Doogie's Chart 3/27

DoogieMcDoogerson

Not a good day for the state. Big jump in deaths.

GrundleStiltzkin

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

YellowSnow

This is last week's data mind you, but COVID 19 appears to be kicking the shit out of regular 2019-20 flu in WA.

https://www.doh.wa.gov/portals/1/documents/5100/420-100-fluupdate.pdf

YellowSnow

We need to put your math skillz to use come football season Bubbles. Well done, sir.

GDS

GrundleStiltzkin said:

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.

GrundleStiltzkin

GDS said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.

Unless something has changed in the last couple days, testing in WA is not on demand, only for a reason: sick, exposed to another positive, healthcare worker, etc. Given that, a theory to explain the difference in positives WA versus elsewhere: Since the first case and cases were here, it's already largely moved through, with vast majority of people not having symptoms requiring testing now that testing is more available. It's the proximity in time & space to the first outbreak combined with availability of testing and broad prophylactic measures.

WestlinnDuck

93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.

GreenRiverGatorz

GDS said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.

There may be some merit to the idea of eventually quarantining individual cities as opposed to the whole country. Here in NY shit is hitting the fan and hospitals are getting strained beyond belief. The density and inherent reliance on public transportation means we have a long ways to go.

Other places may only see a fraction of the mayhem, and it might not make sense to keep everyone on the same time line.

Same as ever, LIFPO.

DoogieMcDoogerson

YellowSnow said:

We need to put your math skillz to use come football season Bubbles. Well done, sir.

This is 101 stuff. Anybody can do this. Maybe I should grab game data for all of Browning's games and make some charts to show how shitty he actually was despite setting records.

Pitchfork51

We have a chart?!


We have a chart!

DoogieMcDoogerson

GreenRiverGatorz said:

GDS said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.

There may be some merit to the idea of eventually quarantining individual cities as opposed to the whole country. Here in NY shit is hitting the fan and hospitals are getting strained beyond belief. The density and inherent reliance on public transportation means we have a long ways to go.

Other places may only see a fraction of the mayhem, and it might not make sense to keep everyone on the same time line.

Same as ever, LIFPO.

The data suggest that. But when you quarantine a place it needs to be nobody in and nobody out. I see the state in 4 zones. West of Puget Sound, I-5 between Marysville and Olympia, North of Marysville, South of Olympia, and East of the mountains.

The problem is the I-5 corridor. It's due to density. Strongest measures needed there. Seattle needs to be LOCKDOWN, nobody in, nobody out. Everyone in the I-5 corridor needs to stay within the corridor. East of the mountain folks stay east of the mountains with only social distancing and west of puget sound is in a similar situation.

These are the things General Inslee needs to be thinking about.

County Positive/Confirmed Cases Deaths
Adams 5 0
Benton 42 5
Chelan 13 1
Clallam 5 0
Clark 76 6
Columbia 1 0
Cowlitz 7 0
Douglas 5 0
Ferry 1 0
Franklin 12 0
Grant 42 1
Grays Harbor 1 0
Island 79 1
Jefferson 11 0
King 1828 125
Kitsap 42 1
Kittitas 8 0
Klickitat 7 0
Lewis 7 0
Lincoln 1 0
Mason 2 0
Okanogan 2 0
Pierce 231 5
San Juan 3 0
Skagit 91 1
Skamania 1 0
Snohomish 913 23
Spokane 86 0
Stevens 3 0
Thurston 27 0
Walla Walla 2 0
Whatcom 92 4
Whitman 5 0
Yakima 72 2
Unassigned 45
Total 3723 175

LebamDawg

@DoogieMcDoogerson

Talking about zones for quarantine is too logical for government. Everyone does it or no one does it. Posting logical stuff like this will get you turned into to the PC police.

I am in a zone where we have 0 and 0

MikeDamone

DoogieMcDoogerson said:

Not a good day for the state. Big jump in deaths.

Thanks for doing the lords work. You should do a running total of the percentage of the population affected. For example, .0005% of the population of Washington has had it. Will it get to .005? Who knows!

DoogieMcDoogerson

OK, since you're interested, I'll kick it up a bunch of notches.

PurpleThrobber

GDS said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:

93% negative test rate from a self-selecting testing sample.

Stands out to me as well. Still not seeing an explosion of positives on the west coast even as testing increases. NJ, Michigan, Georgia seem to be generating a much higher percentage of positives on in some cases much less testing. That said not sure how reliable the total test taken data is from state to state.

There ain't shit happening east of the mountains. Tuff Tom Foley liberals.

SFGbob

WestlinnDuck said:

93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.

This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.

PurpleThrobber

SFGbob said:

WestlinnDuck said:

93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.

This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.

Precariously close to a call for genocide. We'll let it slide but chin it for truthiness.

SFGbob

PurpleThrobber said:

SFGbob said:

WestlinnDuck said:

93% of deaths over 60. 82% of deaths over 70. Most with pre-existing conditions. Hope the tests don't have a huge false negative rate. Positive rate seems pretty low for a self selected test.

This virus seems tailor made to kill a number of Americans. If you're fat, pre-diabetic or diabetic in poor shape with compromised lung capacity, with high blood pressure and heart disease this thing is coming for you.

Precariously close to a call for genocide. We'll let it slide but chin it for truthiness.

We've already established the virus is racist. Maybe I should ban myself.