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Doogie's Chart 3/27
DoogieMcDoogerson
Member Posts: 2,509
in Tug Tavern
Not a good day for the state. Big jump in deaths.
Comments
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93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
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This is last week's data mind you, but COVID 19 appears to be kicking the shit out of regular 2019-20 flu in WA.
https://www.doh.wa.gov/portals/1/documents/5100/420-100-fluupdate.pdf -
We need to put your math skillz to use come football season Bubbles. Well done, sir.
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Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.GrundleStiltzkin said:93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
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Unless something has changed in the last couple days, testing in WA is not on demand, only for a reason: sick, exposed to another positive, healthcare worker, etc. Given that, a theory to explain the difference in positives WA versus elsewhere: Since the first case and cases were here, it's already largely moved through, with vast majority of people not having symptoms requiring testing now that testing is more available. It's the proximity in time & space to the first outbreak combined with availability of testing and broad prophylactic measures.GDS said:
Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.GrundleStiltzkin said:93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
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93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.
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There may be some merit to the idea of eventually quarantining individual cities as opposed to the whole country. Here in NY shit is hitting the fan and hospitals are getting strained beyond belief. The density and inherent reliance on public transportation means we have a long ways to go.GDS said:
Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.GrundleStiltzkin said:93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
Other places may only see a fraction of the mayhem, and it might not make sense to keep everyone on the same time line.
Same as ever, LIFPO. -
This is 101 stuff. Anybody can do this. Maybe I should grab game data for all of Browning's games and make some charts to show how shitty he actually was despite setting records.YellowSnow said:We need to put your math skillz to use come football season Bubbles. Well done, sir.
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We have a chart?!
We have a chart! -
The data suggest that. But when you quarantine a place it needs to be nobody in and nobody out. I see the state in 4 zones. West of Puget Sound, I-5 between Marysville and Olympia, North of Marysville, South of Olympia, and East of the mountains.GreenRiverGatorz said:
There may be some merit to the idea of eventually quarantining individual cities as opposed to the whole country. Here in NY shit is hitting the fan and hospitals are getting strained beyond belief. The density and inherent reliance on public transportation means we have a long ways to go.GDS said:
Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.GrundleStiltzkin said:93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
Other places may only see a fraction of the mayhem, and it might not make sense to keep everyone on the same time line.
Same as ever, LIFPO.
The problem is the I-5 corridor. It's due to density. Strongest measures needed there. Seattle needs to be LOCKDOWN, nobody in, nobody out. Everyone in the I-5 corridor needs to stay within the corridor. East of the mountain folks stay east of the mountains with only social distancing and west of puget sound is in a similar situation.
These are the things General Inslee needs to be thinking about.
County Positive/Confirmed Cases Deaths
Adams 5 0
Benton 42 5
Chelan 13 1
Clallam 5 0
Clark 76 6
Columbia 1 0
Cowlitz 7 0
Douglas 5 0
Ferry 1 0
Franklin 12 0
Grant 42 1
Grays Harbor 1 0
Island 79 1
Jefferson 11 0
King 1828 125
Kitsap 42 1
Kittitas 8 0
Klickitat 7 0
Lewis 7 0
Lincoln 1 0
Mason 2 0
Okanogan 2 0
Pierce 231 5
San Juan 3 0
Skagit 91 1
Skamania 1 0
Snohomish 913 23
Spokane 86 0
Stevens 3 0
Thurston 27 0
Walla Walla 2 0
Whatcom 92 4
Whitman 5 0
Yakima 72 2
Unassigned 45
Total 3723 175 -
@DoogieMcDoogerson
Talking about zones for quarantine is too logical for government. Everyone does it or no one does it. Posting logical stuff like this will get you turned into to the PC police.
I am in a zone where we have 0 and 0 -
Thanks for doing the lords work. You should do a running total of the percentage of the population affected. For example, .0005% of the population of Washington has had it. Will it get to .005? Who knows!DoogieMcDoogerson said:Not a good day for the state. Big jump in deaths.
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OK, since you're interested, I'll kick it up a bunch of notches.
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There ain't shit happening east of the mountains. Tuff Tom Foley liberals.GDS said:
Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.GrundleStiltzkin said:93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.
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This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.WestlinnDuck said:93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.
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Precariously close to a call for genocide. We'll let it slide but chin it for truthiness.SFGbob said:
This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.WestlinnDuck said:93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.
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We've already established the virus is racist. Maybe I should ban myself.PurpleThrobber said:
Precariously close to a call for genocide. We'll let it slide but chin it for truthiness.SFGbob said:
This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.WestlinnDuck said:93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.
