Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

If these number hold Trump wins re-election in a cake walk.

SFGbob
SFGbob Member Posts: 33,183
A growing number of polls show that President Trump is gaining the support of black voters above what any Republican president has ever received. Both Emerson Polling and Rasmussen Reports have it at about 34%, a stunning number.

These numbers put every industrial mid and upper mid west state in play, along with Penn and an outside shot on Illinois.

Minn, Mich, Wisc. Ohio would all be locks if these numbers are accurate.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/black-voter-support-for-trump-at-highest-levels-could-seal-2020-win
«1

Comments

  • But he's mean guys...
  • Didn't we learn our lesson in 2016 about putting too much faith in polls?
  • PandaOrangeChiknDuck
    PandaOrangeChiknDuck Member Posts: 545
    edited December 2019

    Didn't we learn our lesson in 2016 about putting too much faith in polls?

    What we learned from the polls were that people had a different voting preference publicly than they actually had privately. The projections will be probably be skewed to account for it this time around.
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019
    A Democrat pollster:

    Black voter support for Trump at ‘highest levels’ and could seal 2020 win

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/black-voter-support-for-trump-at-highest-levels-could-seal-2020-win
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.

    Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...
  • insinceredawg
    insinceredawg Member Posts: 5,117
    GDS said:

    Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.

    Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...

    GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.
  • SFGbob
    SFGbob Member Posts: 33,183

    GDS said:

    Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.

    Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...

    GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.
    Go fuck yourself lightweight. The post was based upon speculation on if the numbers would hold. Everyone knows that historically blacks have supported the Rats every since FDR bought them off with Federal goodies. No one is treating this poll as gospel you strawman ass fucking moron. "If these numbers are accurate" "If these numbers hold" Yeah, just like the gospels. Dumb ass.
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019

    GDS said:

    Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.

    Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...

    GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.
    You seem to be rather ignorant. The Democrat pollster I quoted is not the only poll that shows that Trump has significantly increased his support among blacks. So calling one poll an outlier when several others show the same results is a lie. But then ignorance and lying is kind of a precursor for being a moron leftist member of the Democrat party.😂😂😂😂

  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019
    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019
    Deck the Polls with Boughs of Folly

    https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/deck_the_polls_with_boughs_of_folly.html

    “There are also a few interesting polling asides. An American Jewish Committee survey found, “Nine in 10 Orthodox Jews support President Donald Trump.” There are also three recent polls showing black support for Trump at 30 percent or higher, despite previous GOP presidential candidates typically garnering less than 10 percent of the black vote on election day.

    In recent elections, the percent black support varied from Reagan getting 9 percent to Romney at 6 percent, McCain at 4 percent, and Trump at 8 percent. Imagine if Trump doubled his black support on Election Day, much less quadrupled it as the polls suggest might be possible.



  • insinceredawg
    insinceredawg Member Posts: 5,117
    SFGbob said:

    GDS said:

    Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.

    Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...

    GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.
    Go fuck yourself lightweight. The post was based upon speculation on if the numbers would hold. Everyone knows that historically blacks have supported the Rats every since FDR bought them off with Federal goodies. No one is treating this poll as gospel you strawman ass fucking moron. "If these numbers are accurate" "If these numbers hold" Yeah, just like the gospels. Dumb ass.
    You sound mad
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    I think ignorance like yours is frustrating moron.
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,469 Founders Club
    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    pawz said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?
    Was hoping deej would take me up on an account deletion bet. Figured it would be a win either way for HH. I’ll give you same terms though.
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019
    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,041 Standard Supporter
    Is it time for another "most annoying" poll?
  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    edited December 2019
    I wouldn’t want to take advantage of you. You were wrong about 2016, Mueller report, FBI traitors, FISA etc. It’s kind of silly.

    Ruh Roh Here is one of your hero’s Scott:

    Ben Sasse causes liberal implosion on social media after he admits FISA abuse accusations were true

    https://www.theblaze.com/news/ben-sasse-inspires-liberal-meltdown-over-fisa-abuses
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,469 Founders Club
    GDS said:

    pawz said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?
    Was hoping deej would take me up on an account deletion bet. Figured it would be a win either way for HH. I’ll give you same terms though.
    No. IDGAF that much.

    Not to mention I have more to lose. See the little teepee? It means I financially support the community because I want to.

    Try again.

  • Bendintheriver
    Bendintheriver Member Posts: 7,015 Standard Supporter
    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
    FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
    FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
    Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
  • SFGbob
    SFGbob Member Posts: 33,183
    GDS said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
    FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
    Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
    You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.

    How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
  • GDS
    GDS Member Posts: 1,470
    SFGbob said:

    GDS said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
    FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
    Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
    You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.

    How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
    You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
  • SFGbob
    SFGbob Member Posts: 33,183
    GDS said:

    SFGbob said:

    GDS said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    GDS said:

    DJDuck said:

    Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.

    New polls show black support for Trump surging

    https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208

    Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?
    Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.

    I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.

    Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.

    On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
    FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
    Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
    You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.

    How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
    You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
    What's my lie Kunt? State it clearly, better yet quote it. The only fucking liar is you Scotty.
  • RoadTrip
    RoadTrip Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,148 Founders Club

    But those tweets


    401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
  • SFGbob
    SFGbob Member Posts: 33,183

    But those tweets


    401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
    Don't ask me, I've given up with trying to time the market.