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Go Dawgs, UW IMHE updates models for Omicron...
DoogieMcDoogerson
Member Posts: 2,495
in Tug Tavern
Pretty fascinating stuff.
"The other thing we've noted on the policy front is that many of the policies around testing in schools and workplace that evolved for prior variants, with much high infection-hospitalization rates and infection-fatality rates, and the required period of isolation after a positive test, are going to be very problematic during the omicron surge.
Because the numbers are so much larger for omicron, so many people will be asymptomatic. If you follow the same protocols, you may end up with some employers with a huge reduction in available staff. I think many organizations will have to rethink whether or not testing of asymptomatics and isolation is actually going to make a difference, and is worth the disruption in school or the workplace.
Last on the policy front, we're clearly in an era where infections (most of them) are very mild, that even reported cases, many of them are going to be mild, it's probably time, at least on the local level, to shift our focus from reported cases to what's happening to hospitalizations.
We believe the timely, relevant metric to track in the future during omicron, is going to be hospital admissions. That'll help keep focus on severe outcomes and what is happening in different communities."
https://www.healthdata.org/covid/video/insights-ihmes-latest-covid-19-model-run
"The other thing we've noted on the policy front is that many of the policies around testing in schools and workplace that evolved for prior variants, with much high infection-hospitalization rates and infection-fatality rates, and the required period of isolation after a positive test, are going to be very problematic during the omicron surge.
Because the numbers are so much larger for omicron, so many people will be asymptomatic. If you follow the same protocols, you may end up with some employers with a huge reduction in available staff. I think many organizations will have to rethink whether or not testing of asymptomatics and isolation is actually going to make a difference, and is worth the disruption in school or the workplace.
Last on the policy front, we're clearly in an era where infections (most of them) are very mild, that even reported cases, many of them are going to be mild, it's probably time, at least on the local level, to shift our focus from reported cases to what's happening to hospitalizations.
We believe the timely, relevant metric to track in the future during omicron, is going to be hospital admissions. That'll help keep focus on severe outcomes and what is happening in different communities."
https://www.healthdata.org/covid/video/insights-ihmes-latest-covid-19-model-run
Comments
Worth the disruption? Are you fucking serious? We are making decisions now based on if its 'worth the disruption' ?
How you know it was never about "health" or "safety". Either its a deadly as advertised, or it isn't. Fuck Off.
#HowYouKnowItsAScam
Scott Atlas torched these lifer bureaucrats with actual studies and data.
But cases!!!!!!
North America
Europe
South America