Dems probably hold 51 senate seats going into the Georgia runoff(s).
I had low expectations going into the Biden campaign but by being invisible they have allowed Trump to dominate the news cycle and sink his own ship.
With so much polling this year to have an error significant enough to shift the Electoral College would be incredibly unlikely and unprecedented in the modern era of polling.
Trump doesn't have 0 chance, probably <5%. I agreed with Silver last time his chances were about 1 in 3. I think his model is pretty accurate again but a bit too favorable for Trump.
Dems probably hold 51 senate seats going into the Georgia runoff(s).
I had low expectations going into the Biden campaign but by being invisible they have allowed Trump to dominate the news cycle and sink his own ship.
With so much polling this year to have an error significant enough to shift the Electoral College would be incredibly unlikely and unprecedented in the modern era of polling.
I've been thinking this for a week. One of the biggest reason of inflated poll numbers is the setup to later claim Trump stole the election.
That and discouraging people from voting.
Or, the polling is correct.
Obviously I don't believe that is true.
#NoOBK
Very wrong in 2016. Crowd-size disparity is even greater this year than 2016. Incentive to admit publicly of Trump suppport is low for undecided-ish. Minority populations are swinging Trump - allegedly. Latino may be 50% or greater; Blick may be as much as 30%
Dems probably hold 51 senate seats going into the Georgia runoff(s).
I had low expectations going into the Biden campaign but by being invisible they have allowed Trump to dominate the news cycle and sink his own ship.
With so much polling this year to have an error significant enough to shift the Electoral College would be incredibly unlikely and unprecedented in the modern era of polling.
Comments
Always my top issue. Without the 2nd you loose them all!
Ninety motherfucking six miles long.
That’s insane.
AZ red.
Reminds me of when Obama talked about how he loved going to “Cominskey Field” in south Chicago.
It’s not an either/or thing.
Total Bullshit!
Panic mode.
That and discouraging people from voting.
Biden wins pop vote 52.5-44.
Wins NC, AZ, by 1-2. PA by 6, WI by 8, MI by 8. NV by 8.
Toss ups: Florida, Georgia.
Lean Trump: Ohio, Iowa, Texas.
Dems probably hold 51 senate seats going into the Georgia runoff(s).
I had low expectations going into the Biden campaign but by being invisible they have allowed Trump to dominate the news cycle and sink his own ship.
With so much polling this year to have an error significant enough to shift the Electoral College would be incredibly unlikely and unprecedented in the modern era of polling.
Trump doesn't have 0 chance, probably <5%. I agreed with Silver last time his chances were about 1 in 3. I think his model is pretty accurate again but a bit too favorable for Trump.
Obviously I don't believe that is true.
#NoOBK
Very wrong in 2016.
Crowd-size disparity is even greater this year than 2016.
Incentive to admit publicly of Trump suppport is low for undecided-ish.
Minority populations are swinging Trump - allegedly. Latino may be 50% or greater; Blick may be as much as 30%
And Classic Confirmation Bias.
(yes, I edited that)
Give me Liberty or give me death.