than I am with OC as a whole. -
We continue to run ahead of this model. It predicted 6400 deaths by April 4th. We are already over 7,300 and not through the 3rd yet....
With an estimated 23-24 days from infection to resolution we should start to see the social mitigation efforts help us drop back to on par and below this models projections soon.... -
This model showed 12,800 deaths by end of day tomorrow, and thankfully doesn't look like we'll get there. As expected the social mitigation measures appear to be having an effect.
-
TRUMP leadership. Thank you, thank you very muchGDS said:This model showed 12,800 deaths by end of day tomorrow, and thankfully doesn't look like we'll get there. As expected the social mitigation measures appear to be having an effect.
-
Except the models are already accounting for social mitigation, so there is another reason the numbers are short...GDS said:This model showed 12,800 deaths by end of day tomorrow, and thankfully doesn't look like we'll get there. As expected the social mitigation measures appear to be having an effect.
-
This one wasn’tBob_C said:
Except the models are already accounting for social mitigation, so there is another reason the numbers are short...GDS said:This model showed 12,800 deaths by end of day tomorrow, and thankfully doesn't look like we'll get there. As expected the social mitigation measures appear to be having an effect.
-
Never trust a lying pedophile parrot like @GDS, I always say.GDS said:
This one wasn’tBob_C said:
Except the models are already accounting for social mitigation, so there is another reason the numbers are short...GDS said:This model showed 12,800 deaths by end of day tomorrow, and thankfully doesn't look like we'll get there. As expected the social mitigation measures appear to be having an effect.
-
NMTE
-
well fuck - looks like we'll hit 12,800 after all as deaths spiked today. At minimum though we are back to on par with this model and not running ahead as we had the last couple of weeks.
