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Why I want a 4 seed

DongJamesDongJames Member Posts: 69
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in Hardcore Husky Board
I underdtand wanting to get a 3 so you don't have to face Bama in the semifinal. But Petersen is known to ratchet it up a notch when he has a month to prepare.

The path to the national championship goes through Alabama anyway. I'd rather see the Huskies have a month to prepare for them than a week.

I'm hoping for a 4 seed.
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    AtomicDawgAtomicDawg Member Posts: 6,982
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    Like the Oklahoma state game. Faggy wink
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    FremontTrollFremontTroll Member Posts: 4,708
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    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.
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    SoutherndawgSoutherndawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,235
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    Founders Club
    edited December 2016
    image
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    bananasnblondesbananasnblondes Member Posts: 14,907
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    Standard Supporter
    I want Ohio State, then Wisconsin for the natty
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    Mad_SonMad_Son Member Posts: 10,093
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    FremontTroll said:

    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.

    The question is what are the odds of Alabama being upset and what is the differential in Petersen prep vs Saban prep. Honestly feels like a wash to me since both are going to be quite small imo.
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    NeGgaPlEaSeNeGgaPlEaSe Member Posts: 5,729
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    Rather not get beat up by Bama in first round physically
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    FremontTrollFremontTroll Member Posts: 4,708
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    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.

    The question is what are the odds of Alabama being upset and what is the differential in Petersen prep vs Saban prep. Honestly feels like a wash to me since both are going to be quite small imo.
    What is quite small? 5% chance of upset? 15%? 25%?

    And like other luminous poasters have pointed out there are other unquantifiable psychological factors such as needing to remain motivated after tackling Goliath and not getting beat up physically.
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    Mad_SonMad_Son Member Posts: 10,093
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    FremontTroll said:

    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.

    The question is what are the odds of Alabama being upset and what is the differential in Petersen prep vs Saban prep. Honestly feels like a wash to me since both are going to be quite small imo.
    What is quite small? 5% chance of upset? 15%? 25%?

    And like other luminous poasters have pointed out there are other unquantifiable psychological factors such as needing to remain motivated after tackling Goliath and not getting beat up physically.
    So far we have an insufficient sample size to even begin to estimate the rate that this team gets upset since it hasn't happened. If you want to go dig into historic data be my guest. Quite small in this case I'd say is < 10%.

    Until you pony up and contribute something beyond questioning other people's posts you'll never be more than a second rate troll here. There's nothing wrong with that, that's pretty prestigious in fact, but putting yourself out there and proving people wrong >> poking from the sideline. If you're so proud of recognizing the chance that Alabama could get upset in the first round, why not tell us how likely that actually is? You estimated 15-20% in some other thread iirc which at face value sounds about as meaningful as anyone else's estimate of how much extra planning time helps Petersen.
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    FremontTrollFremontTroll Member Posts: 4,708
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    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.

    The question is what are the odds of Alabama being upset and what is the differential in Petersen prep vs Saban prep. Honestly feels like a wash to me since both are going to be quite small imo.
    What is quite small? 5% chance of upset? 15%? 25%?

    And like other luminous poasters have pointed out there are other unquantifiable psychological factors such as needing to remain motivated after tackling Goliath and not getting beat up physically.
    So far we have an insufficient sample size to even begin to estimate the rate that this team gets upset since it hasn't happened. If you want to go dig into historic data be my guest. Quite small in this case I'd say is < 10%.

    Until you pony up and contribute something beyond questioning other people's posts you'll never be more than a second rate troll here. There's nothing wrong with that, that's pretty prestigious in fact, but putting yourself out there and proving people wrong >> poking from the sideline. If you're so proud of recognizing the chance that Alabama could get upset in the first round, why not tell us how likely that actually is? You estimated 15-20% in some other thread iirc which at face value sounds about as meaningful as anyone else's estimate of how much extra planning time helps Petersen.
    Youmadbro?

    Just wondering what you meant by quite small. Thank you for your answer and thank you for your service.
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    Mad_SonMad_Son Member Posts: 10,093
    First Anniversary 5 Up Votes 5 Awesomes First Comment
    FremontTroll said:

    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    Mad_Son said:

    FremontTroll said:

    This hot take has been posted numerous times.

    The obvious error is assuming BAMA wins the other semi which is not a guarantee.

    The question is what are the odds of Alabama being upset and what is the differential in Petersen prep vs Saban prep. Honestly feels like a wash to me since both are going to be quite small imo.
    What is quite small? 5% chance of upset? 15%? 25%?

    And like other luminous poasters have pointed out there are other unquantifiable psychological factors such as needing to remain motivated after tackling Goliath and not getting beat up physically.
    So far we have an insufficient sample size to even begin to estimate the rate that this team gets upset since it hasn't happened. If you want to go dig into historic data be my guest. Quite small in this case I'd say is < 10%.

    Until you pony up and contribute something beyond questioning other people's posts you'll never be more than a second rate troll here. There's nothing wrong with that, that's pretty prestigious in fact, but putting yourself out there and proving people wrong >> poking from the sideline. If you're so proud of recognizing the chance that Alabama could get upset in the first round, why not tell us how likely that actually is? You estimated 15-20% in some other thread iirc which at face value sounds about as meaningful as anyone else's estimate of how much extra planning time helps Petersen.
    Youmadbro?

    Just wondering what you meant by quite small. Thank you for your answer and thank you for your service.
    It was just an observation of a pattern. You seem to have never pmed @IrishDawg22 to get fully dialed in. I'm glad you found my response fulfilling.
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