401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
Oh bullshit. You are still on there with a different handle that you tried to pass off as someone other than yourself.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Why are we "due"?
While I couldn't point to one sector atm I see a lot of smaller bubbles in the economy(Coastal real estate inflation and real estate shadow inventory) and a dragging world economy. Demographics are also an issue but the deregulation I noted is helping with participation rates. You can pick on the "due" use of my language but I see a lot of high markets without the corresponding GDP growth numbers which usually means leverage. Plus you have a yield curve inversion which can precede a market correction which can tip an economy into recession as everyone tightens their wallets and deleverages. On top of that you have a trade war with no foreseeable resolution, a strengthening dollar vs. a ton of other currencies liquidity, and likely a large Chinese slowdown(maybe offset by other Asian growth, maybe not).
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
So what you're saying is there is no reason for a recession unless governments fuck it up.
Same as it ever was.
Some yes and some no. I don't view recessions or slowdowns as bad things inherently. It's part of the natural market cycle and is a good thing to trim a lot of the fat that develops.
The "natural market cycle" is largely created by government monetary policy, fiscal policy, and regulations.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Why are we "due"?
While I couldn't point to one sector atm I see a lot of smaller bubbles in the economy(Coastal real estate inflation and real estate shadow inventory) and a dragging world economy. Demographics are also an issue but the deregulation I noted is helping with participation rates. You can pick on the "due" use of my language but I see a lot of high markets without the corresponding GDP growth numbers which usually means leverage. Plus you have a yield curve inversion which can precede a market correction which can tip an economy into recession as everyone tightens their wallets and deleverages. On top of that you have a trade war with no foreseeable resolution, a strengthening dollar vs. a ton of other currencies liquidity, and likely a large Chinese slowdown(maybe offset by other Asian growth, maybe not).
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
So what you're saying is there is no reason for a recession unless governments fuck it up.
Same as it ever was.
Some yes and some no. I don't view recessions or slowdowns as bad things inherently. It's part of the natural market cycle and is a good thing to trim a lot of the fat that develops.
The "natural market cycle" is largely created by government monetary policy, fiscal policy, and regulations.
See 2008 for reference.
Debatable but either way, that's the world we live in so downturns and slowdowns are a reality.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
I understood almost none of this but still:
You've got the government rez check and your monthly casino chip allowance so your good to go.
Comments
every day of the year he says this shit. Idk dad, idk.
See 2008 for reference.