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Time to Man Up - Place your bets on the number

WestlinnDuck
WestlinnDuck Member Posts: 17,574 Standard Supporter
in Tug Tavern
Of course, the counselor, dodo and scotty are excused. 80,000 offed in the 2017-2018 flu season.

I'm going with 20,000 by next October.

CORONAVIRUS IN PERSPECTIVE
Rightly or wrongly, coronavirus has come to dominate the news and has devastated the stock market, at least temporarily. Government at all levels is afraid of being accused of doing too little, and therefore is, if anything, contributing to an atmosphere of panic.

At this point, we don’t know how serious the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. will ultimately be. So far, the latest total I have seen is 38 deaths in the U.S. No doubt that total will increase significantly, but will it rise to the level of the estimated 80,000 flu deaths that the U.S. experienced just two years ago, the winter of 2017-18? I created this chart, which shows coronavirus fatalities to date compared with the 2017-18 total. There is a line there for coronavirus, but you can’t see it yet.

My plan is to continue to update the chart as coronavirus infections continue. I think it will be a valuable tool to put coronavirus in perspective. Perhaps, by this time next year, the coronavirus bar will be several multiples of the 2017-18 bar. Perhaps not.


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  • GreenRiverGatorz
    GreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    edited March 2020
    I'm predicting 350,000 Americans dead from corona by end of 2020. Take your screenshots fuckos.
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  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,281 Founders Club
    Abstention due to at risk 2 yr old child.
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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.
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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    GreenRiverGatorz said:

    I'm predicting 350,000 Americans dead from corona by end of 2020. Take your screenshots fuckos.

    That’s your hope anyway.
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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,083
    4,999

    Experts will estimate 5,000 including @RaceBannon but they can fuck the fuck off. He's been through them all since the plague.


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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,903 Founders Club
    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    So the tests didn't cure it?
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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    RaceBannon said:

    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    So the tests didn't cure it?
    I think they might have cured some. Others were told they have a cold.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,903 Founders Club
    So Trump killed 80 000 people two years ago?

    How can we tell what is COVID and what is flu?

    They'll be lumped so 40K
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  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,281 Founders Club
    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    And if you’re right you can pop off all you want. Woe unto you if you’re wrong.

    I’m outta the prediction bidness myself.
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  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 23,904
    You think it's over by the end of this year? Next winter will probably be the worse.

    By the end of this year I'd predict 100,000 US deaths.

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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    You think it's over by the end of this year? Next winter will probably be the worse.

    By the end of this year I'd predict 100,000 US deaths.

    lol

    Keep hope alive

    And wait till next winter!!!!
    Hillary will be handling it better by then.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,903 Founders Club
    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    You think it's over by the end of this year? Next winter will probably be the worse.

    By the end of this year I'd predict 100,000 US deaths.

    lol

    Keep hope alive

    And wait till next winter!!!!
    Hillary will be handling it better by then.
    Sounds like @HHusky doesn't like the way she will be handling it
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  • SECDAWG
    SECDAWG Member Posts: 5,004
    WestlinnDuck said:

    Of course, the counselor, dodo and scotty are excused. 80,000 offed in the 2017-2018 flu season.

    I'm going with 20,000 by next October.

    CORONAVIRUS IN PERSPECTIVE
    Rightly or wrongly, coronavirus has come to dominate the news and has devastated the stock market, at least temporarily. Government at all levels is afraid of being accused of doing too little, and therefore is, if anything, contributing to an atmosphere of panic.

    At this point, we don’t know how serious the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. will ultimately be. So far, the latest total I have seen is 38 deaths in the U.S. No doubt that total will increase significantly, but will it rise to the level of the estimated 80,000 flu deaths that the U.S. experienced just two years ago, the winter of 2017-18? I created this chart, which shows coronavirus fatalities to date compared with the 2017-18 total. There is a line there for coronavirus, but you can’t see it yet.

    My plan is to continue to update the chart as coronavirus infections continue. I think it will be a valuable tool to put coronavirus in perspective. Perhaps, by this time next year, the coronavirus bar will be several multiples of the 2017-18 bar. Perhaps not.



    Don’t update. You might get this message:




    I’ll say 30, 000.

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  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    HHusky said:

    You think it's over by the end of this year? Next winter will probably be the worse.

    By the end of this year I'd predict 100,000 US deaths.

    Depends on how quickly you think work can be done to prevent next winter’s activity ... by all accounts appears that 1) significant progress is being done here and 2) Trump noted that there was going to be significant pulling of red tape to fast track solutions

    Flattening the curve has the chance to buy a lot of time to finding good solutions
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  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,426 Founders Club
    PurpleThrobber said:

    RaceBannon said:

    So Trump killed 80 000 people two years ago?

    How can we tell what is COVID and what is flu?

    They'll be lumped so 40K

    This I actually believe to be true. There's going to be a large number of reclassifications that otherwise would have died regardless.

    Bureaucrats fudge numbers - it's what they do.

