Oxford University plagiarized my shit

GrundleStiltzkin

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

UW_Doog_Bot

This is why I think it isn't "targeting" the younger demographics. They've all already had it through the schools back in Winter and have herd immunity at this point.

Kaepsknee

UW_Doog_Bot said:

This is why I think it isn't "targeting" the younger demographics. They've all already had it through the schools back in Winter and have herd immunity at this point.

Chinteresting point. And if true, then closing down the schools was all for naught.

RaceBannon

I was right

Sledog

Closing down the economy was all for naught. Except to hurt Trump.

PurpleThrobber

salemcoog said:

UW_Doog_Bot said:

This is why I think it isn't "targeting" the younger demographics. They've all already had it through the schools back in Winter and have herd immunity at this point.

Chinteresting point. And if true, then closing down the schools was all for naught.

Disagree.

It deepens the solemn nature of this. Very solemn.

Pelosi solemn.

GrundleStiltzkin

RaceBannon said:

I was right

Your welcome.

huskyhooligan

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

GrundleStiltzkin

huskyhooligan said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

So, like, all of New York City.

UW_Doog_Bot

GrundleStiltzkin said:

huskyhooligan said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

So, like, all of New York City.

Dark shit dude.

haie

Really shocking that certain cities with the necessary infrastructural catalysts are in a legitimate crisis situation but the the country as a whole should be back to normal.

GrundleStiltzkin

Too lazy to re-excerpt the sources. Be triggered by hot air if you must.
Executive Summary: Imperial College also plagiarismed my Race’s shit

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/30/imperial-college-estimate-countries-millions-undetected-infections/

RaceBannon

http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1244740265740570625?s=19

DerekJohnson

As the crow flies, my condo is three miles from the Kirkland nursing home where all the people died. Nobody around me is sick, nobody has died. But most folks are panicked.

MikeDamone

RaceBannon said:

I was right

#metoo

theknowledge

DerekJohnson said:

As the crow flies, my condo is three miles from the Kirkland nursing home where all the people died. Nobody around me is sick, nobody has died. But most folks are panicked.

I work at a grocery store in a north suburb of Seattle and one person has contracted the virus. One out of 65. My co-workers and I see hundreds upon hundreds of strangers a day, touch the cans they touch, up until yesterday bagged their groceries in bags they brought from home and still, 1 in 65. The person who contracted the virus only saw the public at work for 2 hours a day. I and many others see the public for 6-8. I don't know how fast this thing is supposed to spread but am I to believe that the person who had it infected approximately zero people at the store in their 6-14 day incubation period? That doesn't seem to jive with the burn it down crowds theory on how contagious this bug is. It would seem much more likely that we have all had a form of it in the last three weeks and it manifests in most as nothing or next to nothing. When the person got the Vid, I assumed at the time that many more would come down with something over the next 6-14 days, we got nothing and the person in question hasn't been back to work in over two weeks. As a person who works on the "front lines" it just seems odd to me. I don't want to minimize the healthcare workers that are getting sick or dying caring for our brothers and sisters, they seriously deserve all of our respect and well wishes, but don't those numbers seem odd?

RoadTrip

theknowledge said:

DerekJohnson said:

As the crow flies, my condo is three miles from the Kirkland nursing home where all the people died. Nobody around me is sick, nobody has died. But most folks are panicked.

I work at a grocery store in a north suburb of Seattle and one person has contracted the virus. One out of 65. My co-workers and I see hundreds upon hundreds of strangers a day, touch the cans they touch, up until yesterday bagged their groceries in bags they brought from home and still, 1 in 65. The person who contracted the virus only saw the public at work for 2 hours a day. I and many others see the public for 6-8. I don't know how fast this thing is supposed to spread but am I to believe that the person who had it infected approximately zero people at the store in their 6-14 day incubation period? That doesn't seem to jive with the burn it down crowds theory on how contagious this bug is. It would seem much more likely that we have all had a form of it in the last three weeks and it manifests in most as nothing or next to nothing. When the person got the Vid, I assumed at the time that many more would come down with something over the next 6-14 days, we got nothing and the person in question hasn't been back to work in over two weeks. As a person who works on the "front lines" it just seems odd to me. I don't want to minimize the healthcare workers that are getting sick or dying caring for our brothers and sisters, they seriously deserve all of our respect and well wishes, but don't those numbers seem odd?

