Week 12 Games to Play vs the Odds

TheRoarOfTheCrowd

@RoadDawg55
So, let's collaborate a little here on football ~ maybe we can do some good this week.
We can have some success by being super selective and I will value your thoughts.

The early early line on Notre Dame vs North Carolina is listed at ND -3 which if
i can get some money down at that number on that looks super attractive to me.

The other thing is Michigan / Penn State again at Mich -3.5 looks interesting because
as you said, Penn St has quit... I did well with Iowa but that was an easy choice ~ Michigan
is not a team I like but Penn St is on a losing streak from hell.

Let me know if you see anything worth looking at.

RoadDawg55

ND -3 is good. I’ll have to look at the lines and get back to you.

TheRoarOfTheCrowd

Pittsburg -3 vs Baltimore at Pittsburg... I mean I know that Pittsburg will not go undefeated but still those are good odds. So I played Pittsburg and ND at the now active price of -4.5... don't feel like I can push my luck with Michigan, they are playing like looosers as well.

backthepack

NFL Parlay: Seattle lay the points -5.5 , Chicago +8, Pittsburgh lay the points -3, and AZ lay the points -2.5

backthepack

CFB parlay: Oregon State +13, Minnesota +21, Oklahoma -11.5, LSU + 13.5 and SJSU +11.5


If UW plays BYU I’m backing up the brinks truck.

backthepack

Forgot to add Colorado +13.5

TheRoarOfTheCrowd

backthepack said:

CFB parlay: Oregon State +13, Minnesota +21, Oklahoma -11.5, LSU + 13.5 and SJSU +11.5


If UW plays BYU I’m backing up the brinks truck.

Those are a bunch of large odds... think you are right about Colorado, not going to play it but I think its a good bet.
Am REALLY curious what the odds WOULD be for UW / BYU... cant guess but am thinking the Dwags would be favored by 3 but on the other hand since BYU has a good win streak going and they are ranked maybe they would be favored.. I know that the odds makers would look at the game differently, but still their interest is in attracting the most money to the game and so the public perception will have a lot to do with the odds.

backthepack

DawgsCanDance said:

backthepack said:

CFB parlay: Oregon State +13, Minnesota +21, Oklahoma -11.5, LSU + 13.5 and SJSU +11.5


If UW plays BYU I’m backing up the brinks truck.

Those are a bunch of large odds... think you are right about Colorado, not going to play it but I think its a good bet.
Am REALLY curious what the odds WOULD be for UW / BYU... cant guess but am thinking the Dwags would be favored by 3 but on the other hand since BYU has a good win streak going and they are ranked maybe they would be favored.. I know that the odds makers would look at the game differently, but still their interest is in attracting the most money to the game and so the public perception will have a lot to do with the odds.

I’m poor I do $20-$25 parlays for games that have longer odds, i think have decent chances of hitting. I’ve hit once this year for a 2.1k payout.

TheRoarOfTheCrowd

that's great.. I like to play individual games...my thought about parlays is to keep them shorter [2-3 teams] if i do it at all [not frequently] and use what i think is proceeds from a lock game to pay for them. I've played a few 6 team parlays and hit one, but normally its 4 or 5 of six for a breakeven so there is that...

You are doing the exact opposite of what I am doing, but i do see the fun and potential profit behind your thought process.

Edwin_Bambino

RoadDawg55 said:

ND -3 is good. I’ll have to look at the lines and get back to you.

Yea that looks pretty tasty to me as well. I need to more research but my first inclination would be to hammer that and take ND.

backthepack

DawgsCanDance said:

that's great.. my thought about parlays is to keep them shorter [2-3 teams] and use what i think is proceeds from a lock game to pay for them.
I've played a few 6 team parlays and hit one, but normally its 4 or 5 of six for a breakeven so there is that...

Yeah i usually do 3-5 team parlays, I hit big on an NFL parlay earlier this year too. I just liked a lot of these lines, I do 6-7 team parlays once in awhile just depends on the board.