Oregon Offseason Natty Complete
ESPN's FPI update has UO at 10th with this to say:
"Which one of these four teams has the best shot at pulling off a darkhorse run to the Playoff? The FPI is highest on Oregon (9.7 wins) and Notre Dame (9.4 wins), but only gives the Ducks a 35 percent chance to win the Pac-12 — which is what Mario Cristobal's team will have to do to have a shot. The Oregon-Auburn opener at AT&T Stadium is intriguing for a number of reasons, none bigger than the outcome possibly coming into play with the selection committee down the stretch."
"ESPN has previously released their 2019-2020 College Football Playoff predictor and the Ducks have the eighth highest percentage to make the CFP and the highest percentage of any Pac-12 team. According to the playoff predictor, the Ducks have a 14% chance of making the College Football Playoff. Three other Pac-12 teams are listed with a chance as well, Washington (4%), UCLA (1%), and Utah (1%)."
Auburn in Texas, at Stanford, at Washington, at USC. Four toughest opponents on the road where Oregon is 3-7 over the last two years.
Meanwhile....
ESPN's FPI update has UW at 17th with this to say:
"Bullish on Washington? ESPN's simulation model likes the Huskies to finish 9-3, but not win the Pac-12 Championship this season due to a brutal slate. That sounds a lot like several of the teams in this list who are talented with depth, but will likely succumb to difficult stretches against Top 25 competition."
Brutal slate? You mean like Eastern Washington, Hawaii, and BYU for non-con, your only difficult road game being at Stanford, and then getting USC, Oregon, Utah, and Wazzu all at home where UW has won 14 straight and is undefeated the last two years?
Come on ESPN.
Comments
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Jesus
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ESPN has always been in love with embarrassing little brother. They represent the perfect narrative for the PAC12 in ESPN's eyes.
They've also gotta build them up bc of the matchup against Auburn. -
Everything I ever see from espn on the pac12 sounds like they have an intern spend 3 minutes looking at some data then start typing. Its always the absolute most basic analysis possible. Back to 57 minutes of sec details. Gotta make sure we break down Arkansas' 2 deep
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Pretty much sums up ESPN'S love affair with Oregon.
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Sealed
https://si.com/nfl/2019/07/09/nfl-mock-draft-2020-justin-herbert-tua-tagovailoa
Senior Hometown Hero QB with little on field success projected #1 overall. What could go wrong?
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But Oregon has the likely #1 draft pick senior QB and a really veteran O-line!!!
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Helps UW, IMO. Bulletin board material if I've ever seen it.
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At this point, the big question is how the Eugene native will adapt to leaving his hometownDoogles said:Sealed
https://si.com/nfl/2019/07/09/nfl-mock-draft-2020-justin-herbert-tua-tagovailoa
Senior Hometown Hero QB with little on field success projected #1 overall. What could go wrong?
this was the knock on mariotta too, right? big, athletic, qb that wanted to be on the west coast so he could get to hawaii easily? well, its gone swimmingly for marcus so far...when hes not injured. -
All I'm saying is you have a holiday bowl against a Nebraska that doesnt want to be there coming your way 2019.rodmansrage said:
At this point, the big question is how the Eugene native will adapt to leaving his hometownDoogles said:Sealed
https://si.com/nfl/2019/07/09/nfl-mock-draft-2020-justin-herbert-tua-tagovailoa
Senior Hometown Hero QB with little on field success projected #1 overall. What could go wrong?
this was the knock on mariotta too, right? big, athletic, qb that wanted to be on the west coast so he could get to hawaii easily? well, its gone swimmingly for marcus so far...when hes not injured. -
When a formerly prolific offense scores only 7 points in a bowl game against a mediocre team, it's over. Duck football is over and Cristoblah is finished.
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Clearly ESPN hates Adidas
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I love this so much. How the fuck has there been zero mention in the media that UW has had the #1 defense in the conference four years in a row despite major defensive losses year after year.
