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UO-UW spread drops to -13.5
From Team Rankings (
http://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/matchup/ducks-huskies-week-7-2013/spread-movement):
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2008-2009 college football season there have been 109 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
•The team like Oregon won the game 96 times (88.1%)
•The team like Washington won the game 13 times (11.9%)
•The team like Washington did better against the spread, going 55-53-1 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2010-2011 college football season there have been 284 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Washington did better against the spread, going 140-138-6 (50.4% ATS).
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Comments
If you're not betting the Huskies to win outright don't bet the Huskies. If they lose it will be over 20 points.
Bet The Field. Otherwise, Vegas will beat you.
Incremental progress.