87.5% chance Dems win house

sarktastic

Click on this link

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

HillsboroDuck

It's a 100% chance.

They won the 2018 house on November 8, 2016.

UW_Doog_Bot

I'm hearing it's an 81% lock.

greenblood

As Doog Bot joked. That sight is about as dialed in as Eklund.

RaceBannon

Silver said they could come just short or win 50 seats so either way it will be interesting

And Silver is fucking useless other than a propaganda arm as usual

Dude61

I'm hearing polls don't lie.

D + 12 to D + 16 oversamples

Polling D's and calling them Independents.

25% R sample

They always predict D victory, not because it's what is but becasue it's what they want.

insinceredawg

Fake news. Red tsunami incoming. MAGA.

Dude61

All early voting numbers suggest Red tsunami.

ApostleofGrief

I'm getting the feeling I get in the stands at a game when the momentum shifts and the crowd can smell metaphorical blood and victory possible. You really want an idiotic president who fancies himself dictator, fires an FBI director and calls him a liar etc etc....and a rubber stamp Congress. No. Get that ballot mailed.

MikeDamone

Yeah, well... https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

SFGbob

ApostleofGrief said:

I'm getting the feeling I get in the stands at a game when the momentum shifts and the crowd can smell metaphorical blood and victory possible. You really want an idiotic president who fancies himself dictator, fires an FBI director and calls him a liar etc etc....and a rubber stamp Congress. No. Get that ballot mailed.

Yeah all bet you were OUTRAGED when Clinton fired his FBI director. Given what we have found out about Comey leaking to the press the guy deserved to be fired.

RaceBannon

ApostleofGrief said:

I'm getting the feeling I get in the stands at a game when the momentum shifts and the crowd can smell metaphorical blood and victory possible. You really want an idiotic president who fancies himself dictator, fires an FBI director and calls him a liar etc etc....and a rubber stamp Congress. No. Get that ballot mailed.

Nothing about white supremacists?

ApostleofGrief

SFGbob said:

ApostleofGrief said:

I'm getting the feeling I get in the stands at a game when the momentum shifts and the crowd can smell metaphorical blood and victory possible. You really want an idiotic president who fancies himself dictator, fires an FBI director and calls him a liar etc etc....and a rubber stamp Congress. No. Get that ballot mailed.

Yeah all bet you were OUTRAGED when Clinton fired his FBI director. Given what we have found out about Comey leaking to the press the guy deserved to be fired.

Look, just vote. If you want to vote in Dino, go for it but I don't like it. At least if everybody participates I would feel better about this.

ApostleofGrief

RaceBannon said:

ApostleofGrief said:

I'm getting the feeling I get in the stands at a game when the momentum shifts and the crowd can smell metaphorical blood and victory possible. You really want an idiotic president who fancies himself dictator, fires an FBI director and calls him a liar etc etc....and a rubber stamp Congress. No. Get that ballot mailed.

Nothing about white supremacists?

You can either vote Leftists for Venzuela ticket or the rotten white males. It says so on the ballot (D/R).

YellowSnow

RaceBannon said:

Silver said they could come just short or win 50 seats so either way it will be interesting

And Silver is fucking useless other than a propaganda arm as usual

I've got all the screen shots I need. But if he gets the House at 87% probability wrong he needs to find a new profession.

RaceBannon

YellowSnow said:

RaceBannon said:

Silver said they could come just short or win 50 seats so either way it will be interesting

And Silver is fucking useless other than a propaganda arm as usual

I've got all the screen shots I need. But if he gets the House at 87% probability wrong he needs to find a new profession.

He's basically being pumpeii at this point

15 to 50 seats

GrundleStiltzkin

RaceBannon said:

YellowSnow said:

RaceBannon said:

Silver said they could come just short or win 50 seats so either way it will be interesting

And Silver is fucking useless other than a propaganda arm as usual

I've got all the screen shots I need. But if he gets the House at 87% probability wrong he needs to find a new profession.

He's basically being pumpeii at this point

15 to 50 seats

That’s Praetor Pumpeii to you

Sledog

Hillary by a landslide......