If these number hold Trump wins re-election in a cake walk.

These numbers put every industrial mid and upper mid west state in play, along with Penn and an outside shot on Illinois.
Minn, Mich, Wisc. Ohio would all be locks if these numbers are accurate.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/black-voter-support-for-trump-at-highest-levels-could-seal-2020-win
Comments
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As it turns out, people like having jobs and rising incomes.
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But those tweets
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But he's mean guys...
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The tide may be turning for human scum, Ol Yeller. Historians years from now may look back to the day I received the gender identity curriculum letter for my kindergartner.
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Didn't we learn our lesson in 2016 about putting too much faith in polls?
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What we learned from the polls were that people had a different voting preference publicly than they actually had privately. The projections will be probably be skewed to account for it this time around.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:Didn't we learn our lesson in 2016 about putting too much faith in polls?
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A Democrat pollster:
Black voter support for Trump at ‘highest levels’ and could seal 2020 win
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/black-voter-support-for-trump-at-highest-levels-could-seal-2020-win -
Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality... -
GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.GDS said:Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality... -
Go fuck yourself lightweight. The post was based upon speculation on if the numbers would hold. Everyone knows that historically blacks have supported the Rats every since FDR bought them off with Federal goodies. No one is treating this poll as gospel you strawman ass fucking moron. "If these numbers are accurate" "If these numbers hold" Yeah, just like the gospels. Dumb ass.insinceredawg said:
GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.GDS said:Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality... -
You seem to be rather ignorant. The Democrat pollster I quoted is not the only poll that shows that Trump has significantly increased his support among blacks. So calling one poll an outlier when several others show the same results is a lie. But then ignorance and lying is kind of a precursor for being a moron leftist member of the Democrat party.😂😂😂😂insinceredawg said:
GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.GDS said:Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...
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Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208 -
Deck the Polls with Boughs of Folly
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2019/12/deck_the_polls_with_boughs_of_folly.html
“There are also a few interesting polling asides. An American Jewish Committee survey found, “Nine in 10 Orthodox Jews support President Donald Trump.” There are also three recent polls showing black support for Trump at 30 percent or higher, despite previous GOP presidential candidates typically garnering less than 10 percent of the black vote on election day.
In recent elections, the percent black support varied from Reagan getting 9 percent to Romney at 6 percent, McCain at 4 percent, and Trump at 8 percent. Imagine if Trump doubled his black support on Election Day, much less quadrupled it as the polls suggest might be possible.
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You sound madSFGbob said:
Go fuck yourself lightweight. The post was based upon speculation on if the numbers would hold. Everyone knows that historically blacks have supported the Rats every since FDR bought them off with Federal goodies. No one is treating this poll as gospel you strawman ass fucking moron. "If these numbers are accurate" "If these numbers hold" Yeah, just like the gospels. Dumb ass.insinceredawg said:
GTFO with your facts and logic. Let's just cherry pick the one outlier poll that fits the Tug narrative and treat it as gospel.GDS said:Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality... -
I think ignorance like yours is frustrating moron.
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Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208 -
I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208 -
Was hoping deej would take me up on an account deletion bet. Figured it would be a win either way for HH. I’ll give you same terms though.pawz said:
I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208 -
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
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Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one. -
Is it time for another "most annoying" poll?
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I wouldn’t want to take advantage of you. You were wrong about 2016, Mueller report, FBI traitors, FISA etc. It’s kind of silly.
Ruh Roh Here is one of your hero’s Scott:
Ben Sasse causes liberal implosion on social media after he admits FISA abuse accusations were true
https://www.theblaze.com/news/ben-sasse-inspires-liberal-meltdown-over-fisa-abuses
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No. IDGAF that much.GDS said:
Was hoping deej would take me up on an account deletion bet. Figured it would be a win either way for HH. I’ll give you same terms though.pawz said:
I'll take the over. What do you want to bet?GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
Not to mention I have more to lose. See the little teepee? It means I financially support the community because I want to.
Try again.
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FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.GDS said:
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one. -
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.Bendintheriver said:
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.GDS said:
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one. -
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.GDS said:
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.Bendintheriver said:
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.GDS said:
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty? -
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?SFGbob said:
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.GDS said:
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.Bendintheriver said:
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.GDS said:
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty? -
What's my lie Kunt? State it clearly, better yet quote it. The only fucking liar is you Scotty.GDS said:
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?SFGbob said:
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.GDS said:
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.Bendintheriver said:
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.GDS said:
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.DJDuck said:
Yes I do Scott. He won the last election with 8%.GDS said:
Do you think Trump will get 15% Deej?DJDuck said:Most pundits and pollsters say that if Trump gets just 15% of the Black vote it will be a landslide.
New polls show black support for Trump surging
https://www.newsday.com/opinion/commentary/black-voters-donald-trump-support-1.39184208
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty? -
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?RaceBannon said:But those tweets
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Don't ask me, I've given up with trying to time the market.DuckHHunterisafag said:
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?RaceBannon said:But those tweets