Seriously, TYFYS. I went out and bought $800 worth of groceries yesterday (with 3 teenagers home I don't want to go back out for a couple of weeks) and all I could think about were the guys doing their jobs and treating people with kindness and respect. People are starting to freak out and I have to admit I didn't like people coming too close and would start to walk away but the store employees continued to smile and ask if they could help. Amazing and again thank you. I hope you and the more positive-minded posters on this site are right and this whole thing turns out to be a nothing burger or not much worse than the normal flu.

GreenRiverGatorz

RaceBannon said:

http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1244740265740570625?s=19

On the surface this would appear to be a conservative quip, but Silver probably has 30 graphs and correlational studies to support his point.

GreenRiverGatorz

GrundleStiltzkin said:

huskyhooligan said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

So, like, all of New York City.

Fuck off, Seattle has long passed NYC in the piss-per-capita rankings.

PurpleThrobber

GreenRiverGatorz said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

huskyhooligan said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

So, like, all of New York City.

Fuck off, Seattle has long passed NYC in the piss-per-capita rankings.

Truth and it's not even close.

Have spent a bit of time in NYC the last couple years. It's quite nice. Hadn't been there since about 2001/Post-911 and they've done a nice job cleaning up the raw sewage smell.

There's still a lot of garbage and crap blowing around but that's expected with a bazillion people living in a confined area. There's constantly sanitation workers spraying down the sidewalks/streets and picking up litter.

And quite honestly, the NYPD do an amazing job of keeping the sidewalks relatively passable - there's an occasional bum camped out in a doorway but by 9 or 10AM, they are usually shuffled along out of the mainstream.

GrundleStiltzkin

PurpleThrobber said:

GreenRiverGatorz said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

huskyhooligan said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

This is old news now, a whole 5-6 days, but I'm just seeing it.

Now here comes a study at the University of Oxford that poses a mind-boggling question: What if half of the British population is already infected with coronavirus? What if the percentage of infected people who need hospitalization for COVID-19 is actually teeny tiny because, unbeknownst to us, the overall infected population is actually enormously large? If half of Great Britain is already infected, the country is already well on its way to acquiring herd immunity, which means they may be seeing the worst of the epidemic right now. There’s no true “mass casualty” scenario as the virus spreads. It’s already spread. And it turns out it’s harmless in virtually everyone who gets it.

If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment, said Sunetra Gupta, professor of theoretical epidemiology, who led the study. The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all…

The research presents a very different view of the epidemic to the modelling at Imperial College London, which has strongly influenced government policy. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” said Prof Gupta…

The Oxford study is based on a what is known as a “susceptibility-infected-recovered model” of Covid-19, built up from case and death reports from the UK and Italy. The researchers made what they regard as the most plausible assumptions about the behaviour of the virus…

If the findings are confirmed by testing, then the current restrictions could be removed much sooner than ministers have indicated.

How do we know if the Oxford study is right or wrong? We take a “poll” of sorts. Head out into the field and perform serological tests on a *random* sample of the population. Those tests will show who has coronavirus antibodies in their system, the telltale sign of a person who’s been infected and fought the infection off. If half the sample turns out to have those antibodies, there you go. That’s the smoking gun that many, many, many more people have been infected than we realized and just shook off the disease without having had much of an inkling that they had it.

https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/03/24/latest-study-surprisingly-encouraging/
https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b
https://www.thejakartapost.com/life/2020/03/26/british-study-shows-unknowns-of-covid-19-spread.html


Tired: Taint licking
Wired: Taint swabbing

I think the UW or a local company is attempting this locally. Sending out testing kits to random neighborhoods, because if the results are that more people have it with no symptoms, it would indicate that senior living facilities, and densely populated places, really are horrible horrible places to live. That is, if you can smell piss, you're going to die.

So, like, all of New York City.

Fuck off, Seattle has long passed NYC in the piss-per-capita rankings.

Truth and it's not even close.

Have spent a bit of time in NYC the last couple years. It's quite nice. Hadn't been there since about 2001/Post-911 and they've done a nice job cleaning up the raw sewage smell.

There's still a lot of garbage and crap blowing around but that's expected with a bazillion people living in a confined area. There's constantly sanitation workers spraying down the sidewalks/streets and picking up litter.

And quite honestly, the NYPD do an amazing job of keeping the sidewalks relatively passable - there's an occasional bum camped out in a doorway but by 9 or 10AM, they are usually shuffled along out of the mainstream.

Fair, I've haven't been there in a while. Manhattan always smelled like piss, diesel and cabbage to me.