Numbers, math, facts, etc.
Comments
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Good stuff @LesGrossmanLesGrossman said:So I decided to spend some time entering my county's (Orange County) data and looking at the numbers myself...
Fuck these guysm. They reported another 31 deaths today. If you look at their trend lines, the death rate is going up (dotted red line below).
However:
To date, when looking at the "Date of Death", there hasn't been a single day over 15 deaths (tallest blue spike below). In fact, in their "Death Report Date" numbers, they've reported TEN daily totals that are higher than our max (15) number of people that died on any particular date.
When you look at the "Date of Death", our numbers actually peaked around 7/8.
Using Orange County Covid 19 Dashboard (Deaths Tab), the Blue series below is actual "Date of Death"
Using The Global Covid 19 Tracker, (filtered down to CA and OC, which match the deaths by "Death Report Date" that the county has been reporting) the Red series is "Death Report Date"
Both sets of data total 697 deaths, which is our county's total.
A 3-7 day rolling average would help filter some of the peaks and valleys that only occur due to administrative constraints. Backlogged peaks are really good at tricking humans into trends.
Also a third aspect on the graph, plotting the average delay in “date of death” to “reported date of death” for each specific date might yield something interesting. -
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
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Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
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Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.PurpleThrobber said:
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic". -
Not as skeptical as this board is about your legal credentials, Dazzler.HHusky said:
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.PurpleThrobber said:
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
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So white flag. Cool!PurpleThrobber said:
Not as skeptical as this board is about your legal credentials, Dazzler.HHusky said:
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.PurpleThrobber said:
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic". -
I guess government can only keep vast conspiracies when it involves the WH and Iraqi WMDs or Russian hooker pee tapes....HHusky said:
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.PurpleThrobber said:
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic". -
Incoherent, but you're so likeable.thechatch said:
I guess government can only keep vast conspiracies when it involves the WH and Iraqi WMDs or Russian hooker pee tapes....HHusky said:
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.PurpleThrobber said:
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.HHusky said:
ES = Kevin BaconMikeDamone said:
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.GrundleStiltzkin said:
You and I were right.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic". -
HH is your typical low level atty. You might hire him to get your kid out of a speeding ticket, but that’s about it.
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So back to me.thechatch said:HH is your typical low level atty. You might hire him to get your kid out of a speeding ticket, but that’s about it.
I approve of the subject even if I quarrel with the opinion.
