Another Pre-Season Analytic Projection

CFetters_Nacho_Lover · September 2019

DoogCourics said:

DoogCourics said:

Lastly, the 2019 conference comparison:

Quarter Poll Update because it's late and I'm drinking Redbreast 12:

Does @TheChart know you're stealing his work?

RoadDawg55 · September 2019

GrundleStiltzkin said:

DoogCourics said:

GrundleStiltzkin said:
I don't get the metrics obsession. I get the projection and historical comparisons part. But outside of serious gamblers, I don't understand why people get so passionate about that. Some out here seems to value metrics wins more than scoreboard, baby.
Poont of clarification on my own personal stance since I don’t know if I’ve ever made it known:

I’m not a huge metrics guy. I’m with you on scoreboard. I find my main role and ultimately my purpose at HH is just Dooging over anything that looks good for my Dwags or makes my Dwags shine, or, poasting anything that I find interesting.

And all these metrics like Connelly’s S&P+, the Pick Six Previews, and now this Beta_Rank.... I find them I interesting. I enjoy seeing how they rank UW and generally it’s in a good light (#shocker; a well run program with elite coaching and development and increasing recruiting comes out shining in computer models).

I like to compare them and see what different ones come up with, and I like to investigate them to get a general sense of how teams are projected to be before the season starts (specifically the Pac-12). Then you see how those preseason projections crumble once the season is underway and the actual players on the field matter.

I don’t put a ton of stock in them, but I enjoy finding out how they perceive my favorite team as well as my hated teams. Then I like to poast them here for my brethren and fake internet friends to debate and fight over and call each other names or jerk each other off.

TL:DR

Grundle, all I want is to....

Wasn't talking about you. I don't think, I dunno, do you fag out about these too?

If metrics are entertaining, enjoy. There is so much twatters metric smack though, it's cringey.

I do appreciate how Connelly goes about it. PAPNv1 (RIP) used it as a tool but not an end in itself.

Most of it seems to be transitive property. The ones about development are mostly dumb too. The more 4 and 5 stars you have, the worse your development rates are going to be.