    Especially bureaucrats who would do ANYTHING to see Trump lose.
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  • Bendintheriver
    Bendintheriver Member Posts: 7,013 Standard Supporter
    DerekJohnson said:

    PurpleThrobber said:

    RaceBannon said:

    So Trump killed 80 000 people two years ago?

    How can we tell what is COVID and what is flu?

    They'll be lumped so 40K

    This I actually believe to be true. There's going to be a large number of reclassifications that otherwise would have died regardless.

    Bureaucrats fudge numbers - it's what they do.

    Especially bureaucrats who would do ANYTHING to see Trump lose.
    There isn't a rat in Congress that wouldn't trade 350K little people deaths for Trumps loss in the upcoming elections.
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  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,271
    edited March 2020
    Sounds like next winter will be special.

    Wait til Covid-19 gets its own winter in there.
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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,083
    Bendintheriver said:

    DerekJohnson said:

    PurpleThrobber said:

    RaceBannon said:

    So Trump killed 80 000 people two years ago?

    How can we tell what is COVID and what is flu?

    They'll be lumped so 40K

    This I actually believe to be true. There's going to be a large number of reclassifications that otherwise would have died regardless.

    Bureaucrats fudge numbers - it's what they do.

    Especially bureaucrats who would do ANYTHING to see Trump lose.
    There isn't a rat in Congress that wouldn't trade 350K little people deaths for Trumps loss in the upcoming elections.
    They'd trade double that if they were all white males. Maybe triple for the old rich white males.



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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    YellowSnow said:

    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    And if you’re right you can pop off all you want. Woe unto you if you’re wrong.

    I’m outta the prediction bidness myself.
    Why woe unto me? I control nothing and my prediction is irrelevant.
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  • BleachedAnusDawg
    BleachedAnusDawg Member Posts: 13,237 Standard Supporter
    Do homeless people count as part of the tally?
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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,083
    BleachedAnusDawg said:

    Do homeless people count as part of the tally?

    Net gain.

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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839
    The over/under is 5







    0,000

    I'll take the under but nothing would surprise me. Hoping @GrundleStiltzkin's theory proves true.
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  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    edited March 2020
    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    I've heard that if you simply get tested then you can go anywhere you want, no matter the result.
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  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    WestlinnDuck said:

    Of course, the counselor, dodo and scotty are excused. 80,000 offed in the 2017-2018 flu season.

    I'm going with 20,000 by next October.

    CORONAVIRUS IN PERSPECTIVE
    Rightly or wrongly, coronavirus has come to dominate the news and has devastated the stock market, at least temporarily. Government at all levels is afraid of being accused of doing too little, and therefore is, if anything, contributing to an atmosphere of panic.

    At this point, we don’t know how serious the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. will ultimately be. So far, the latest total I have seen is 38 deaths in the U.S. No doubt that total will increase significantly, but will it rise to the level of the estimated 80,000 flu deaths that the U.S. experienced just two years ago, the winter of 2017-18? I created this chart, which shows coronavirus fatalities to date compared with the 2017-18 total. There is a line there for coronavirus, but you can’t see it yet.

    My plan is to continue to update the chart as coronavirus infections continue. I think it will be a valuable tool to put coronavirus in perspective. Perhaps, by this time next year, the coronavirus bar will be several multiples of the 2017-18 bar. Perhaps not.


    Is this number gonna included Bloomberg strongholds like the Marianas?

    If so, I've got less than 20,000 deaths.
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  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,281 Founders Club
    MikeDamone said:

    YellowSnow said:

    MikeDamone said:

    Less than N1H1 and Obama’s magnificent handling of it. It’s well know that he had plenty of tests.

    And if you’re right you can pop off all you want. Woe unto you if you’re wrong.

    I’m outta the prediction bidness myself.
    Why woe unto me? I control nothing and my prediction is irrelevant.
    I just don't want you to look bad Mike D. That's all.

    New viruses aren't like making predictions about Big Dick QB failures.
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  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 23,904
    WestlinnDuck said:

    Of course, the counselor, dodo and scotty are excused. 80,000 offed in the 2017-2018 flu season.

    I'm going with 20,000 by next October.

    CORONAVIRUS IN PERSPECTIVE
    Rightly or wrongly, coronavirus has come to dominate the news and has devastated the stock market, at least temporarily. Government at all levels is afraid of being accused of doing too little, and therefore is, if anything, contributing to an atmosphere of panic.

    At this point, we don’t know how serious the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. will ultimately be. So far, the latest total I have seen is 38 deaths in the U.S. No doubt that total will increase significantly, but will it rise to the level of the estimated 80,000 flu deaths that the U.S. experienced just two years ago, the winter of 2017-18? I created this chart, which shows coronavirus fatalities to date compared with the 2017-18 total. There is a line there for coronavirus, but you can’t see it yet.

    My plan is to continue to update the chart as coronavirus infections continue. I think it will be a valuable tool to put coronavirus in perspective. Perhaps, by this time next year, the coronavirus bar will be several multiples of the 2017-18 bar. Perhaps not.


    We’ll hit your 20,000 in a few days.
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