Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

UW Doog Bot's Proprietary Season Wins Probability Distribution Calculator® Way Too Early Prediction

245

Comments

  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,784 Founders Club
    Love you for this, but I would probably adjust the Stanford game to a 50-50 and bring Colorado down to a highly likely.

    We haven't won @Stanford forever and it's played after USC so the guys might be banged up.

    @Colorado on their senior night with their forever Senior QB. New Coach so who knows, but UW will get their best shot at altitude. We win, highly likely, but there is definitely a way we lose.
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,541 Founders Club
    Doogles said:

    Love you for this, but I would probably adjust the Stanford game to a 50-50 and bring Colorado down to a highly likely.

    We haven't won @Stanford forever and it's played after USC so the guys might be banged up.

    @Colorado on their senior night with their forever Senior QB. New Coach so who knows, but UW will get their best shot at altitude. We win, highly likely, but there is definitely a way we lose.

    That's the thing, move a few up, move a few down, moar or less it all balances out. The aggregate HH scores were pretty spot on last year and I'll be polling for those again later. We were a few lucky bounces/calls from 10-2. I'm sure even if we aren't 10-2 it'll be similar in that a few lucky(or unlucky) moments make the difference.

    This is also a separate conversation for what expectations for a coach SHOULD BE.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,691 Founders Club

    The bottom pic made me think of what is, rather easily, the greatest non-naked jugs scene in the history of cinema.



    Taking it off here boss!!
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 69,707 Founders Club

    Did we have a Newman poll? Cool Hand Luke is hard to top as the GOAT for Newman

    Its where I learned to keep getting back up and EARN some prison respect

    The Verdict was amazing acting
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,541 Founders Club
    Doogles said:

    Love you for this, but I would probably adjust the Stanford game to a 50-50 and bring Colorado down to a highly likely.

    We haven't won @Stanford forever and it's played after USC so the guys might be banged up.

    @Colorado on their senior night with their forever Senior QB. New Coach so who knows, but UW will get their best shot at altitude. We win, highly likely, but there is definitely a way we lose.

    With those numbers EV turns into 9.55, still just good enough to make 10-2 the most likely but the distribution significantly shifts to this.



    Which means slightly better than coin toss P(x)>9