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What UW model?

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Comments

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,749 Founders Club
    HHusky said:

    Dude61 said:

    How many millions of job losses are acceptable to save 100,000 lives?

    Where do you get the idea that "only" an extra 100,000 people will die if we just operate normally?
    Where do you get the idea that they won't?

    You want to shut it down again you need to prove it. Not theorize about it
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    haie said:

    50k worldwide up from 37k over the week. Can someone please explain to me how an exponential equation works?

    Still waiting on this mountain of bodies that somehow justifies the over 6 million unemployed Americans.

    Mortality data out of Spain and Italy shows their official statistics a yuge undercount. And still only 3k in China? lol...
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,741 Founders Club

    HHusky said:

    Dude61 said:

    How many millions of job losses are acceptable to save 100,000 lives?

    Where do you get the idea that "only" an extra 100,000 people will die if we just operate normally?
    Where do you get the idea that they won't?

    You want to shut it down again you need to prove it. Not theorize about it
    Like usual. Race is right.
  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 24,418

    HHusky said:

    Dude61 said:

    How many millions of job losses are acceptable to save 100,000 lives?

    Where do you get the idea that "only" an extra 100,000 people will die if we just operate normally?
    Where do you get the idea that they won't?

    You want to shut it down again you need to prove it. Not theorize about it
    Every model I've seen says millions of deaths if we do nothing. I know you guys hate expertise.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,749 Founders Club
    HHusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Dude61 said:

    How many millions of job losses are acceptable to save 100,000 lives?

    Where do you get the idea that "only" an extra 100,000 people will die if we just operate normally?
    Where do you get the idea that they won't?

    You want to shut it down again you need to prove it. Not theorize about it
    Every model I've seen says millions of deaths if we do nothing. I know you guys hate expertise.
    Awesome thanks for the update


    So we shut down every winter because models.

    What expertise?
  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 24,418

    HHusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Dude61 said:

    How many millions of job losses are acceptable to save 100,000 lives?

    Where do you get the idea that "only" an extra 100,000 people will die if we just operate normally?
    Where do you get the idea that they won't?

    You want to shut it down again you need to prove it. Not theorize about it
    Every model I've seen says millions of deaths if we do nothing. I know you guys hate expertise.
    Awesome thanks for the update


    So we shut down every winter because models.

    What expertise?
    Epidemiological expertise.
  • UWhuskytskeet
    UWhuskytskeet Member Posts: 7,113
    This is what I think the plan is.

    1. Shut down for another month or two, basically until the hospitals have enough equipment and people are used to washing hands and not breathing down each other's necks.
    2. Start opening most services again with the caveat that old people like Race need to know they will have a high chance of getting fucked up if they catch it
    3. Slowly build up herd immunity through the people that aren't old and frail until a vaccine is ready

    The world won't be able to afford to stay shut down through even the summer. No way we make it until a vaccine is available. These next couple months are here to ensure we have as many ICU beds and ventilators in place as possible.

    We basically try to limit exposure as much as you can while trying to act normal until either 70% of the population has caught it or there is a vaccine.
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781

    Grim

    Milestone?
  • ThomasFremont
    ThomasFremont Member Posts: 13,325
    Alwa

    Grim

    Always about the brothers with you...
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    Champagne corks popping in the HHusky basement! Great news!