See the early favorites in Vegas to win the 2018 college football national title
Comments
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40-1? Shit they were 45-1 this time last year. That's some damn good value looking at some of the teams in front of em.
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I got us at 50-1 back in March ...
40-1 to me is good value because the difference between UW and USC isn't the gap that they are showing.
For as down as the Big 12 was this year, it will be a beast next year. Everybody is going to throw the money on Oklahoma and Texas ... the smarter money would be on Okie Lite and Kansas St. -
We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
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UW is not losing "most of its defense"
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who the fuck would take ed orgeron at 12-1?
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oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there. -
Texas? Louisville? Penn State? L O fucking L. Such fags, bookies. UW does seem like a solid value.
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Odds should have been worse with Brownsocks at qb.
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Just like I told you last year these are all shit bets and you would be better off just taking the money line every game. Roll over half your winnings to the next week and bank half.Tequilla said:I got us at 50-1 back in March ...
40-1 to me is good value because the difference between UW and USC isn't the gap that they are showing.
For as down as the Big 12 was this year, it will be a beast next year. Everybody is going to throw the money on Oklahoma and Texas ... the smarter money would be on Okie Lite and Kansas St. -
No this means nothing. It isn't a real market because you can't take the other side of the bet.huskyfavre said:
oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there.
All this is is basically a popularity index. Real bettors rarely play these markets because the juics is so high and you have to lock your money up for a year. Its basically just fans betting on their own teams. -
Vegas is clearly happy to take money on the Dawgs at 40/1. You are correct about futures juice, but that's precisely why 40/1 on the Dawgs is especially worrisome - didn't need to be that high unless they were trying to drive big (for futures anyway) bets on the Dawgs....Vegas clearly wants people to get their $$ in early on the Dawgs fresh off the CFP appearance...FremontTroll said:
No this means nothing. It isn't a real market because you can't take the other side of the bet.huskyfavre said:
oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there.
All this is is basically a popularity index. Real bettors rarely play these markets because the juics is so high and you have to lock your money up for a year. Its basically just fans betting on their own teams. -
No question ...FremontTroll said:
Just like I told you last year these are all shit bets and you would be better off just taking the money line every game. Roll over half your winnings to the next week and bank half.Tequilla said:I got us at 50-1 back in March ...
40-1 to me is good value because the difference between UW and USC isn't the gap that they are showing.
For as down as the Big 12 was this year, it will be a beast next year. Everybody is going to throw the money on Oklahoma and Texas ... the smarter money would be on Okie Lite and Kansas St.
I'm just saying that if you have a desire to put $20 or something rather insignificant on a long shot or two, looking at value plays (relatively) makes sense.
If books were open universally, the betting each game and taking the winnings going forward is a far better play -
That was my first thought looking at the listdhdawg said:who the fuck would take ed orgeron at 12-1?
Might do some spanish chickenhawk porn online and roll it into UW - El Doogo style -
So if I say my doctor is really fucking stupid, you'd come rushing to tell me that doctors are not FS? I didn't say oddsmakers are FS. I said THESE ones are. And the market hasn't had time for self-correction yet. Like mentioned in the thread, you can't take the other side of the bet so it's pointless. Right now it's just a popularity contest.huskyfavre said:
oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there. -
I think UW should have fairly low odds to make the playoffs but still pretty high to win the two games
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Well wooching is the heart and soul of it.dhdawg said:UW is not losing "most of its defense"
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Anyone who thinks Vegas oddsmakers are FS is FS and anyone who thinks there is *any* value in futures bets is FS. Anyone who bets futures is FS.DugtheDoog said:
So if I say my doctor is really fucking stupid, you'd come rushing to tell me that doctors are not FS? I didn't say oddsmakers are FS. I said THESE ones are. And the market hasn't had time for self-correction yet. Like mentioned in the thread, you can't take the other side of the bet so it's pointless. Right now it's just a popularity contest.huskyfavre said:
oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there.
HTH.
(edited to avoid hurt feelings) -
Sounds like the results on the field are not indicative of where both programs stand.Tequilla said:I got us at 50-1 back in March ...
40-1 to me is good value because the difference between UW and USC isn't the gap that they are showing. -
Exhilarating to see UW has ascended to the level of Georgia and Virginia Tech.
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You see, Texas is a blue blood. Even though in the last 30 years they've had one really good team, which barely won the NC against a USC team w/ a mediocre defense, they're always on the cusp of dominance.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
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So the only people betting on these lines are fucking degenerate idiots yet at the same time this line is supposed to be some kind of flashing indicator that sharp oddsmakers know we are going to suck next year?huskyfavre said:
Anyone who thinks Vegas oddsmakers are FS is FS and anyone who thinks there is *any* value in futures bets is FS. Anyone who bets futures is FS.DugtheDoog said:
So if I say my doctor is really fucking stupid, you'd come rushing to tell me that doctors are not FS? I didn't say oddsmakers are FS. I said THESE ones are. And the market hasn't had time for self-correction yet. Like mentioned in the thread, you can't take the other side of the bet so it's pointless. Right now it's just a popularity contest.huskyfavre said:
oddsmakers are not FS.DugtheDoog said:We have the same odds as VA Tech and UGA? Those are some pretty FS oddsmakers. Tejas with significantly better odds than we do?
Very disturbing to see Vegas has us down there.
HTH.
(edited to avoid hurt feelings) -
Trading stawk options >>>>>> FS sports betting, unless you're just doing it for the thrill. The house doesn't stay in business by losing. If you want to throw your money away, PM me. I'll give you my western union details.
