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RaceBannon
RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 116,156 Founders Club
in Tug Tavern



As House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi confidently predicts victory in next week's midterms, at least one major political oddsmaker is giving her a boost: Cook Political Report is now saying Democrats could win as many as 40 seats in the House.

Dave Wasserman, House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, tweeted late Wednesday that the unit is revising its outlook to reflect a Democratic gain of 30-40 seats, up from 25-35. He warned that the outlook could change again before Tuesday.

Even some in Pelosi's party are cautious about the pitfalls of overconfidence, amid recent reports of veteran operatives warning that the curtain-measuring echoes Democrats' confidence in the lead-up to the 2016 election, which now-President Trump won.

Talk show host Stephen Colbert said as much when Pelosi predicted on his show earlier this week, "We will win." She is expected to seek the speakership again if she's right.

“Do you want to say that on Hillary’s fireworks barge that she canceled?” Colbert shot back, referring to Hillary Clinton’s planned fireworks for the night of her expected 2016 presidential victory. “Please don’t say that.”

Fox News’ Power Rankings reflect a strong Democratic advantage in the race for the House, but not a lock. The ratings show 207 seats tilting toward the Democrats and 199 tilting toward Republicans, and the rest up in the air. It takes 218 seats to claim a majority. The Real Clear Politics map shows 204 House seats tilting Democratic, and 199 tilting Republican, with 32 in the “toss-up” column.

Fox News’ media analyst Howard Kurtz cautioned Wednesday about getting carried away by “blue wave” predictions.

PUNDITS ASSUME DEMOCRATS WILL WIN THE HOUSE. SOUND FAMILIAR?

“While the odds are against the Republicans, they probably have a better shot at holding the House than Trump appeared to have two years ago in the Electoral College,” he wrote. “And if the Democrats do gain control, will it be by winning barely more than the 23 seats they need, or by the 30 or 40 seats that would constitute a blue wave?”

https://foxnews.com/politics/state-of-the-midterms-analysts-up-predictions-of-dem-house-gains-as-pelosi-eyes-gavel


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Comments

  • 2001400ex
    2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457
    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 116,156 Founders Club
    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
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  • Dude61
    Dude61 Member Posts: 1,254

    If anyone is paying attention to early voting numbers, the blue wave is off.

    House: 218-218 R

    Senate: 54-46 R
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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    edited November 2018
    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    MikeDamone said:

    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
    Then you can’t complain
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    MikeDamone said:

    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
    Then you can’t complain
    Logic = brentsfs


    HTH
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    pawz said:

    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    MikeDamone said:

    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
    Then you can’t complain
    Logic = brentsfs


    HTH
    Huh?
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    pawz said:

    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    MikeDamone said:

    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
    Then you can’t complain
    Logic = brentsfs


    HTH
    Huh?
    If you haven't been a (college coach), than you have no right to criticize.

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  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    pawz said:

    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    pawz said:

    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    MikeDamone said:

    RaceBannon said:

    2001400ex said:

    Dems are not taking the house or Senate. They'll pick up seats in the House, but not enough.

    What's your point again?

    Can you read? Blue wave is on. Unless it isn't

    Pumpy is predicting 30-40 seats but that could change if it isn't 30-40 seats

    I am on record here for the GOP to keep both but most folks including the GOP think the House is lost
    Either way it will be interesting.

    Also, I don’t vote.
    Then you can’t complain
    Logic = brentsfs


    HTH
    Huh?
    If you haven't been a (college coach), than you have no right to criticize.

    Speaking of logic, did you get your influenza vaccine yet?
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