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Chest, True? -- Relative SRS scores over the last 30 years for UW and UO

Muttzen
Muttzen Member Posts: 1,015
edited October 2016 in Hardcore Husky Board
@TheChart , @HeretoBeatmyChest

Context:
1.0 is worst SRS rating in the Pac10/12, 0.0 is the best.

2016 uses the current SRS scores.

Colors are the school colors (I substituted green for Oregon instead of Cal blue)

Thoughts:
Chip Kelly was a hell of a coach.

Gilby, leader of midgets, was not.

image
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Comments

  • Muttzen
    Muttzen Member Posts: 1,015
    edited October 2016
    A little more explanation on the methodology:


    Used this site
    http://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/years/2016-ratings.html


    I used a formula to convert the Pac 12 ranking of SRS from a scale of 1-12 (or 1-10) to a scale of 0.0-1.0

    Formula:
    0-1 Scaled rank = ( Pac10/12 rank - 1 ) / ( Number of Pac schools - 1 )


    Example: UW is currently ranked 9 overall in SRS, which is 1st in the Pac 12.
    ( 1 - 1 )/( 12 - 1) = 0 in 2016

    Example: UO is currently ranked 56 overall in SRS, which is 10th in the Pac 12.
    ( 10 - 1 )/( 12 - 1) = 0.8181... in 2016

    I went with the 0-1 scale over a 0-12 (@Owen12 har har) scale so that I could normalize the Pac12 and Pac 10 teams.
  • Muttzen
    Muttzen Member Posts: 1,015
    edited October 2016
    Here is Stanford.

    Coaching matters. Year 3 matters.

    image

    Technically these would be better as scatterplots, or straight lines, but the curved ones look nicer.
  • Muttzen
    Muttzen Member Posts: 1,015
    Here is one for the relative strength of the Pac-12 from 1992 to 2016. These are absolute SRS rankings.

    image

    Blue is the SRS of the strongest team, Orange is the median SRS, Grey is the SRS of the weakest team.

    Notes:

    The number of teams that are rated has increased from 107 in 1992 to 128 in 2016. This may explain the slight trend in the worst Pac12 team getting worse over time.

    The best team in the Pac-10 sucked in 1999. Who?? Willingham's Rose bowl team at Stanford.

    The average strength of the Pac fluctuates but hasn't changed that much over time.