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Video analysis: UW's 3rd down production on offense in 2017
Gladstone
Member Posts: 16,419
A claim yesterday by one of the P12 Network announcers that UW boasted one of the best 3rd down offenses in the country rang hallow for me. So I pulled the tape of all non-garbage time 3rd down plays for the offense (+ 4th down attempts and 2-pt conversions). I also excluded Montana because shame on us for scheduling a subdivision team.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLe1T7rHCNM
Have a look and kickstart your memory. Yikes. This needs to be the biggest area of improvement in 2018. Edit: some of the sound encoding is fucked up, twas' done on my phone. Oh well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLe1T7rHCNMHave a look and kickstart your memory. Yikes. This needs to be the biggest area of improvement in 2018. Edit: some of the sound encoding is fucked up, twas' done on my phone. Oh well.
Comments
Browning is who we thought he was until proven otherwise.
The Stanford game last year was absolutely abortive in terms of 3rd and 4th down efficiency.
If you aren't good converting 3rd and 4th downs, you have to make up for it with a higher number of big plays...and with the graduation of John Ross - our number of big plays took a fucking nosedive from 2016 to 2017.
Except for that first clip. That shit makes me feel ridiculously happy every time I see it. It’s impossible not to smile.
Then it’s 31:57 of just pure sadness.
Thanks Gladstone.
There's something about SEA sports fans' brains that says 'until someone can do nothing right, ever, they are 'FINE' and worth defending.
When Ty went 4-9 in '07 - it was 'HE WON FOUR GAMES!!' - I see the same shit with Jake, 'BUT WHAT ABOUT THE UTAH GAME!!?!! BUT WHAT ABOUT THE THROW TO AARON FULLER!!!?!?!'
Trace McSorley made more great throws in the FIRST HALF against our defense than Jake did in THE SEASON. Making like 5 good throws on third down per year doesn't make you an acceptable QB, it makes you a complete fucking disaster. Troy Williams made 3-4 good throws against us at Utah on 3rd downs.
SO FUCKING WHAT?!?!
If Jake were any good (spoiler: he's not) he would make 3-5 throws like that Aaron Fuller throw PER GAME. Not PER SEASON.
Our standards as fans are so fucking low that we can watch someone cock our season up and think 'well, he did things right 20% of the time!!' - Jesus fucking Christ we love losers.
The town is haunted by the '94 Sonics. Great when it doesn't count, falls apart when it does. Nobody gives a shit. 116 wins.
TRACE MCSORLEY MADE MORE GOOD THIRD DOWN THROWS IN THE FUCKING FIRST HALF THAN JAKE DID IN A SEASON!!!
Maybe that should alarm people.
Here are Jake's sack numbers from '17:
1st down: 3 in 147 attempts (2%)
2nd down: 2 in 111 attempts (2%)
3rd down: FUCKING FOURTEEN in SEVENTY FOUR ATTEMPTS (19%!!!)
Let's look at his running numbers:
1st down: 15 att, 39 yards
2nd down: 11 att, 23 yards
3rd down: 27 attempts for fucking NEGATIVE 73 YARDS!
In addition, when we are losing in games, Jake's numbers are like this:
60.5% completion percentage (as opposed to 72.5% when we are tied/winning)
12 sacks in 114 attempts- 11% (as opposed to 7 in 222 attempts - 3%)
24 for -60 rushing (as opposed to 32 for 85)
Jake is a fucking loser.
UW was 16th in the nation in 3rd down conversion percentage in 2017. This DOES NOT mean UW and Browning had some kind of special sauce allowing them to magically convert 3rd and 6 more often than anyone else.
No, instead it means UW was likely facing much shorter distances on 3rd down as a result of:
1. Running the ball successfully on 1st and 2nd down.
2. Lack of explosive plays.
This is why you always see the service academies, Georgia Tech, and Georgia Southern leading the nation in 3rd down conversion % even when their option offenses aren't working particularly well.