If you consistently have the #1 defense in the conference year after year, a veteran O-line across the board that has NFL talent on it, a QB with elite top-10 NFL draft potential, and one of the best head coaches in the country, I think that should be good enough to be the conference favorite by a long shot.
Not some fucking dark horse program that can't win on the road and has never had the #1 defense in the conference under their current staff, let alone in recent memory.
I love being the hunter instead of the hunted. The defending conference champs have been written off. Let that anger and feeling of disrespect come out on the field. -
StrongArmCobra said:
I love this so much. How the fuck has there been zero mention in the media that UW has had the #1 defense in the conference four years in a row despite major defensive losses year after year.
If you consistently have the #1 defense in the conference year after year, a veteran O-line across the board that has NFL talent on it, a QB with elite top-10 NFL draft potential, and one of the best head coaches in the country, I think that should be good enough to be the conference favorite by a long shot.
Not some fucking dark horse program that can't win on the road and has never had the #1 defense in the conference under their current staff, let alone in recent memory.
I love being the hunter instead of the hunted. The defending conference champs have been written off. Let that anger and feeling of disrespect come out on the field.
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Update from the retards at ESPN:
@ Washington - Oct. 19th
Win probability: 51.9%
Again.... Oregon, who is 3-7 on the road the last 2 years is favored at Washington, against a team who has won 14 straight home games. -
Also, WASHINGTON is the better team.DoogCourics said:Update from the retards at ESPN:
@ Washington - Oct. 19th
Win probability: 51.9%
Again.... Oregon, who is 3-7 on the road the last 2 years is favored at Washington, against a team who has won 14 straight home games.
I’d kill for heads up odds on that game. -
Jimmy Lake and #DeathRow are going to push their shit in.DoogCourics said:Update from the retards at ESPN:
@ Washington - Oct. 19th
Win probability: 51.9%
Again.... Oregon, who is 3-7 on the road the last 2 years is favored at Washington, against a team who has won 14 straight home games.
#deepdicking > #flexfriday -
Is that how a married man talksSwaye said:
Jimmy Lake and #DeathRow are going to push their shit in.DoogCourics said:Update from the retards at ESPN:
@ Washington - Oct. 19th
Win probability: 51.9%
Again.... Oregon, who is 3-7 on the road the last 2 years is favored at Washington, against a team who has won 14 straight home games.
#deepdicking > #flexfriday -
You can bet the game right now- UW is favored by 6.5 on the early line.dnc said:
Also, WASHINGTON is the better team.DoogCourics said:Update from the retards at ESPN:
@ Washington - Oct. 19th
Win probability: 51.9%
Again.... Oregon, who is 3-7 on the road the last 2 years is favored at Washington, against a team who has won 14 straight home games.
I’d kill for heads up odds on that game.
(not that those are real accurate- limits are small- but still.) -
Currently a thread on educk about how Herbert has way more upside than Tua.....
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Hang the banner imho
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Last year was a banged up team in consecutive road games against a motivated team coming off of a bye. Knowing Petersen (we're pals), I'm sure it was a "stick to our process" bullshit deal with no extra emphasis for the opponent. The Huskies still should have won but for one of Petersen's annual "let's cost the team a game" moments.
This year? I'd like to believe it's personal. If there is ANY truth to the Cristobal recruiting bullshit, there is going to be a target on this game. Coach Pete's goin' in dry. Washington -6.5 is a gift as it is, no need for heads-up. I would not be shocked to see this game look similar to the last time the Ducks visited Burger King Center with Alaska Airlines Field between Starbucks Bleachers at Husky Stadium. -
Maybe it’s more of an indictment of Buffalo or the Raiders...assuming they will blow another top draft pick...Doogles said:Sealed
https://si.com/nfl/2019/07/09/nfl-mock-draft-2020-justin-herbert-tua-tagovailoa
Senior Hometown Hero QB with little on field success projected #1 overall. What could go wrong?
