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Poker Guysm - Greatest Fold of All-Tim ?

pawz
pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club
14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


Comments

  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,214 Founders Club
    Why do the Poker guysm look so weird these days?
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,671 Swaye's Wigwam
    Good fold. Not sure I would've read pocket kings there but I didn't see the pre flop betting. I probably would've lost with the queens.

    I won a small tournament once with a very similar board except I had pocket 2s and was pretty damn sure that four 2s was good. That was good for a little over $200 off a $20 buy in and $10 rebuy, the largest amount I've ever profited in a poker game.
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club
    chuck said:

    Good fold. Not sure I would've read pocket kings there but I didn't see the pre flop betting. I probably would've lost with the queens.

    I won a small tournament once with a very similar board except I had pocket 2s and was pretty damn sure that four 2s was good. That was good for a little over $200 off a $20 buy in and $10 rebuy, the largest amount I've ever profited in a poker game.

    It was just Raise-Call preflop. No 3 or 4-betting.

    He must have had SOME sort of read - in terms of physical/live tells - to find a fold. And w $2.1M in cashes coming into the ME, I'm guessing he's worked on that skill set.



  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club

    Why do the Poker guysm look so weird these days?

    What do you expect them to look like?

  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club

    pawz said:

    Why do the Poker guysm look so weird these days?

    What do you expect them to look like?


    Yore white supremacy has no place in teh pokerz communities.

    Sincerely, @TheKobeStopper

  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    edited July 2022
    I thought the greatest fold of all Tim was the Ducks blowing a 31 point halftime lead to the Fightin' Tequillas.

    Right up until Warshington folded even harder in losing to Montana.
  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,232 Founders Club
    pawz said:

    Why do the Poker guysm look so weird these days?

    What do you expect them to look like?


  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club

    pawz said:

    Why do the Poker guysm look so weird these days?

    What do you expect them to look like?


    Pei de man heez money.

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club
    edited July 2022
    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,214 Founders Club
    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    I don’t understand what is happening.
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,671 Swaye's Wigwam


    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    I don’t understand what is happening.
    You have to watch it. Just reading what these guys posted, without watching the hand, makes it hard to visualize what they're talking about. Maybe not to a regular player, but to most of us.
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club


    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    I don’t understand what is happening.
    We?re having a home gayme Saturday. You should come play cards.

  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,425 Founders Club
    edited August 2022
    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    The part being missed here is if you DON'T call with Qx/2x enough, you are giving up piles of equity.

    There are definitely enough AA, AJ, AT, JT combos to justify a call w a naked 2.

    This is the part equity exposure vs game theory that make it an insanely difficult fold.




    *with regards to OP, 22 is a 7th, winning hand-combo available
  • Fenderbender123
    Fenderbender123 Member Posts: 2,989
    I don't know all the considerations. But if it's my hand, I'm telling myself that I have a full house with queens and twos, but with the king out there and two queens, there are solid possibilities that somebody has a better full house, or even a push. With that said, i probably wouldn't have folded.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    pawz said:


    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    I don’t understand what is happening.
    We?re having a home gayme Saturday. You should come play cards.

    I take it as a complement that you don’t want me near that game
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    edited August 2022
    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    The part being missed here is if you DON'T call with Qx/2x enough, you are giving up piles of equity.

    There are definitely enough AA, AJ, AT, JT combos to justify a call w a naked 2.

    This is the part equity exposure vs game theory that make it an insanely difficult fold.




    *with regards to OP, 22 is a 7th, winning hand-combo available
    You’re absolutely right on the equity standpoint

    There’s also the difference between cash game vs a tournament and in particular the main

    Let’s say you and I are playing a far smaller version of the DNegs vs Polk battle and instead of $40k buy-ins we are playing for $40 or $400 or whatever …

    I don’t think either of us are folding in that spot EVER for all the reasons that you mentioned … when we get coolered we reload with a desire to go punch the other in the face

    But that deep in the main, the wrong decision there takes away the chance at $8-10M (or whatever it was this year) and sends you out the door with a low 6 figure cash (nothing to sneeze about) …

    Folding there (particularly if you have chips still to work with) still gives you a chance to go for the top prize and/or buy you time for some pay jumps

    To me this is a great example of how decision making can really change materially between cash and tournament play

    Part of the fun in a tournament is biding your time waiting for a person to take the wrong line and then pouncing

    I fully realize that we tend to play different styles (at least back when I used to play regularly) … I think you know how I used to play well enough to know that I’d mix in a shove with a JT on that board

    I miss the days of crushing single table low stakes SNGs
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,214 Founders Club
    pawz said:


    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    Tequilla said:

    pawz said:

    14 players left in this year's WSOP Main Event - $10M up top.

    AQ finds a CORRECT fold on a KQ2Q2 board. Just 6 hand combinations beat him (3 of KK, and 3 of KQ), but still ....


    https://www.pokernews.com/news/2022/07/wsop-main-event-great-fold-41660.htm


    What’s the golden fucking rule? Leave yourself an out

    Assuming the video was straight forward on it … the snap all-in probably gives enough of a reason to exercise caution

    The KK is obviously the concern but losing to KQ also enters into the play despite all the blockers to it … I wouldn’t even consider pocket ducks

    It’s obviously a bit polarized but the snap call and snap all in after hitting trips just smells way too fishy
    Let's say the KK player has a naked Q instead. How is his line any different on the turn and river? Are we? expecting him to check-back the river?

    IMO yes it’s a different line but you and I play probably a little different in those spots

    Let’s say I’m pushing with the naked Q I’m getting 3 outcomes

    1) Opponent folds Kx or whatever bluff they were running … you’re winning a showdown there anyway with a call and those hands are never calling away their stacks

    2) You’re running into KK, 22, or KQ and you’re getting snap called and heading to the payout window … if you call your stack away and run into the ultimate cooler then so what

    3) The interesting scenario here with the over the top with a chopped Q hand is that if that’s your read then you’re calling off to chop

    My big consideration at that point is do I have enough chips behind with a fold to rebuild and move forward … if I do I tip my cap if you pushed me off my hand. Just don’t see the risk/reward in my favor to call it off there
    I don’t understand what is happening.
    We?re having a home gayme Saturday. You should come play cards.

    I moved. Too far.