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UW's SOS is strong

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  • dhdawg
    dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326
    edited November 2016
    http://www.colleyrankings.com/curconf.html

    looking back, and I'm not trying to defend the pac-12, the out of conference results sans USC vs Alabama and WSU against Eastern weren't that far off from what you would expect.
    Most of the Pac-12 teams that were ranked preseason and lost in the OOC ended up being awful. Colorado was leading at michigan until they lost liufau

    If USC plays that game vs bama now it's a different story
  • dhdawg
    dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    agree. I was mocking chest.
    however the pac wasn't as bad in the OOC as it appeared at the time
  • SpoonieLuv
    SpoonieLuv Member Posts: 5,463

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    image
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,098
    This bored is slipping ... I read through the entire thread and didn't see a single

    Chest is your source?
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840
    edited November 2016

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Sure Sagarin's ratings are a joke, all they did was pick games at a 73% rate straight up and 52% against the spread.
  • AtomicDawg
    AtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,330
    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840
    edited November 2016

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
  • AtomicDawg
    AtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,330
    AIRWOLF said:

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
    Understand vs the spread. Picking straight up is a different scenario and very easy. From 97 to 2011 it was correct over 75% of the time.

  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840

    AIRWOLF said:

    Picking straight up is not that difficult. The point spread alone predicts the outright winner over 75% of the time. It's not hard to identify who is favored before kickoff. See Phil Steele study for details.

    The mid-week line got the straight up winner correct 72.5% of the time this season.
    Beating the spread by even a couple percentage points is very difficult when you are predicting every game.
    Understand vs the spread. Picking straight up is a different scenario and very easy. From 97 to 2011 it was correct over 75% of the time.

    Well, this year it was only right 72.5%. I saw somewhere else that 10+ pt dogs won at something like twice the normal rate this season.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    Indiana maybe. Maryland and MSU not so much.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    AIRWOLF said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    Indiana maybe. Maryland and MSU not so much.
    So you haven't watched Oregon, Oregon State, or Cal this year?

    There's a reason half of the Pac-12 didn't even make bowl games.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840

    AIRWOLF said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.
    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.

    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    Indiana maybe. Maryland and MSU not so much.
    So you haven't watched Oregon, Oregon State, or Cal this year?

    There's a reason half of the Pac-12 didn't even make bowl games.
    MSU and Maryland were at least equally as bad.

  • Mad_Son
    Mad_Son Member Posts: 10,194

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
  • AIRWOLF
    AIRWOLF Member Posts: 1,840
    Mad_Son said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
    Most of the better quant rating systems agree with you.
  • AtomicDawg
    AtomicDawg Member Posts: 7,330
    Well our sos is shit according to them. Don't disagree with them there.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Mad_Son said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
    Oregon State finished forf in the Norf.

    You just made my point for me.
  • BearsWiin
    BearsWiin Member Posts: 5,070

    Mad_Son said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
    Oregon State finished forf in the Norf.

    Ahem.

    North Division
    Teams Conf Overall
    1 Washington 8-1 11-1
    2 Washington State 7-2 8-4
    3 Stanford 6-3 9-3
    4 California 3-6 5-7
    5 Oregon State 3-6 4-8
    6 Oregon 2-7 4-8
  • Mad_Son
    Mad_Son Member Posts: 10,194

    Mad_Son said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
    Oregon State finished forf in the Norf.

    You just made my point for me.
    Not all teams with the same records are created equally, bw's point aside.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    BearsWiin said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Mad_Son said:

    Sagarin is a joke. No fucking way is the P12 North better than the B1G East.

    Indiana, Maryland, Michigan state, and Rutgers say hi.

    Except for Rutgers, they're better than the bottom three of the P12 North.


    Your silence about the top half speaks volumes.
    That is definitely not true. I've watched more shitty big ten football than I should have since I went to Wisconsin and my wife went to Maryland... those teams are Oregon State level bad. Having three very good teams and three terrible teams doesn't make you better than having a real spread of quality. Washingon, WSU, Stanford are not be as good as Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State but the lower half of the division makes up for it when you get to the bottom half of the Big Ten East.
    Oregon State finished forf in the Norf.

    Ahem.

    North Division
    Teams Conf Overall
    1 Washington 8-1 11-1
    2 Washington State 7-2 8-4
    3 Stanford 6-3 9-3
    4 California 3-6 5-7
    5 Oregon State 3-6 4-8
    6 Oregon 2-7 4-8
    Oregon State beat Cal.

    Case closed.