Election Poll - Call It
Comments
-
Biden, but much closer than the poles predicted because polesters are charlatans.One of the most telling items I have read on polling, which I can not find right now, is that 50% of likely voters that have stated Biden are folks that are anti-Trump not pro Biden.
So if the Red at 41% even has 10% that are voting Biden that puts advantage Biden in Wiscy.
Unfortunately we will never know that answer - do they ever give out the number of registered voters that voted against their own party?
but then I could be blowing it out my ass which Mrs Lebam says happens way too often -
Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.
most small timer models are pushing a crude 5% republican for Biden, 10% dem for Trump.LebamDawg said:One of the most telling items I have read on polling, which I can not find right now, is that 50% of likely voters that have stated Biden are folks that are anti-Trump not pro Biden.
So if the Red at 41% even has 10% that are voting Biden that puts advantage Biden in Wiscy.
Unfortunately we will never know that answer - do they ever give out the number of registered voters that voted against their own party?
but then I could be blowing it out my ass which Mrs Lebam says happens way too often
It varies a few percentages with state, age, demographic, voting frequency and a bunch of other stuff... pretty subjective variable in the model...
Most are taking the general idea that if you voted for Trump in 2016, you are probably voting for him again. -
Biden, but much closer than the poles predicted because polesters are charlatans.
so kind of a SWAGHouhusky said:
most small timer models are pushing a crude 5% republican for Biden, 10% dem for Trump.LebamDawg said:One of the most telling items I have read on polling, which I can not find right now, is that 50% of likely voters that have stated Biden are folks that are anti-Trump not pro Biden.
So if the Red at 41% even has 10% that are voting Biden that puts advantage Biden in Wiscy.
Unfortunately we will never know that answer - do they ever give out the number of registered voters that voted against their own party?
but then I could be blowing it out my ass which Mrs Lebam says happens way too often
It varies a few percentages with state, age, demographic, voting frequency and a bunch of other stuff... pretty subjective variable in the model...
Most are taking the general idea that if you voted for Trump in 2016, you are probably voting for him again. -
Trump in a tight one because all the poles are bullshit.Pollster Frank Luntz: If Trump defies polls again 'my profession is done'
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pollster-frank-luntz-if-trump-defies-polls-again-in-2020-my-profession-is-done -
Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.
yeah, a small one and one that will likely favor republicans this time around.LebamDawg said:
so kind of a SWAGHouhusky said:
most small timer models are pushing a crude 5% republican for Biden, 10% dem for Trump.LebamDawg said:One of the most telling items I have read on polling, which I can not find right now, is that 50% of likely voters that have stated Biden are folks that are anti-Trump not pro Biden.
So if the Red at 41% even has 10% that are voting Biden that puts advantage Biden in Wiscy.
Unfortunately we will never know that answer - do they ever give out the number of registered voters that voted against their own party?
but then I could be blowing it out my ass which Mrs Lebam says happens way too often
It varies a few percentages with state, age, demographic, voting frequency and a bunch of other stuff... pretty subjective variable in the model...
Most are taking the general idea that if you voted for Trump in 2016, you are probably voting for him again. -
Biden in a contested election because Barrett isn't seated and Roberts is a giant faggot.Repubs voted Trump 95% in the primary...one of the highest % for a candidate running for reelection. There are some Repubs that won’t vote for him, but it’s not a significant amount.
They are going to really have to cheat in Philly...the rest of the state is much more favorable to Trump this time around. It is going to be egregious, and they still will likely get away with it.
If Trump wins Wisconsin and Minnesota it won’t matter, but that is asking a lot. -
Trump will win this relatively easy.
-
Trump wins this thing and it isn't close! Dementia never even got its' boots on...I still feel good about my prediction. I’m also happy to be moving to Idaho next weekend before Washington burns.
-
Trump wins this thing and it isn't close! Dementia never even got its' boots on...
The 509 is safe. Just higher gas prices.EsophagealFeces said:I still feel good about my prediction. I’m also happy to be moving to Idaho next weekend before Washington burns.
The fire line will be at Vantage. No winter burning East of that. -
Trump wins this thing and it isn't close! Dementia never even got its' boots on...
Lewis county will probably be fine too. The rest of the I-5 corridor could be a shitshow tho.PurpleThrobber said:
The 509 is safe. Just higher gas prices.EsophagealFeces said:I still feel good about my prediction. I’m also happy to be moving to Idaho next weekend before Washington burns.
The fire line will be at Vantage. No winter burning East of that.
