Numbers Lie. Actually, people making charts lie

DoogieMcDoogerson

Informative article.

https://medium.com/@justin_hart/the-coronavirus-dashboards-will-doom-us-all-7dbbaf419d6f

He's calling his shot:

DoogieMcDoogerson

Might want to read this guy as well: ( Stanford Professor, researcher, data scientist )

That huge range markedly affects how severe the pandemic is and what should be done. A population-wide case fatality rate of 0.05% is lower than seasonal influenza. If that is the true rate, locking down the world with potentially tremendous social and financial consequences may be totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

MikeDamone

Covid isn't the flu!!! Don't you care about people!!!!!! Where is your altruism and compassion?

PurpleThrobber

MikeDamone said:

Covid isn't the flu!!! Don't you care about people the Kurds!!!!!! Where is your altruism and compassion?

Bob_C

What might actually be interesting is to compare the actuals to projections at this same point in time.

PurpleThrobber

Bob_C said:

What might actually be interesting is to compare the actuals to projections at this same point in time.

Spent virtually my whole career developing models and plans and shit.

Always take the projections -especially from the sales guys and cut them in half.

Then make them justify and cut them in half again.

MikeDamone

PurpleThrobber said:

MikeDamone said:

Covid isn't the flu!!! Don't you care about people the Kurds!!!!!! Where is your altruism and compassion?

Good point. What ever happened to the Kurds ?

MikeDamone

Bob_C said:

What might actually be interesting is to compare the actuals to projections at this same point in time.

The actual will be less than the predictions. The government will say the reason is because their extraordinary efforts and it was all worth it. Because they saved lives!

This is Y2K ish. Fear based emotional reaction. "You can't be too careful" tell that to the Japanese in WWII.

Traffic deaths are still the leader in the clubhouse, but what the hell.
You can't shut down driving, that would crush the economy. The mortality rate of driving is fine.

TurdBomber

MikeDamone said:

PurpleThrobber said:

MikeDamone said:

Covid isn't the flu!!! Don't you care about people the Kurds!!!!!! Where is your altruism and compassion?

Good point. What ever happened to the Kurds ?

Booooooooo-Rinnnngggggg. They suck for ratings. Sorry.

Dugdawg

This is about sprint capacity. Y'all are correct that the corona virus is no worse than the flu, but now we have X2 and no resourses to treat half the people. We need to be smarter about this in the future if we want to avoid something worse than a mere 'culling' next time. Of course, that would take planning and investment for the common good...not very libertarian.

PurpleThrobber

Dugdawg said:

This is about sprint capacity. Y'all are correct that the corona virus is no worse than the flu, but now we have X2 and no resourses to treat half the people. We need to be smarter about this in the future if we want to avoid something worse than a mere 'culling' next time. Of course, that would take planning and investment for the common good...not very libertarian.

This goes back to probably my only real complaint against AAARRGGH MEAN ORANGE MAN!!

He promised massive advances in infrastructure and repairing crumbling bridges and roads and the like. So far, seems to have failed miserably. Roads are still shit and haven't seen a whole lot of bridges being replaced - at least around the GNR Compound anyway. That doesn't really address deficit/rainy day kind of reserves but it would have pushed money into the economy for productive purposes which has a significant ripple effect.

I do think this 'crisis' is going to amp up the pace at which 5G gets rolled out and the federal government needs to jump into public/private partnerships to make that happen - same way various engineering and construction firms jumped in as syndicates to build Joe Rantz' Grand Coulee Dam and such. Hopefully the network is designed so it can ramp up to 9G or wherever the technology takes us.

If anything the work from home mandate is going to cause companies to rethink work and the whole concept of coming into the office. Once people taste the crack of home-officing and working in their skivvies, it's hard to go back.