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First Coranovirus Death in WA State

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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,530 Standard Supporter
    And once you wrap your peabrain around that maff....let's move on to higher level statistics.

    https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

    In the US, cases of the flu range between 25,000,000 and 45,000,000 each year.

    In the US there are currently 43 cases of coronavirus.

    On the low end, the sample of coronavirus compared to the population is approximately 1/1,000,000th of the high end of flu incidence and 1/500,000th on the low end.

    That means shit statistically.

    Now, go grab your nuts and stock up on toilet paper. The world is clearly ending.

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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,530 Standard Supporter
    BleachedAnusDawg said:

    PurpleThrobber said:

    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 10,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0030769%

    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0030769% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.




    I'm not talking about mortality rate. My point the entire time has been that if you contract corona virus, as of now, the numbers say you're more likely to die from it than the flu. Please, keep ignoring the point and obsessing over mortality rate which was not what I intended to get at.

    You get mad way too easy. Sad way to go through life.
    Better than fat, dumb and stupid.

    You do you.

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  • DJDuck
    DJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    Internet tough guy.
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  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 26,123 Standard Supporter
    There are probably hundreds if not thousands of undetected Covid cases. Many people probably think they have a cold. I'd pump the brakes on the more fatal narrative.
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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    Fire_Marshall_Bill said:

    There are probably hundreds if not thousands of undetected Covid cases. Many people probably think they have a cold. I'd pump the brakes on the more fatal narrative.

    Wouldn't that same logic also apply to the flu?

    I think it's less fatal than we think but still far more fatal than the flu.
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    BleachedAnusDawg said:


    Read the numbers on infections and deaths and see if you can add things up. Better yet, let me do it for you. Most generous numbers for the flu in the US has it killing about 1 in 150 in the US this season. 6 of 100 reported corona virus cases thus far have resulted in death. It would take another 800 reported cases without a death to fall to that rate for the flu.

    https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu


    PurpleThrobber said:

    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes. Christ, I'll even use your own stats.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 12,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0036923%



    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0036923% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.

    There's no point in laypersons doing mortality calculations based on the numbers above. The ranges are far too broad.
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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,530 Standard Supporter
    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    BleachedAnusDawg said:


    Read the numbers on infections and deaths and see if you can add things up. Better yet, let me do it for you. Most generous numbers for the flu in the US has it killing about 1 in 150 in the US this season. 6 of 100 reported corona virus cases thus far have resulted in death. It would take another 800 reported cases without a death to fall to that rate for the flu.

    https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu


    PurpleThrobber said:

    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes. Christ, I'll even use your own stats.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 12,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0036923%



    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0036923% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.

    There's no point in laypersons doing mortality calculations based on the numbers above. The ranges are far too broad.
    That goes into higher level statistics and probability...which is what I'm saying, the sample size is waaaaay too small to reach conclusions vs. historic influenza stats that have been tracked for years, if not decades.

    Ebola, SSARS, Mersa....we've seen this doomsday, kill everybody shit before.

    But but MEAN ORANGE MAN!!!!!

    Fuck.

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  • Sources
    Sources Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,382 Founders Club
    It's only been a number of weeks. Wait until Coronavirus gets its own strains in there.

    Too early to see how this will go - normal flus have had YEARS to do their thing. LIPO
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Sources said:

    It's only been a number of weeks. Wait until Coronavirus gets its own strains in there.

    Too early to see how this will go - normal flus have had YEARS to do their thing. LIPO

    COVID > SARS POTD.

    Fluugs gotta Fluug.
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